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MLB Draft 2013: Breaking Down Most Polarizing Prospects in Class

Ryan RudnanskyMay 28, 2013

Beyond the well-regarded "Big Three" of Mark Appel, Jonathan Gray and Kris Bryant, the 2013 MLB draft figures to feature an unpredictable first round.

There are those prospects who have shown who they are for the most part, and then there are those prospects who have a high ceiling, but low floor.

As we've seen in the past, however, sometimes a risk can turn into a sure-fire All-Star. 

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Here's a look at the most polarizing prospects of the 2013 MLB draft.

Clint Frazier, OF, Loganville HS (Ga.)

Clint Frazier has arguably the best bat speed in the class, along with impressive raw power. He also plays with great energy and passion out on the field.

Nevertheless, concerns about his lack of size (6'1", 190 pounds), and lack of foot speed, may push him out of the top-10. He'll also need to develop his recognition of different types of pitches. He hammers fastballs and can destroy hanging breaking balls, but he has struggled with higher-quality pitches.

Still, Frazier is young and—with some work—has the potential to be something special down the road. I wouldn't be surprised if he lands in the top-10 come draft day.

Sean Manaea, LHP, Indiana State

Sean Manaea is a curious prospect.

Nobody was paying him much attention before last summer, but his success in the Cape Cod League opened people's eyes. His numbers in the summer of 2012 rivaled some of the best in the league's history, going 5-1 with a 1.22 ERA and 85 strikeouts in 57.1 innings pitched. He also displayed a 96 mph fastball and a surprising slider.

Then again, while the 6'5", 235-pounder has had strong numbers this year for Indiana State (1.47 ERA, 93 strikeouts in 73.1 innings), his stuff hasn't been as sharp. His fastball has been in more of the 90-94 mph range, and both his slider and changeup need work. His arm action also needs to be smoothed out.

A team intrigued by Manaea's stuff from 2012, and his deceptive ability to hide the ball from the hitter before he releases it, may grab him in the top-10, but the drop in the quality of his pitches is a bit concerning.

Aaron Judge, OF, Fresno State

When you draw comparisons to Blake Griffin, you know scouts value your combination of size and athleticism.

Aaron Judge is a 6'7", 255-pound behemoth. He's taller than any outfielder in major league history except Frank Howard. On top of that, he's surprisingly athletic for his size and he has decent range in the outfield.

Judge's size translates to his swing, too. He has tremendous raw power that could see him become a 30-homer guy. 

On the other hand, Judge's power hasn't always translated during ballgames, which is a bit of a concern. He also swings and misses a lot. He had 47 strikeouts in 193 at-bats this season at Fresno State and compares a little to Adam Dunn in that respect.

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