2015 NFL Mock Draft Round 2: List of Team-by-Team Projections After Round 1

If the opening half of the 2015 NFL draft was relatively calm, with plenty of chalk and few trades, then the second half of Round 1 unleashed total chaos that shook up much of the draft's complexion.  With surprise picks like Shaq Thompson, Phillip Dorsett and Stephone Anthony butting their way onto the Day 1 draft board, plenty of expected premium picks are still sitting around as Round 2 approaches.  

Second-round picks are often first-round talents with significant question marks, a characterization befitting of the top remaining prospects.  Between Randy Gregory, Dorial Green-Beckham and Jalen Collins, the questions surrounding Round 2 prospects are much more intangible than anything else.

Taking a look at the updated big board, let's project where some of these players could hear their names called over the next 32 picks, while also highlighting the top prospects to watch during Round 2.

Pick (Overall)	Team	Player
1 (33)	Tennessee Titans	T.J. Clemmings, OT, Pitt
2 (34)	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Jake Fisher, OT/G, Oregon
3 (35)	Oakland Raiders	Jalen Collins, CB, LSU
4 (36)	Jacksonville Jaguars	Landon Collins, SS, Alabama
5 (37)	New York Jets	Jaelen Strong, WR, Arizona State
6 (38)	Washington	Randy Gregory, OLB, Nebraska
7 (39)	Chicago Bears	Eddie Goldman, DT, Florida Statae
8 (40)	New York Giants	Owamagbe Odighizuwa, DE, UCLA
9 (41)	St. Louis Rams	Devin Smith, WR, Ohio State
10 (42)	Atlanta Falcons	Eric Kendricks, ILB, UCLA
11 (43)	Cleveland Browns	Dorial Green-Beckham, WR, Missouri
12 (44)	New Orleans Saints	Michael Bennett, DT, Ohio State
13 (45)	Minnesota Vikings	Devin Funchess, WR, Michigan
14 (46)	San Francisco 49ers	Ronald Darby, CB, Florida State
15 (47)	Miami Dolphins	Ameer Abdullah, RB, Nebraska
16 (48)	San Diego Chargers	Eli Harold, OLB, Virginia
17 (49)	Kansas City Chiefs	A.J. Cann, OG, South Carolina
18 (50)	Buffalo Bills	Garrett Grayson, QB, Colorado State
19 (51)	Houston Texans	Tevin Coleman, RB, Indiana
20 (52)	Philadelphia Eagles	Brett Hundley, QB, UCLA
21 (53)	Cincinnati Bengals	Preston Smith, DE, Mississippi State
22 (54)	Detroit Lions	Jordan Phillips, DT, Oklahoma
23 (55)	Arizona Cardinals	Hau'oli Kikaha, OLB, Washington
24 (56)	Pittsburgh Steelers	Quinten Rollins, CB, Miami (OH)
25 (57)	Carolina Panthers	Nate Orchard, DE, Utah
26 (58)	Baltimore Ravens	Grady Jarrett, DT, Clemson
27 (59)	Denver Broncos	Maxx Williams, TE, Minnesota
28 (60)	Dallas Cowboys	Duke Johnson, RB, Miami (FL)
29 (61)	Indianapolis Colts	Carl Davis, DT, Iowa
30 (62)	Green Bay Packers	Benardrick McKinney, ILB, Mississippi State
31 (63)	Seattle Seahawks	Donovan Smith, OT/G, Penn State
32 (64)	New England Patriots	Eric Rowe, CB, Utah

Most Intriguing Players

Randy Gregory, OLB, Nebraska

Eric Francis/Getty Images

Once a bona fide top-10 prospect, Gregory's failed marijuana test at the scouting combine coupled with incessant questions about his playing weight have combined to knock him out of the first round entirely.  Yahoo's Rand Getlin, who spoke with Gregory after his fall, illustrated an extremely disappointed prospect sure to have a chip on his shoulder whenever he does get selected:

Even with the increasing value of pass-rushers in today's league, Gregory probably needs to start his career as a pure subpackage specialist.  Given that he was reportedly under 230 pounds a couple of weeks before the draft, it's clear that he probably needs multiple years to build up his body to the point where he could reasonably hold the edge against bigger, longer tackles.

Still, it appears there's a misperception that Gregory is a one-trick pony.  To be sure, he uses essentially the same pass-rushing move on every down; as Football Outsiders' Matt Waldman details, Gregory relies heavily on a "chop" move in which he bats down the offensive lineman's hands to get around the corner.  But he is also capable of winning inside, as he demonstrates promising power in his pass rushes for someone of his size.

Thus, that kind of upper-body strength suggests that Gregory is not necessarily a prospect in need of a huge bulk-up to play with enough functional strength.  The same pressure-needy teams who once considered him in the top 10 could get a second crack at him, where he would represent arguably the best value of Round 2.

Landon Collins, SS, Alabama

The draft's consensus top safety was stunningly not even the first safety off of the board.  OK, Damarious Randall is likely a better fit at cornerback in Green Bay, but Randall's selection aside, it was surprising to see Landon Collins fall all of the way out of the first round.

The Alabama product's descent is indicative of how the league now values more versatile and rangier center field types at the safety spot rather than the old-school box safeties like Collins.  And yet, though cornerback remains the more premium defensive back spot, it's a little ominous that Collins wasn't taken in Round 1.  Based on data from Pro-Football-Reference, there have been a total of 17 first-round safeties since 2007, with 2011 being the only year without one:

Year	Player	Team	Overall Pick
2014	Calvin Pryor	NY Jets	18
2014	Ha Ha Clinton-Dix	Green Bay	21
2014	Deone Bucannon	Arizona	27
2013	Kenny Vaccaro	New Orleans	15
2013	Eric Reid	San Francisco	18
2013	Matt Elam	Baltimore	32
2012	Mark Barron	Tampa Bay	7
2012	Harrison Smith	Minnesota	29
2010	Eric Berry	Kansas City	5
2010	Earl Thomas	Seattle	14
2010	Devin McCourty	New England	27
2009	Malcolm Jenkins	New Orleans	14
2008	Kenny Phillips	NY Giants	31
2007	LaRon Landry	Washington	6
2007	Michael Griffin	Tennessee	19
2007	Reggie Nelson	Jacksonville	21
2007	Brandon Meriweather	New England	24

There are several box safeties on that list, too, such as Eric Berry and Deone Bucannon, so Collins' fall probably indicates that teams viewed him as more of a second-round talent all along.  It's possible that positional scarcity caused draftniks to move him up to the first round, which would serve as another example of how teams don't necessarily think the same way as even the most astute media members.

Collins should be an early-down asset against the run right away, and he possesses the size, the ball skills and the balance to challenge tight ends down the seam.  Though he'll never be a rangy security blanket on the back end, teams like Jacksonville, Oakland and Washington in need of safety help at the top of Round 2 should strongly consider Collins.

Dorial Green-Beckham, WR, Missouri

John Bazemore/Associated Press

In a post-Aaron Hernandez NFL, off-field issues are going to place a bigger anchor a draft prospect's stock than ever before.  Along with Gregory, Green-Beckham might as well be the poster child for this.  The freakishly talented 6'5," 237-pounder likely would have been the third or the fourth receiver off of the board without any off-field red flags, but as is, teams in the middle of the first round ended up passing for safer options:

In truth, Green-Beckham probably doesn't become a plus-value pick until Rounds 3 or 4.  Having played only two collegiate seasons and sat out the entire 2014 campaign, DGB is an extremely raw prospect who will need significant developmental time.  Organizational structure will be critical to his future prospects; Green-Beckham will not only need the structure to keep him out of trouble but also the coaching to keep him patient through what will likely be a difficult transition.

For now, he is a highly unrefined route-runner without great instincts and an occasionally spotty motor.  Thus, he will probably be a pure red-zone threat early in his career, where teams can ask him to run uncomplicated fade or post routes and use his size to box out corners.

Ideally, Green-Beckham would end up in a situation in which he won't necessarily need to play much in 2015.  This mock has him going to the receiver-needy Cleveland Browns, but a more stable structure like Green Bay, Baltimore or New Orleans might give him the best chance at translating his immense talent into a successful career.

Brett Hundley, QB, UCLA

The identity of the third quarterback off of the board is anyone's best guess, but it will likely happen in this round.  NFL Media's Ian Rapoport suggested before the draft that Baylor's Bryce Petty could sneak into Round 1, potentially to New Orleans at pick 31.  Some like Garrett Grayson, and this mock has him as the No. 3 QB in this draft.

And yet, neither possesses the same physical tools as UCLA's Brett Hundley.  The NFL has been slow to adapt to the proliferation of spread offenses in college football, which is part of the reason why we've seen a dearth of great young quarterbacks in recent seasons.  Until the pro league incorporates more spread concepts into their offenses, players like Hundley are going to enter as significant projects.  Nevertheless, multiple analysts suggested that Hundley should have been the quarterback to sneak into Round 1 because of his upside:

"

As I said back in January, I am still certain Winston and Mariota will go 1-2 in the NFL draft. I also feel UCLA QB Hundley should go in 1st

— Mark Dominik (@MarkdominikESPN) April 26, 2015"

Yes, Hundley is probably more raw than Petty or Grayson; however, Football Outsiders' QBASE, which accounts for collegiate statistics, experience and supporting cast in determining pro success, actually projects Hundley as the second-best quarterback in this class behind Marcus Mariota.  QBASE projects a prospect's mean DYAR production (stat explained here) from Years 3-5 of their career, and Andrew Healy's metric portrays Hundley as the most likely non-Mariota quarterback to become an adequate starter or better:

Player	Bust (<500 DYAR)	Adequate Starter (500-1499 DYAR)	Upper Tier (1500-2000 DYAR)	Elite (>2500 DYAR)
Jameis Winston	61.3%	25.8%	9.5%	3.3%
Marcus Mariota	22.8%	40.5%	24.1%	12.6%
Brett Hundley	36.1%	37.9%	17.4%	8.6%
Garrett Grayson	82.9%	12.2%	4.3%	0.6%
Bryce Petty	80.2%	13.7%	5.2%	0.9%

You don't necessarily need to agree with FO's outcome, but its methodology does favor the fact that he was productive against a difficult schedule, moreso than Jameis Winston, for instance.  Moreover, UCLA's offense under head coach Jim Mora did ask Hundley to move through progression reads, a fact that many seem to forget when discussing the ex-Bruin.

Still, Hundley is probably better suited for an offense that will simplify things while allowing him to accentuate his arm strength and athleticism in space.  The Eagles may not have gotten their man in Mariota, but Hundley could be an intriguing consolation prize for head coach Chip Kelly.