
College Football Playoff 2015: Fresh Predictions After Week 4 Results
With a new week comes a new slate of college football games and new additions to College Football Playoff resumes. Only four teams will get in, so each game is of the utmost importance because one slip-up could cause your favorite team to end up on the outside looking in.
There's still a lot of football to be played before we find out which teams will be vying for the national title, but we can still look into our crystal balls and try to predict who will make it.
As Pete Thamel of Sports Illustrated points out, you may be disappointed come playoff time if you root for an ACC squad:
Things can change, of course, but as of right now, it's not looking good for the ACC. Here are our most up-to-date predictions for the four schools that will compete for the game's ultimate prize:
- Ohio State Buckeyes
- Georgia Bulldogs
- Baylor Bears
- Michigan State Spartans
There's still no change at the top, as Ohio State will remain king of the mountain until someone knocks the Buckeyes off. Running back Ezekiel Elliott is one of the top backs in the country, and the Buckeyes can lean on him to control the game and wear opponents out.
As the team pointed out on Twitter, you can almost always pencil Elliott down to hit the 100-yard mark:
With such a reliable running back and a quarterback who has already led the team to a title, Ohio State controls its own destiny going forward.
Georgia jumped to No. 2 in our predictions this week. If the Bulldogs win the SEC behind running back Nick Chubb and the ever-efficient Greyson Lambert (9-of-10 passing this week), they will be a lock for the postseason.
Ole Miss could have something to say about Georgia's spot in the playoff, but the combination of Lambert and Chubb gives Georgia the advantage.
For the first time in the predictions made in this space, TCU is absent. The Horned Frogs have been usurped by conference foe Baylor. TCU's defense just hasn't looked like a unit that can keep the opposition off the scoreboard enough for TCU to win.
According to NCAA.com, the Frogs rank 72nd nationally in rush defense (169.8 yards allowed per game) and 81st in total defense (405.8 YPG).
With road games against Kansas State, Iowa State and Oklahoma and a home game against Baylor, which again looks like an offensive powerhouse, TCU could find itself with too many blemishes on its record come playoff time.
You could make the case for a couple different teams in the final spot.
If the Pac-12 champion has one loss or less, that team certainly would have a case. But the favorite right now is still Michigan State. The Spartans are ranked second in the AP Top 25 poll, and their schedule is much more favorable than any trip through the Pac-12.
After its destruction of Arizona in Tuscon, UCLA has looked like the best team in the Pac-12 so far. But three of the Bruins' last four games are on the road, including trips to Utah and USC in the final two weeks of the season.
Meanwhile, Michigan State could reasonably finish the season with its only loss coming against top-ranked Ohio State on the road. It would be hard to keep Sparty out if its only loss is in Columbus to the defending national champ.
And who knows? Maybe Michigan State will shock the world and knock off Ohio State.
Either way, Michigan State's schedule gives it the best opportunity to snag the final playoff spot—assuming it doesn't slip up along the way.
Do you agree with our predictions or did we leave your team out? Let us know which teams you think will be playing for it all in the comments below.
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