Joe Lunardi Bracketology 2025: Seeds, Bubble Teams and More After Duke, Auburn Wins

It's the time of year when fans of bubble teams and top seeds alike are constantly refreshing March Madness projections, and ESPN's Joe Lunardi provided just the update they were looking for after a full slate of Saturday games.

Lunardi posted his latest bracketology for the upcoming NCAA men's basketball tournament on Saturday, and Auburn still has the top-overall seed after defeating Georgia on Saturday. 

The Tigers are joined by Florida, Duke and Alabama as No. 1 seeds, while bubble contenders such as San Diego State, Arkansas, Oklahoma and Wake Forest are living a much more precarious existence despite just making the cut:

Duke and Alabama being on the top-seed line after Saturday comes as no surprise.

After all, the Crimson Tide picked up a notable win over No. 17 Kentucky—which is a No. 4 seed on Lunardi's projection—while the Blue Devils steamrolled Illinois by 43 points in a rare late-February nonconference game.

Those weren't the only high-profile contests that will carry weight on Selection Sunday, as No. 5 Houston beat No. 8 Iowa State, No. 6 Tennessee beat No. 7 Texas A&M and Oregon defeated No. 11 Wisconsin.

Both Houston and Tennessee are No. 2 seeds for Lunardi, although picking up more wins like they did Saturday will help them make a push for the top line down the stretch.

As for the bubble, Saturday was a day of mixed results for Lunardi's last four in the field. Arkansas (over No. 15 Missouri) and Oklahoma (over No. 21 Mississippi State) picked up critical wins over ranked foes, while Wake Forest added a bad loss to its resume against 11-16 NC State.

San Diego State's loss to 24-4 Utah State doesn't hurt much, but it was a missed opportunity at a resume-altering win.

Perhaps nothing jumps out more on Lunardi's projection than North Carolina in the first four out category, as the basketball powerhouse is more accustomed to competing for Final Fours than the final bids in the 68-team field.

It treaded water Saturday with a win over Virginia, but the regular-season finale against Duke is looming as a chance at revenge against its rival and a resume-boosting win just in time for Selection Sunday.