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Detroit Lions vs. Houston Texans Betting Odds, Analysis, NFL Pick

OddsShark.com@@OddsSharkFeatured ColumnistOctober 26, 2016

Detroit Lions fullback Zach Zenner (34) runs after a handoff from quarterback Matthew Stafford (9) during an NFL football game against the Washington Redskins in Detroit, Monday, Oct. 24, 2016. Detroit won 20-17. (AP Photo/Paul Sancya)
Paul Sancya/Associated Press

The Detroit Lions will be gunning for a fourth straight outright victory Sunday afternoon when they travel south to face the Houston Texans at NRG Stadium.

The Lions have twice claimed victory as home underdogs during their current three-game straight-up win streak, but Detroit has struggled on the road this season, losing two of three SU and against the spread.

The Texans return home licking their wounds following a brutal 27-9 loss in Denver as 8.5-point underdogs Monday night. Houston has alternated between wins and losses over its past five games but is 4-0 SU and ATS on home turf this season.

Point spread: The Texans opened as 2.5-point favorites; the total was 45 early in the week, according to sportsbooks monitored by Odds Shark. (Line updates and matchup report)

NFL pick, via Odds Shark computer: 24.6-19.6 Texans (NFL picks on every game)

Why the Lions can cover the spread

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Quarterback Matthew Stafford has been impressive at the helm of the Lions offense this season. Stafford has found the end zone eight times during Detroit's current tear and has completed more than 74 percent of his passes on three occasions this season.

While the Lions have lost two on the road, they have had little trouble scoring points, averaging 25 points per game over their past five games. That bodes well against a Texans squad that has averaged fewer than 16 points per game over their past six games.

The Lions have been dominant in recent outings as underdogs, posting SU wins in five of their past six such games.

Why the Texans can cover the spread

Striking first could be crucial in the Texans' efforts to extend their win streak at NRG Stadium. Detroit has jumped out to early leads in each of its three recent wins but has needed last-minute heroics to seal the deal in each.

Quarterback Brock Osweiler must bounce back from last week's disappointing Denver homecoming. Osweiler's best QB ratings have come at home this season, where he has tossed seven touchdown passes in four victories.

Houston has been a force on home turf, winning 10 of 12 SU. The Texans have also paid regularly when pegged as home chalk of three or fewer points, going 5-1 SU and 4-1-1 ATS in their past six.

Smart pick

The Texans have won two straight against Detroit but have failed to cover in three all-time meetings with the Lions. Detroit has posted two straight outright wins when pegged as underdogs of three or fewer points and is 4-1 SU and ATS in its past five.

Look for Detroit to shock the inconsistent Texans with yet another outright victory as betting underdogs.

Betting trends

The Lions are 3-0 ATS in their last three games against the Texans.

The total has gone over in the Lions' last three games against the Texans.

The Texans are 4-0 SU and 3-0-1 ATS in their last four games at home.

All NFL betting lines and point-spreads data courtesy of Bleacher Report’s official odds partner, Odds Shark. All quotes gathered firsthand unless otherwise noted. Check out Twitter for injury and line-movement updates and Odds Shark YouTube for picks and analysis, or download the free odds tracker app.

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