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California quarterback Jared Goff (16) looks for an open receiver against Air Force during the first half of the Armed Forces Bowl NCAA college football game, Tuesday, Dec. 29, 2015, in Fort Worth, Texas. (AP Photo/Ron Jenkins)
California quarterback Jared Goff (16) looks for an open receiver against Air Force during the first half of the Armed Forces Bowl NCAA college football game, Tuesday, Dec. 29, 2015, in Fort Worth, Texas. (AP Photo/Ron Jenkins)Ron Jenkins/Associated Press

2016 NFL Mock Draft: 1st-Round Predictions for Top Prospects Ahead of Week 17

Tim DanielsJan 2, 2016

As the NFL regular season and college football bowl season wind toward their conclusion, talk about the 2016 draft has started heating up. So, although there's still more steps in the process of player evaluation, a basic outlook for the first round has begun to take shape.

Of course, the position that's talked about most on an annual basis is quarterback. This year will be no different, with several teams still searching for a long-term answer at the position. Once again, however, the supply is unlikely to meet the demand.

Let's check a complete mock draft of the opening round before Week 17 gets underway. That's followed by a closer look at some of the top QBs in the class and where they may land.

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1st-Round Mock Draft

1Tennessee TitansLaremy Tunsil, OT, Ole Miss
2Cleveland BrownsJoey Bosa, DE, Ohio State
3San Diego ChargersJalen Ramsey, CB, Florida State
4Dallas CowboysJaylon Smith, OLB, Notre Dame
5San Francisco 49ersJared Goff, QB, Cal
6Miami DolphinsMyles Jack, OLB, UCLA
7Jacksonville JaguarsMackensie Alexander, CB, Clemson
8Baltimore RavensRonnie Stanley, OT, Notre Dame
9Tampa Bay BuccaneersVernon Hargreaves III, CB, Florida
10New York GiantsReggie Ragland, ILB, Alabama
11New Orleans SaintsA'Shawn Robinson, DT, Alabama
12Philadelphia EaglesPaxton Lynch, QB, Memphis
13Detroit LionsDeForest Buckner, DE, Oregon
14Chicago BearsEmmanuel Ogbah, DE, Oklahoma State
15Oakland RaidersTaylor Decker, OT, Ohio State
16Buffalo BillsLeonard Floyd, OLB, Georgia
17Indianapolis ColtsAndrew Billings, DT, Baylor
18St. Louis RamsLaquon Treadwell, WR, Ole Miss
19Atlanta FalconsJarran Reed, DT, Alabama
20Pittsburgh SteelersTreDavious White, CB, LSU
21Houston TexansConnor Cook, QB, Michigan State
22Washington RedskinsRobert Nkemdiche, DT, Ole Miss
23Seattle SeahawksJonathan Allen, DE, Alabama
24New York JetsEzekiel Elliott, RB, Ohio State
25Kansas City ChiefsCorey Coleman, WR, Baylor
26Minnesota VikingsShaq Lawson, DE, Clemson
27Green Bay PackersShilique Calhoun, DE, Michigan State
28Denver BroncosJack Conklin, OT, Michigan State
29Cincinnati BengalsJonathan Bullard, DE, Florida
30Arizona CardinalsHunter Henry, TE, Arkansas
31Carolina PanthersGermain Ifedi, OT, Texas A&M

Quarterback Breakdown

5. San Francisco 49ers: Jared Goff, QB, Cal

Goff came on strong down the stretch with 19 touchdowns and one interception over the Golden Bears' final four games. That included a 467-yard, six-TD performance against Air Force in the Armed Forces Bowl to end the campaign on an extremely high note.

He's showcased an advanced understanding of the short and intermediate passing game, key traits in Cal's fast-paced spread offense. He also isn't afraid of contact, often standing tall in the pocket to deliver strikes in the face of pressure.

The biggest concerns are his deep-ball accuracy and his ability to make plays when flushed from the comfort of the pocket. Per Jeff Faraudo of the San Jose Mercury News, the quarterback stated the end result was a split decision between the first and second rounds from the NFL draft advisory board.

"I honestly looked at it for five seconds," Goff said. "It didn't really have much impact on my decision. I knew I was ready. That was a formality at that point."

49ers quarterbacks head into the season finale with 15 touchdowns and 11 interceptions. Colin Kaepernick, who for a time looked like a potential franchise option, continued to fade with six TDs and five picks. That means it's time to move forward with a new face under center like Goff.

12. Philadelphia Eagles: Paxton Lynch, QB, Memphis

Lynch finished the college season with an outing that was the polar opposite of Goff's. He never found a rhythm against a fast, aggressive Auburn defense that held him to 108 passing yards, no touchdowns and an interception in the Birmingham Bowl.

Exactly how much that outing will impact his stock isn't yet clear. No single game can override an entire resume of work, but it will likely give front offices reason to take another long look at his previous game tape. He simply couldn't deliver the necessary throws into tight windows with the spotlight on him.

Previously Lynch had showcased the ability to hit a variety of different throws with a quick release. When paired with his 6'7" frame, it's easy to see why he carries plenty of intrigue. Daniel Jeremiah of the NFL Network noted there's still the need for a lot more polish, though:

Ultimately, the poor bowl outing shouldn't cause his stock to plummet. It does place a greater importance on his workouts—whether that's individual work for teams, the combine or both—just to re-establish confidence that he can deliver passes quickly, crisply and in the right spots.

If he does that, the Eagles make for a good landing spot.

21. Houston Texans: Connor Cook, QB, Michigan State

Cook has an impressive arm that allows him to make every throw and gained three years of starting experience at Michigan State. The jury is still out concerning whether he has enough talent to become a top-end passer at the next level, though.

His ability to read defenses pre-snap and his field awareness while the play is going on are the two areas where he must make major strides. Too often he'll lock into one receiver and then attempt to force the ball into tight coverage rather than going through his full progression.

That said, his touchdown and interception numbers are still impressive despite a completion percentage that's stayed below 60 percent throughout his collegiate career. Stewart Mandel of Fox Sports noted at least one high-profile defensive coach is a Cook believer:

The Texans have cycled through a handful of different quarterbacks this season, and none of them are likely to fill the position for the long haul. Given the value of a reliable QB, taking a chance on Cook at this stage of Round 1 would make sense.

EPIC NFL Thanksgiving Slate 🙌

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