Stock Up, Stock Down for 2013 NFL Draft Prospects, Week 5 Edition

Matt Miller@nfldraftscoutNFL Draft Lead WriterOctober 4, 2012

Stock Up, Stock Down for 2013 NFL Draft Prospects, Week 5 Edition

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    Each week we track the 2013 NFL draft prospects who are moving up and down our draft boards. Our Week 5 edition features familiar faces and new names—players in major conferences and smaller-school studs who are standing out on a smaller stage.

    No matter where you play, if you're talented, it will show up.

    Heisman Trophy favorite Geno Smith has moved up in the past, but this week we'll once again feature one of his wide receivers. Outside the Big 12, one quarterback is finding himself falling down the board while a big defensive tackle jumps up higher into the first round.

Stock Up: John Jenkins, DT, Georgia

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    Last Week: No. 25 | This Week: No. 19

    A small jump up the board for big John Jenkins, but this is a player who has made a steady move up the charts since the season began. Jenkins started the year as a third-rounder; now, he's on his way to being a top-15 pick.

    Jenkins does so many things well, but the best aspect of his game is his first-step quickness. Jenkins is a great fit for teams who need a 3-technique defensive tackle to penetrate the offensive line's "A" gap and make plays on the backfield.

Stock Down: David Amerson, CB, North Carolina State

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    Last Week: No. 9 | This Week: No. 16

    David Amerson started the year as our top cornerback and a potential top-five pick. There was high praise for a player coming off a 13-interception season. Fast-forward to today, when Amerson is no longer the top cornerback and may be pushing himself out of the first round.

    If you looked at Amerson's stats, you'd see a very good player, but the film tells a different story. Amerson has allowed six touchdowns in two games (Tennessee and Miami (Fla.)). Amerson has the size and hands of a star, but his ability to run with wide receivers is well below average.

    Amerson's best chance of changing his draft stock may be a move to free safety.

Stock Up: Tavon Austin, WR, West Virginia

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    Last Week: No. 64 | This Week: No. 40

    Another week, another move up the board for Tavon Austin.

    If you can't tell, we're big fans of Austin's ability. His run-after-catch skills continue to excite scouts and evaluators. In today's pass-heavy NFL game, Austin is an exciting prospect due to his speed and open-field moves. He's also scheme-versatile, as you can line Austin up on the outside or in the slot. 

    At this rate, it won't be long until Austin is in the first round.

Stock Down: Rick Wagner, OT, Wisconsin

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    Last Week: No. 83 | This Week: No. 100

    The entire Wisconsin offense has been struggling in 2012, but offensive tackle Rick Wagner is seeing a major drop this week.

    Wagner hasn't looked the same now that he's not lining up with Peter Konz and Kevin Zeitler on the Badgers offensive line. His speed off the ball was never great, but now it's becoming an issue where Wagner isn't getting into his stance on time.

    As the Wisconsin offense continues to sputter, so does Wagner's draft stock.

Stock Up: Joseph Randle, RB, Oklahoma State

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    Last Week: No. 173 | This Week: No. 84

    Joseph Randle is a great example of a prospect improving from one year to the next. And he's moving way up on the board this week because of it.

    Randle started the year as a late-round prospect after an uninspiring 2011 season that saw him flash potential, but also saw too many fumbles and not enough spark. The 2012 season has been completely the opposite.

    Randle is excelling in an offense that's leaning more on the run after the loss of Brandon Weeden and Justin Blackmon. Playing in the Oklahoma State scheme, Randle is showing the run/catch/block skills needed to play early in the NFL.

Stock Down: Kevin Reddick, LB, North Carolina

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    Last Week: No. 89 | This Week: No. 115

    When you watch Kevin Reddick's 2011 film, you see an inside linebacker with first-round potential. Turn on something from 2012, and you see an inside linebacker guessing too often and finding himself out of place.

    The difference may very well be that Reddick is now playing without Quinton Coples on the defensive line in front of him. For all his flaws, Coples was a matchup problem for college offensive linemen. That extra attention gave Reddick the room he needed to make plays.

    With Coples gone, Reddick looks lost.

Stock Up: Eric Fisher, OT, Central Michigan

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    Last Week: No. 87 | This Week: No. 39

    Left tackles from non-power conferences generally aren't looked at as first-round picks. Central Michigan's Eric Fisher has a chance to change that.

    Fisher hasn't faced elite talent, but he is showing the skill set of a top prospect. For a left tackle, we want to see things like a quick first step, fast hands and the agility to slide laterally and pick up edge rushers coming off their left hip. Fisher is showing the athletic ability to do this all at a pro level. 

Stock Down: Tyler Bray, QB, Tennessee

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    Last Week: No. 32 | This Week: No. 47

    A move down for Tyler Bray this week, but not a huge drop. What's troubling the Tennessee quarterback?

    There is no doubting that Bray is a highly productive college quarterback, but how well that will translate to the NFL remains a big question mark. Bray has NFL height (6'6") but lacks NFL bulk at around 210 pounds on a stretched-out frame. How well he can take hits from pro outside linebackers will be a heavy question weighing on the minds of NFL general managers.

    Bray's size isn't the only issue. His decision-making goes from brilliant to mind-numbing over the course of a game. This isn't a finished product; this is a quarterback with a nice arm who needs development. Bray's mechanics—especially his throwing motion—need reworked before he'll be at a first-round level.

Stock Up: Dion Jordan, DE, Oregon

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    Last Week: No. 73 | This Week: No. 60

    When it comes to football scouting, athleticism often wins out. When watching Dion Jordan of Oregon, it's tough to not get caught up in his raw ability and potential.

    Jordan isn't a finished product—that has to be clear—but he's much too fast for a man of his size (6'7", 243 pounds). Jordan is very similar to the Cincinnati Bengals' Michael Johnson—a big, long athlete who can move like someone four inches shorter. Also, like Johnson, he has to learn to use that ability while adding strength. Once we see that, Jordan is ready to take off.

Stock Down: Knile Davis, RB, Arkansas

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    Last Week: No. 84 | This Week: No. 101

    Coming back from an injury that took away his 2011 season wouldn't be easy for anyone, but Arkansas running back Knile Davis has seen his draft stock tumble week after week.

    Davis isn't only haunted by the injury. He's playing, and the team doesn't seem concerned with his workload, but he's not playing well. Davis was a first-round prospect before the season began, but as of today he looks like a fourth-rounder. 

    Davis likely will be under-drafted, and we're not writing him off altogether, but any illusions of him being a top-32 pick are gone.


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