NFL Picks Week 14: Updated Lines and Final-Score Predictions for All Games

It's incredible how quickly we can overreact immediately following the NFL's weekly results.

In the wake of Week 13, the Dallas Cowboys look poised for another December meltdown, the Arizona Cardinals have been overrated all along, the San Francisco 49ers may be the worst team in the NFC West and Ryan Fitzpatrick will guide the Houston Texans to the playoffs.

At least that's what it was easy to think following those teams' recent performances. Now that we've had a few days to cool down, we can take a level-headed approach to the upcoming slate of Week 14 contests in an effort to beat this week's odds and line our pockets with some cash for the holiday season.

Here's a look at all Week 14 contests, their corresponding odds and a final-score prediction for each.

Matchup	Spread	Prediction
Dallas at Chicago	Cowboys -3.5	DAL, 31-23
St. Louis at Washington	Rams -2.5	STL, 24-17
Houston at Jacksonville	Texans -5.5	HOU, 27-13
NY Giants at Tennessee	Even	NYG, 27-26
Tampa Bay at Detroit	Lions -10	DET, 30-13
Carolina at New Orleans	Saints -10	NO, 30-23
Indianapolis at Cleveland	Colts -3.5	IND, 31-17
Pittsburgh at Cincinnati	Bengals -3	CIN, 24-23
NY Jets at Minnesota	Vikings -7	MIN, 16-13
Baltimore at Miami	Dolphins -2.5	MIA, 24-21
Kansas City at Arizona	Cardinals -1.5	KC, 23-20
Buffalo at Denver	Broncos -10	DEN, 30-23
San Francisco at Oakland	49ers -8	SF, 20-13
Seattle at Philadelphia	Even	SEA, 27-24
New England at San Diego	Patriots -3.5	NE, 31-27
Atlanta at Green Bay	Packers -12	GB, 38-20

All game odds courtesy of Odds Shark and current as of December 2.

Week 14 Odds to Bet

Houston Texans (-5.5) at Jacksonville Jaguars

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The Jaguars may have notched a win over the New York Giants in Week 13, but it wasn't because of their offense. Blake Bortles and Co. are having a difficult time getting points on the board, as only 12 of the team's 25 points came from the offense.

Bortles continues to struggle adjusting to the NFL, and Jacksonville's coaching staff is allowing him to pass far too often. Without a balanced attack, the offense keeps sputtering and put up a total of just 258 yards against the Giants. Even though Houston is ranked 29th against the pass, the rookie signal-caller will have trouble finding the end zone due to a one-dimensional scheme.

Meanwhile, the Texans are coming off an extremely well-rounded performance against the Tennessee Titans. Ryan Fitzpatrick found himself under center once again and promptly threw six touchdown passes. Arian Foster was healthy enough to return to action, and he racked up 79 rushing yards and caught a touchdown pass. Meanwhile, DeAndre Hopkins went off, totaling 238 receiving yards and two scores.

Defensively, the Texans accumulated three sacks and forced four turnovers while holding Zach Mettenberger to 184 passing yards and Tennessee's running game to just 3.8 yards per carry. Jim Wyatt of The Tennessean tweeted his report-card grade for the Titans:

It was an all-around dominant performance, and we can expect more of the same in Week 14 against a struggling Jaguars team.

Prediction: Texans 27, Jaguars 13

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Detroit Lions (-10)

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If this line remains under 17, go ahead and bet in favor of Detroit. Why? Well, it's really simple. The NFL's stingiest defense is playing at home against the league's 28th-ranked scoring offense. Don't expect Tampa Bay to put many points on the board.

The Buccaneers have only managed 13 points in each of their last two outings due to a terrible running game and inconsistent quarterback play. The Cincinnati Bengals haven't been great against the run this season, yet Tampa Bay managed just 3.0 yards per carry. That led to Josh McCown completing just 15 of his 29 passing attempts for 190 yards, zero touchdowns and one interception for a passer rating of 58.1.

That offense must now contend with a Detroit defense that ranks first against the run and 12th against the pass.

In previous weeks, the Lions offense was a bit of a concern, but they sure got it going against the Chicago Bears in Week 13. Matthew Stafford hooked up with Calvin Johnson 11 times for 146 yards and two touchdowns. ESPN Stats & Info noted how the passing game poured it on early and often:

Meanwhile, Joique Bell rushed for 91 yards and two scores. Now, they get a Tampa Bay defense that's allowing an average of 26.2 points per game.

This one won't be close.

Prediction: Lions 30, Buccaneers 13

Indianapolis Colts (-3.5) at Cleveland Browns

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Johnny Manziel is not the savior of the Browns. Not this year, anyway.

After Brian Hoyer produced yet another dreadful performance in Week 13, he was benched in favor of the rookie signal-caller. Manziel did complete five of his eight passes for 63 yards and added a rushing touchdown, but his inexperience will be the team's undoing at a time when contenders like the Colts are making a push for the playoffs.

If Manziel starts in Week 14, one source doesn't appear to think the switch under center will work out, according to ESPN's Ed Werder:

While the Indianapolis defense has allowed some leeway to opposing offenses this season, it's difficult to imagine a rookie making his first-career start keeping up with Andrew Luck and the league's most prolific passing attack.

Luck is coming off a performance in which he threw for 370 yards and five touchdowns on just 19 completions. Meanwhile, running back Daniel Herron emerged early in the game with a 49-yard touchdown scamper. This team is chock-full of home run-hitting players, and Manziel will have his hands full with a pass rush that just recently sacked Colt McCoy six times.

Prediction: Colts 31, Browns 17