How Can Justin Herbert Possibly Be NFL's QB3?
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The Los Angeles' Justin Herbert hasn't proven anything to be counted among the league's best quarterbacks, right? The arguments are as predictable as they are lazy.
Herbert's performance during the 2025 campaign bordered on Herculean when taking the Chargers' entire situation into consideration. The two-time Pro Bowl signal-caller had to take on as much playing-making responsibility as any quarterback in the league last year. He lined up behind a patchwork offensive line, which performed as poorly as expected. Defenses sacked Herbert 54 times—which ranked third-most in the league. The number would have been significantly higher if not for the quarterback's mobility to avoid pressure and shrug off defenders at times.
All the while, Herbert showed a level of poise and toughness that simply can't be denied. He's capable of layering throws to every level, with the arm-strength to drive any pass into tight windows. His combination of size and athleticism make him extremely difficult to count out of any play.
But the idea he hasn't "won anything" places too much emphasis on team wins and postseason success instead of evaluating the individual's performance.
Last season, both of Herbert's starting offensive tackles suffered season-ending injuries. Left tackle Rashawn Slater didn't play a single game. Guard Mekhi Becton signed in free agency only to find himself in and out of the lineup due to injuries. The squad lacked a 1,000-yard rusher and receiver. Greg Roman once again failed to devise a NFL-caliber passing attack, hence why he's no longer the Chargers' offensive play-caller. Ultimately, the team let the quarterback down, not the other way around.
Clearly, the Los Angeles Rams' Matthew Stafford and Buffalo Bills' Josh Allen deserve their rankings as the NFL's top two quarterbacks. Stafford is simply playing the game at the highest level from a mental standpoint. Allen, meanwhile, is the game's most naturally gifted quarterback, which allows him to shoulder the Bills' offense.
From that point, no one played better than Herbert last season. Plus, he should benefit greatly from significant offseason investments in the offensive line, running back Omarion Hampton getting healthy and Mike McDaniel's hire as offensive coordinator.
Conversely, questions linger about other quarterbacks.
Patrick Mahomes suffered a major injury late in the 2025 campaign, while already showing some regression to that point. Joe Burrow once again dealt with injuries last year. The Cincinnati Bengals' signal-caller may be the league's most accurate passer, but durability is a significant concern. Lamar Jackson is the greatest dual-threat in NFL history. He certainly hasn't shown enough as a pocket passer to elevate the Baltimore Ravens above Herbert and the Chargers' standing. The New England Patriots' Drake Maye needs to stack another elite season on top of last year's performance.
The B/R projections are based on who theses quarterbacks are today. It's easy to envision Herbert as a top-three option, with the opportunity for the Chargers to emerge as an AFC contender this fall.
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