NFL Mock Draft 2017: Full 1st-Round Projections for Nation's Top Prospects
March 18, 2017
A sense of madness has swept the sporting realm, though the NFL seems in a holding pattern.
The biggest free agents have found new homes and draft prospects have already been put through their paces at the scouting combine. With the draft still quite a bit away, a league that wants to be front and center all the time and function as a year-round league has quite a drought right about now.
But not really.
Do a quick Google search and see plenty of analysis and reactions over pro days. These events are friendly to prospects, so the numbers coming out typically look better than those from Indianapolis. If they don't it might be time to wave a red flag.
Pro days won't change stock much, but let's take a look at a fresh mock draft altered by free agency and then zoom on a few prospects who do have shifting stock.
2017 Draft Order and Projections
Pick | Team | Selection |
1 | Cleveland Browns | Myles Garrett, DE, Texas A&M |
2 | San Francisco 49ers | Mitchell Trubisky, QB, North Carolina |
3 | Chicago Bears | Deshaun Watson, QB, Clemson |
4 | Jacksonville Jaguars | Leonard Fournette, RB, LSU |
5 | Tennessee Titans (from Rams) | Corey Davis, WR, Western Michigan |
6 | New York Jets | Solomon Thomas, DL, Stanford |
7 | Los Angeles Chargers | Jamal Adams, S, LSU |
8 | Carolina Panthers | Malik Hooker, S, Ohio State |
9 | Cincinnati Bengals | Malik McDowell, DL, Michigan State |
10 | Buffalo Bills | Marshon Lattimore, CB, Ohio State |
11 | New Orleans Saints | Reuben Foster, LB, Alabama |
12 | Cleveland Browns (from Eagles) | O.J. Howard, TE, Alabama |
13 | Arizona Cardinals | DeShone Kizer, QB, Notre Dame |
14 | Philadelphia Eagles (from Vikings) | Christian McCaffrey, RB, Stanford |
15 | Indianapolis Colts | John Ross, WR, Washington |
16 | Baltimore Ravens | Mike Williams, WR, Clemson |
17 | Washington Redskins | Jonathan Allen, DL, Alabama |
18 | Tennessee Titans | Marlon Humphrey, CB, Alabama |
19 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Quincy Wilson, CB, Florida |
20 | Denver Broncos | Garett Bolles , OT, Utah |
21 | Detroit Lions | Takkarist McKinley, OLB/DE, UCLA |
22 | Miami Dolphins | Derek Barnett, DE, Tennessee |
23 | New York Giants | Tim Williams, LB/DE, Alabama |
24 | Oakland Raiders | Tre'Davious White, CB, LSU |
25 | Houston Texans | Patrick Mahomes II, QB, Texas Tech |
26 | Seattle Seahawks | Cam Robinson, OT, Alabama |
27 | Kansas City Chiefs | Dan Feeney, OG, Indiana |
28 | Dallas Cowboys | Kevin King, CB, Washington |
29 | Green Bay Packers | Forrest Lamp, G, Western Kentucky |
30 | Pittsburgh Steelers | David Njoku, TE, Miami |
31 | Atlanta Falcons | Caleb Brantley, DT, Florida |
32 | New Orleans Saints (from Patriots) | Obi Melifonwu, S, Connecticut |
Author's projections. |
Biggest Recent Stock Movers
8. Carolina Panthers: Malik Hooker, S, Ohio State
It happens every year—injuries slam the stock of a notable player.
This time it's Malik Hooker out of Ohio State, a safety with some of the best instincts and center fielder skills to hit the draft in a long time.
Hooker needed surgery to repair a torn labrum and sports hernia in January. It's not the end of the world, but pair it with the fact he only has one year of serious experience and is a liability against the run, and top-five projections start to go out the window.
Which isn't to say a team like the Carolina Panthers will complain. A unit still reeling from the loss of Josh Norman needs to rebuild. Last year, Kurt Coleman ranked as the 43rd-best safety in football at Pro Football Focus, with Tre Boston (49) and Michael Griffin (79) not doing any better.
Hooker is a project. He's not going to light the NFL on fire as a rookie because he simply doesn't have enough experience on the field. But at the same time, players with his sheer coverage ability don't come around that often. There's a reason his pro comparison by NFL.com's Lance Zierlein is none other than Ed Reed.
14. Philadelphia Eagles (from Vikings): Christian McCaffrey, RB, Stanford
Stanford running back Christian McCaffrey blew the lid off the combine.
Those who watched his film knew it was coming, but McCaffrey decided to grab the attention of those who overlooked him by ripping off a 40-yard dash in 4.48 seconds and post outstanding numbers in the three-cone drill (6.57 seconds), 20-yard shuttle (4.22) and 60-yard shuttle (11.03).
That helps explain those 2,019 rushing yards and eight scores in 2015 before another 1,603 and 13 last year, right?
McCaffrey, 5'11" and 202 pounds, is the perfect blend of skills and athleticism for today's NFL, which makes him such an attractive pick for the Philadelphia Eagles at No. 14.
ESPN.com's Todd McShay concurred in his latest mock draft:
McCaffrey has a ton of versatility: He can handle 10 or so carries per game, catch passes as a slot receiver and contribute in the return game. He had an exceptional week at the combine, showing off his straight-line speed and short-area quickness. McCaffrey's elite character could be the tiebreaker with Florida State RB Dalvin Cook for some teams.
After Dalvin Cook's rough outing at the combine, McCaffrey slots just behind Leonard Fournette as the best back in class. And even then, Philadelphia might have liked the Stanford product's versatility more regardless of how Cook showed.
For Carson Wentz, leaning on Alshon Jeffery, Torrey Smith, Jordan Mathews and McCaffrey out of the backfield is a nice way to avoid a sophomore slump, making this selection an easy call at a good value.
16. Baltimore Ravens: Mike Williams, WR, Clemson
Clemson wideout Mike Williams might be the most polarizing player with a first-round outlook this year.
Williams is a big body at 6'4" and 218 pounds, though anyone that watched an ounce of film knew he wouldn't post strong numbers in agility drills.
Despite this, a hoopla of sorts went up when Williams didn't run at the combine, instead running at the Clemson pro day, where he posted numbers south of 4.50. Then there was this, from NFL.com's Gil Brandt:
Look, a time in a dash isn't the end of the world. But each year, media has to play catch up with the thinking of secretive NFL teams. This seems to be the case here—Williams lacking in one area looks like a detriment at the pro level—knocking him out of top-10 consideration.
Know who else had an iffy combine? A.J. Green.
Williams isn't Green, but an inability to create separation and overly relying on winning jump balls is a risky path. It's why McShay doesn't mock him until the No. 18 pick to Tennessee and CBS Sports' big board ranks him 21st overall.
It will come down to fit for Williams, which is why he lands with the Baltimore Ravens here. Big-armed Joe Flacco wouldn't mind a guy who can go up and catch passes. The team already has a hit on its hands with deep threat Mike Wallace, but waiting for Breshad Perriman to prove he isn't a bust is wasting time.
Maybe Williams can square off with well with Green twice a year in the AFC North.
Stats courtesy of NFL.com. All advanced metrics courtesy of Pro Football Focus.