
NFL Draft 2015: Assessing Expert Mock Draft Analysis from Around the Web
There's a major lull in NFL action right now. The Super Bowl is in the rearview mirror, and the NFL Scouting Combine has yet to commence. At this time of year, the best way to fill the void in our football-deprived minds is to analyze the abundance of mock NFL drafts around the Web.
Many respectable mock drafts are available for our viewing pleasure; however, there are a handful of expert assessments that carry an extraordinary amount of clout. Three such experts—Bleacher Report's Matt Miller, Dane Brugler of NFLDraftScout.com and NFL Media's Daniel Jeremiah—have recently released their pre-combine analysis.
Looking at all three mocks side by side and comparing these experts' selections is a worthwhile endeavor for any NFL fan or draft enthusiast. It paints a picture of each team's needs and differing opinions on which prospects will be available to fill those holes.
Let's take a look at the first-round outlook from each expert and assess where they agree in their selections.
| 1 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Jameis Winston, QB, Florida State | Jameis Winston, QB, Florida State | Jameis Winston, QB, Florida State |
| 2 | Tennessee Titans | Leonard Williams, DT, USC | Randy Gregory, DE, Nebraska | Randy Gregory, DE, Nebraska |
| 3 | Jacksonville Jaguars | Randy Gregory, DE, Nebraska | Leonard Williams, DT, USC | Dante Fowler, OLB, Florida |
| 4 | Oakland Raiders | Kevin White, WR, West Virginia | Amari Cooper, WR, Alabama | Kevin White, WR, West Virginia |
| 5 | Washington Redskins | Brandon Scherff, OT, Iowa | Dante Fowler, OLB, Florida | Leonard Williams, DT, USC |
| 6 | New York Jets | Marcus Mariota, QB, Oregon | Marcus Mariota, QB, Oregon | Marcus Mariota, QB, Oregon |
| 7 | Chicago Bears | Shane Ray, DE, Missouri | Danny Shelton, DT, Washington | Shane Ray, DE, Missouri |
| 8 | Atlanta Falcons | Dante Fowler, OLB, Florida | Vic Beasley, OLB, Clemson | Amari Cooper, WR, Alabama |
| 9 | New York Giants | Danny Shelton, DT, Washington | Shane Ray, DE, Missouri | Danny Shelton, DT, Washington |
| 10 | St. Louis Rams | La'el Collins, OT, LSU | Andrus Peat, OT, Stanford | Trae Waynes, CB, Michigan State |
| 11 | Minnesota Vikings | Amari Cooper, WR, Alabama | DeVante Parker, WR, Louisville | DeVante Parker, WR, Louisville |
| 12 | Cleveland Browns | DeVante Parker, WR, Louisville | Kevin White, WR, West Virginia | T.J. Clemmings, OT, Pittsburgh |
| 13 | New Orleans Saints | Bud Dupree, OLB, Kentucky | Brandon Scherff, OT, Iowa | Arik Armstead, DE, Oregon |
| 14 | Miami Dolphins | Malcom Brown, DT, Texas | La'el Collins, OT, LSU | Benardrick McKinney, ILB, Miss State |
| 15 | San Francisco 49ers | Jaelen Strong, WR, Arizona State | Arik Armstead, DE, Oregon | Malcom Brown, DT, Texas |
| 16 | Houston Texans | Trae Waynes, CB, Michigan State | Trae Waynes, CB, Michigan State | Andrus Peat, OT, Stanford |
| 17 | San Diego Chargers | Andrus Peat, OT, Stanford | T.J. Clemmings, OT, Pittsburgh | Eddie Goldman, DT, Florida State |
| 18 | Kansas City Chiefs | Devin Funchess, WR, Michigan | Jaelen Strong, WR, Arizona State | Dorial Green-Beckham, WR, Oklahoma |
| 19 | Cleveland Browns (via Buffalo) | Eddie Goldman, DT, Florida State | Malcom Brown, DT, Texas | Devin Smith, WR, Ohio State |
| 20 | Philadelphia Eagles | Landon Collins, S, Alabama | Quinten Rollins, CB, Miami (OH) | Landon Collins, S, Alabama |
| 21 | Cincinnati Bengals | Shaq Thompson, OLB, Washington | Shaq Thompson, OLB, Washington | Bud Dupree, OLB, Kentucky |
| 22 | Pittsburgh Steelers | Marcus Peters, CB, Washington | Bud Dupree, OLB, Kentucky | Gerod Holliman, S, Louisville |
| 23 | Detroit Lions | Carl Davis, DT, Iowa | Carl Davis, DT, Iowa | P.J. Williams, CB, Florida State |
| 24 | Arizona Cardinals | Benardrick McKinney, ILB, Miss State | Todd Gurley, RB, Georgia | Eli Harold, OLB, Virginia |
| 25 | Carolina Panthers | T.J. Clemmings, OT, Pittsburgh | Ereck Flowers, OT, Miami | Brandon Scherff, OT, Iowa |
| 26 | Baltimore Ravens | Todd Gurley, RB, Georgia | Marcus Peters, CB, Washington | Devin Funchess, WR, Michigan |
| 27 | Dallas Cowboys | Gerod Holliman, S, Louisville | Preston Smith, DE, Miss State | Melvin Gordon, RB, Wisconsin |
| 28 | Denver Broncos | Ereck Flowers, OT, Miami | Maxx Williams, TE, Minnesota | La'el Collins, OT, LSU |
| 29 | Indianapolis Colts | Eli Harold, OLB, Virginia | Landon Collins, S, Alabama | Vic Beasley, OLB, Clemson |
| 30 | Green Bay Packers | Eric Kendricks, ILB, UCLA | Benardrick McKinney, ILB, Miss State | Denzel Perryman, ILB, Miami |
| 31 | Seattle Seahawks | Melvin Gordon, RB, Wisconsin | Dorial Green-Beckham, WR, Oklahoma | Preston Smith, DE, Miss State |
| 32 | New England Patriots | Jordan Phillips, DT, Oklahoma | A.J. Cann, OG, South Carolina | Todd Gurley, RB, Georgia |
Matt Miller's seven-round mock draft can be found at Bleacher Report.
Dane Brugler's one-round mock draft can be found at CBS Sports.
Daniel Jeremiah's one-round mock draft can be found at NFL.com.
Analyzing Consensus 1st-Round Selections
It's not often draft analysts agree on the exact prospect who will be selected by a certain team. In this instance, the only two players who went in the same position in all three expert mock drafts were Florida State quarterback Jameis Winston to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at No. 1 and Oregon quarterback Marcus Mariota to the New York Jets at No. 6.
It's pretty easy to see why the experts agreed on those two selections. The Buccaneers hold the top pick, and a recent report from Pat Yasinskas of ESPN.com came equipped with a rumor that head coach Lovie Smith favored Winston over Mariota:
"I've heard that coach Lovie Smith prefers Winston over Oregon's Marcus Mariota. When Smith chose Dirk Koetter as the Bucs' offensive coordinator over Marc Trestman, the logic was simple. Although Smith and Trestman have similar philosophies about how to run an offense, they disagreed on the quarterbacks. Trestman preferred Mariota.
Smith favors Winston and Smith is the boss.
"
It's unclear as to whether that's a smokescreen or not, but early indications are the Florida State product will go No. 1 overall.
That leaves Mariota as the only remaining quarterback with a first-round grade. The Tennessee Titans may be tempted to select the former Duck at No. 2, but they have a great need along the defensive front and are likely to fill that void while continuing to see what they have in Zach Mettenberger.
If that's the case, the next quarterback-needy team happens to be the New York Jets at No. 6.
While those are the only two players the three experts agree on, there are several other instances where they all drafted players of the same position to a certain team.
At No. 4 overall, each analyst selected a wide receiver for the Oakland Raiders. This team began to make strides late in the season with rookie quarterback Derek Carr at the helm. Oakland must provide Carr with a true No. 1 option for his continued development.
Another team in dire need of a wide receiver is the Minnesota Vikings. Each expert projected a pass-catcher to them at No. 11 overall. Miller saw Alabama standout Amari Cooper falling out of the top 10, while the other two opted to reunite quarterback Teddy Bridgewater with DeVante Parker.
Continuing the wide receiver trend, each analyst predicted a wide receiver to the Kansas City Chiefs at No. 18 overall. While they all selected different prospects, the three pass-catchers have one thing in common: Each is a big outside threat with a huge catch radius. That's something the Chiefs have been missing for quite some time.
The Cincinnati Bengals desperately need help within their linebacker corps, and the experts all agreed on that notion. Cincinnati's depth was tested last season, as a rash of injuries struck the team. Making matters worse, middle linebacker Rey Maualuga is slated to hit the open market this year. The Bengals will need to address this area in a hurry.
It's no surprise offensive tackles were slated to the Carolina Panthers in all three mock drafts. Last year, quarterback Cam Newton was given a nice target in Kelvin Benjamin, but the team still needed to address its deficiencies across the offensive line. After a year full of quarterback hurries and errant passes, don't be surprised if the Panthers finally snag a lineman in this year's draft.
Finally, the Green Bay Packers were given an inside linebacker in each mock. The team's linebacker corps was a mess in 2014, and it was forced to slide the versatile Clay Matthews inside to mask the weakness. While Matthews flourished, his natural position is on the outside, so selecting a promising inside linebacker will bring balance back to the unit.
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