Odds of Each 2013 MLB Home Run Derby Contestant Winning the Trophy

The captains have made their selections and the field of eight players who will participate in the 2013 Home Run Derby at Citi Field has been set. 

American League captain Robinson Cano selected Yoenis Cespedes to round out his team (via Susan Slusser of the San Francisco Chronicle) after picking Prince Fielder and Chris Davis as part of Monday's initial announcement. 

Let the debate begin.

Unlike last year, when Cano took flak from fans for failing to include a player from the hometown Kansas City Royals, this year's derby is guaranteed to have one player who enjoys a distinct home-field advantage in National League captain David Wright.

But is it enough of an advantage for Wright to capture his first Home Run Derby crown?

Let's take a look at each of the contestants and how their odds of winning stack up against the competition.

*Unless otherwise noted, all statistics courtesy of Baseball-Reference.com and are current through games as of July 7.

*All Home Run Derby history courtesy of MLB.com.

8. Michael Cuddyer (National League)

2013 Home Run Total: 15

Number of Previous Home Run Derby Appearances: None

Best Finish: First-time participant

Career Home Runs At Citi Field: None (10 AB)

Do you remember the old song from Sesame Street, aptly titled "One of These Things"?

Well, one of this year's Home Run Derby participants is not like the others, and the argument could be made that Michael Cuddyer just doesn't belong.

The outfielder is having a fantastic season in Colorado. He is hitting .337 with a .975 OPS, but Cuddyer has never been considered a slugger, cracking the 20-home run plateau only three times in his 12 previous major league seasons.

While he and captain David Wright are good friends, his inclusion over some of the bigger sluggers in the National League, like Cincinnati's Jay Bruce, Atlanta's Justin Upton and Miami's Giancarlo Stanton, is an odd one.

With all due respect, Cuddyer doesn't stand a chance against the rest of this formidable field.

Odds of Winning: 100-to-1 (1 percent)

7. Yoenis Cespedes (American League)

2013 Home Run Total: 15

Number of Previous Home Run Derby Appearances: None

Best Finish: First-time participant

Career Home Runs At Citi Field: None (never played there)

Coming off of a strong rookie campaign in Oakland that saw him hit .292 with 23 home runs, 82 RBI and an .861 OPS, Yoenis Cespedes finds himself in the midst of a nasty sophomore slump, one that has seen him struggle to hit for average and get on base with any consistency.

But the power remains.

That power seems to come in bunches, as his last six home runs have come in three games, hitting a pair of bombs in each. That, coupled with his freak athleticism, might work to his advantage in the Home Run Derby.

While it wouldn't at all be surprising to see Cespedes have a strong showing at Citi Field, he's going up against some formidable competition and, if he's not in a groove, it's just as easy to see Cespedes fail to advance out of the first round.

Odds of Winning: 30-1

6. David Wright (National League)

2013 Home Run Total: 13

Previous Home Run Derby Appearances: One

Best Finish: Second

Career Home Runs At Citi Field: 37(1,160 AB)

David Wright nearly won the Home Run Derby in 2006, losing by one home run to Philadelphia's Ryan Howard in an event that many Mets fans blamed for a noticeable hitch in his swing, one that wasn't there before he participated in the contest.

Yet, Wright has gone on to have a terrific career since, averaging 23 home runs a season between 2007 and 2012, and is on pace this year to eclipse the 20-home run plateau for the seventh time in his career.

No player in the contest will have as much fan support as Wright, and while the energy in the stadium can certainly pump a player up and propel him to new heights, Wright simply doesn't go deep very often at Citi Field.

Case in point: of his 13 home runs this season, only three have come at home.

While you can never say never, that fact makes it difficult to peg Wright as one of the favorites this year.

Odds of Winning: 25-to-1

5. Prince Fielder (American League)

2013 Home Run Total: 15

Number of Previous Home Run Derby Appearances: Four

Best Finish: First (2009 and 2012)

Career Home Runs At Citi Field: One (36 AB)

Generally speaking, defending champions don't perform well at the Home Run Derby, as only Ken Griffey Jr. was able to hold on to his crown for consecutive seasons when he won the Derby in 1998 and 1999.

While Detroit's Prince Fielder has struggled to go deep at Citi Field in limited playing time, he remains one of the most feared sluggers in the game and is a threat to hit a bomb every time he steps to the plate.

With more experience in the Home Run Derby than any of the other participants, you have to like Fielder's chances of repeating when he gets his first crack at defending his Home Run Derby crown (he did not participate in the event in 2010).

Odds of Winning: 20-to-1

4. Carlos Gonzalez (National League)

2013 Home Run Total: 24

Number of Previous Home Run Derby Appearances: One

Best Finish: Fifth (2012)

Career Home Runs At Citi Field: One (38 AB)

Last season, Carlos Gonzalez was simply overmatched in his Home Run Derby debut, finding himself eliminated from the competition after slugging only four home runs in the first round.

But unlike last year, when the bulk of his production came inside the cozy confines of Coors Field, CarGo has hit more home runs on the road (13) than he has at home (11) this season, a turn of events that increases his chances of winning this year's event.

Currently the National League's home run leader, Gonzalez has to be considered a far more dangerous participant than he was a year ago.

Odds of Winning: 15-to-1

3. Robinson Cano (American League)

2013 Home Run Total: 20

Previous Home Run Derby Appearances: Two

Best Finish: First (2011)

Career Home Runs At Citi Field: Two (17 AB)

The biggest question surrounding Robinson Cano as he heads into his third consecutive Home Run Derby isn't about strategy or his mindset going into the event—it's whether he'll have his dad, former major league pitcher Jose Cano, serve as his personal pitcher once again.

His father was a good luck charm at Chase Field in 2011 when Cano beat Boston's Adrian Gonzalez in the finals to clinch his first Home Run Derby crown, but the pair failed to repeat that magic at Kauffman Stadium last year, when Cano didn't go deep in the first round and was quickly eliminated.

But Cano is a former champion and owner of one of the smoothest swings in baseball today, two things that make him one of the favorites in this year's contest.

Odds of Winning: 12-to-1  

2. Bryce Harper (Washington Nationals)

2013 Home Run Total: 13

Number of Previous Home Run Derby Appearances: None

Best Finish: First-time participant

Career Home Runs At Citi Field: Three (33 AB)

Blessed with as much raw power as any player in the game, Washington's Bryce Harper has the best chance on the National League squad to walk away with the Home Run Derby title.

While this is Harper's debut in the MLB Home Run Derby, it's not the first time he's participated in such an event, doing so at Tropicana Field in 2009 while still in high school. And what a show he put on, including this 502-foot blast, one that would have cleared multiple stadiums around the league.

If you weren't planning on watching this year's Home Run Derby, Harper's inclusion is reason enough to tune in. He is capable of putting on a tremendous show, one that rivals Josh Hamilton's performance in the 2008 Home Run Derby at Yankee Stadium.

Odds of Winning: 10-to-1

1. Chris Davis (American League)

2013 Home Run Total: 33

Number of Previous Home Run Derby Appearances: None

Best Finish: First-time participant

Career Home Runs At Citi Field: None (Eight AB)

If you're looking for me to doubt Baltimore's Chris Davis this season, well, I'm afraid you'll be disappointed.

Baseball's home run leader, Davis has been on fire since Opening Day and has shown no signs of slowing down. He is the hands-down favorite to win the Home Run Derby this year because of his sweet, easy, home run swing and incredible performance so far this season.

Odds of Winning: 5-to-1