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Kansas forward Cliff Alexander (2) and Kansas State forward Stephen Hurt (41) during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game in Lawrence, Kan., Saturday, Jan. 31, 2015. (AP Photo/Orlin Wagner)
Kansas forward Cliff Alexander (2) and Kansas State forward Stephen Hurt (41) during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game in Lawrence, Kan., Saturday, Jan. 31, 2015. (AP Photo/Orlin Wagner)Orlin Wagner/Associated Press

NBA Mock Draft 2015: First-Round Projections and Sleeper Watch

Chris RolingMay 7, 2015

Free from the shackles of the NFL draft, the 2015 NBA draft now takes center stage.

The ensuing storylines promise to take hold and never let go until the Minnesota Timberwolves likely waltz to the podium and end much of the debate.

Karl-Anthony Towns and Jahlil Okafor make for the most interesting storyline. Draft classes littered with such talented big men don't come around often. Late risers (Justise Winslow) and wild cards (Emmanuel Mudiay) throw things for a loop, too.

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But what about the sleepers? The 2015 class seems top-heavy, and maybe in hindsight it will be, but right now, there are plenty of underdogs to watch for on the path to the draft.

2015 NBA 1st-Round Mock Draft

1Minnesota TimberwolvesJahlil Okafor, C, Duke
2New York KnicksKarl-Anthony Towns, PF, Kentucky
3Philadelphia 76ersEmmanuel Mudiay, PG, China
4Los Angeles LakersD'Angelo Russell, SG, Ohio State
5Orlando MagicJustise Winslow, SF, Duke
6Sacramento KingsWillie Cauley-Stein, C, Kentucky
7Denver NuggetsStanley Johnson, SF, Arizona
8Detroit PistonsMario Hezonja, SG/SF, Croatia
9Charlotte HornetsKelly Oubre, SG, Kansas
10Miami HeatKristaps Porzingis, PF, Latvia
11Indiana PacersFrank Kaminsky, PF, Wisconsin
12Utah JazzSam Dekker, SF, Wisconsin
13Phoenix SunsMyles Turner, C/PF, Texas
14Oklahoma City ThunderJerian Grant, PG, Notre Dame
15Atlanta Hawks (from Brooklyn Nets)Dakari Johnson, C, Kentucky
16Boston CelticsTrey Lyles, PF, Kentucky
17Milwaukee BucksMontrezl Harrell, PF, Louisville
18Houston Rockets (from New Orleans Pelicans)Devin Booker, SG, Kentucky
19Washington WizardsKevon Looney, PF, UCLA
20Toronto RaptorsRondae Hollis-Jefferson, SF, Arizona
21Dallas MavericksTyus Jones, PG, Duke
22Chicago BullsTerry Rozier, PG, Louisville
23Portland Trail BlazersCameron Payne, SG, Murray State
24Cleveland CavaliersBobby Portis, PF, Arkansas
25Memphis GrizzliesRobert Upshaw, C, Washington
26San Antonio SpursDelon Wright, PG, Utah
27Los Angeles Lakers (from Houston Rockets)R.J. Hunter, SG, Georgia State
28Boston Celtics (from Los Angeles Clippers)Justin Anderson, SF, Virginia
29Brooklyn Nets (from Atlanta Hawks)Cliff Alexander, PF, Kansas
30Golden State WarriorsJarell Martin, PF, LSU

Sleepers to Watch

R.J. Hunter, SG, Georgia State

JACKSONVILLE, FL - MARCH 21: R.J. Hunter looks on before the second half begins against the Xavier Musketeers during the third round of the 2015 NCAA Men's Basketball Tournament at Jacksonville Veterans Memorial Arena on March 21, 2015 in Jacksonville, Fl

It's not often NBA teams get a shot at a 6'5", 185-pound guard who can shoot and pass the ball well in the middle of the first round.

Barring a major shift in the stock department, this refers to Georgia State's R.J. Hunter. At one point, the Indianapolis native sat on the cusp of the late lottery thanks to his NBA size and range.

The NBA is down a tad on his prospects since, though, thanks in large part to a reduction in shooting percentage last season:

2014-15.395.3054.73.61.02.119.7
2013-14.444.3954.61.70.91.918.3
2012-13.439.3655.11.80.81.717.0

This dip in play has more to do with the opposition throwing everything it has at him to slow him, though.

The team willing to see the light in such a manner will have a steal on its hands. Hunter can contribute right away by helping to spread the court. He's a good passer, but most important of all, defenses will need to account for his shot.

Justin Anderson, SG/SF, Virginia

Mar 22, 2015; Charlotte, NC, USA; Virginia Cavaliers guard Justin Anderson (1) during the first half against the Michigan State Spartans in the third round of the 2015 NCAA Tournament at Time Warner Cable Arena. Mandatory Credit: Jeremy Brevard-USA TODAY

Few players have more at stake than Virginia's Justin Anderson in the predraft workouts.

Anderson offers outstanding size at 6'6" and 222 pounds. He's athletic, can put the ball on the court and create for others and himself. The problem is, Anderson shot 45 percent from deep this past season as a junior.

It doesn't sound like much of a problem, right? He never shot better than 30 percent in each of the two years before. ESPN.com's Chad Ford breaks down the implications:

"

Anderson has declared for the 2016 NBA Draft. Anderson has the athleticism to be a very good NBA wing. The question is whether he has the jump shot. Anderson shot the lights out from three for most of his junior year before an injury slowed him down. The question is: was that hot shooting an anomaly or did he just dramatically improve after shooting a much lower percentage as a freshman or sophomore?

"

If Anderson can suggest to the NBA his rapid ascent up the shooting charts is an improvement and not some sort of long-extended fluke, watch out. 

There's a lot to like with Anderson. His shooting percentage never regressed to the mean until an injury last year. If he shows the same ability again, a major climb up boards will be in order.

Cliff Alexander, PF, Kansas

KANSAS CITY, MO - MARCH 13:  Cliff Alexander #2 of the Kansas Jayhawks looks on against the Baylor Bears during a semifinal game of the 2015 Big 12 Basketball Tournament at Sprint Center on March 13, 2015 in Kansas City, Missouri.  (Photo by Ed Zurga/Gett

If Anderson has much at stake during workouts, Kansas' Cliff Alexander needs to knock interviews out of the park.

The freshman from Chicago shouldn't be in the draft, but he declared anyway. Right off the bat, it's easy to see his 6'8" and 251-pound frame won't encounter many issues in the pros, but the fact he's 19 years old and seems to need another year of development will give teams pause.

Teams not prone to hesitation, though, will see an elite athlete who can be a two-way player, in large part thanks to his ability to play defense and get shots off above taller defenders.

Granted, Alexander averaged just 7.1 points and 5.3 rebounds per game, but it's not wise to take numbers posted under Bill Self at Kansas in much of a serious manner. As Rodger Bohn of SLAM Magazine notes, Alexander even shows future potential as a shooter:

Free of Self's system and with immense upside, there's a steal waiting for a team in the middle of the first round, if not later.

Alexander should encounter few issues shedding the sleeper label in workouts, so watch out.

All stats and info via ESPN.com unless otherwise specified. 

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