Why Julio Jones Is Better Than Calvin Johnson
Even though Detroit Lions wide receiver Calvin Johnson recently broke Jerry Riceโs single-season receiving record and piled on 1,964 yards this year, NFL.com analyst Gil Brandt shocked the NFL world by claiming on Sirius/XM NFL Radio that Atlanta Falcons wide receiver Julio Jones was better than Johnson.
After you calm down and think about this shocking revelation, youโll see that Brandt is absolutely correct.
On the air, Brandt said that by polling 10 experts, six would say Johnson was the better receiver and the other four would take Jones.
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"I think some people like strawberry ice cream and some people like vanilla. They're both pretty good. I just think the whole package; I like Julio a little bit better than Johnson.
"
Brandt went on to say that Jones had better and stronger hands and that the Falcons receiver was more fluid. He gave Johnson the edge is speed and height.
The basic numbers lean towards Johnson, but when you peel back their meaning you get a different story.
Johnson caught 43 more passes than Jones and amassed 766 more yards. The conversation should begin and end there, right?
Not exactly.
Letโs not forget that in the receiving corps with Johnson were Kris Durham, Brandon Pettigrew and Titus Young, to name a few. Jones was one of the โBig Threeโ that included Roddy White and Tony Gonzalez. While Johnson caught 28 percent of Matthew Staffordโs completed passes, Jones caught just 18.7 percent of Matt Ryanโs.
Johnson was a much bigger portion of Detroitโs offense than Jones was of Atlantaโs. Therefore, Johnsonโs counting stats are more favorable.
Not only was Johnson the bell cow in yardage and receptions, he moved the chains almost twice as much as Jones. Thatโs because he had to.
Johnson was the do-everything receiver in Detroitโs offense. Jones was more of a precision tool. Jones wasnโt used to move the chains in Atlantaโat least not as the Falconsโ primary source. White was Atlantaโs first-down machine and Gonzalez was a close second.
Jones was used to take the top off defenses and as an end-zone threat.
So even though Johnsonโs stats look better, they donโt prove he was better. If you put Jones in Johnsonโs shoes, wouldnโt he have performed similarly?
Actually, the next set of stats show Jones may have performed better than Johnson had he been in Johnsonโs place.
Looking at Jonesโ targets is somewhat laughableโhe was targeted just five more times than Johnson had receptions. Thatโs another glaring sign that Johnsonโs huge numbers canโt tell this story.
Look at what the two receivers did with the ball they caught on a per catch basis.
Jones caught a higher percentage of the passes that came his way and gained more yardage after the catch, according to Pro Football Focus.
He also made far fewer mistakes.
Jones dropped seven passes in 2012 or, more accurately, for every time he was targeted, he dropped a catchable ball 5.5 percent of the time. Johnson dropped twice as many catchable footballs, and since he had so many more targets, dropped 7 percent of the balls coming at him.
That goes a long way toward Brandtโs original statement that Jones had better hands. What about stronger hands?
Jones did not fumble the football in 2012. Johnson coughed the ball up three times. Itโs inevitable that with so many more touches Johnson would make more mistakes, but three fumbles compared to zero by Jones speaks volumes.
Brandt actually makes a very valid point when he stated his opinion that he liked Jones more than Johnson.
I believe that if you switched the two receivers and replayed the 2012 season, Jones would break Riceโs record earlier and by more yards and Johnson wouldnโt have been as valuable a tool in Atlantaโs offense as Jones was.
Unless otherwise noted, all quotes and statements were obtained firsthand.
Knox Bardeen is theย NFC South lead writerย for Bleacher Report and the author of โ100 Things Falcons Fans Should Know & Do Before they Die.โ Be sure toย follow Knox on Twitter.
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