Philadelphia Phillies: Projected Stats at the 1/3 Season Mark

One-third of the season is complete for the 2012 Philadelphia Phillies. They are 28-26, which translates to a full season of 84-78. 84-78 will not get them into the postseason, and frankly, would be quite a disappointing season.

Here's where the Phils were at the one-third mark the past few seasons and their record the rest of the way:

2007: 26-28 (.482) and 63-45 (.583)

2008: 30-24 (.556)  and  62-46 (.574)

2009: 32-22 (.593)  and  61-47 (.565)

2010: 30-24  (.556) and 67-41 (.620)

2011: 34-20 (.630) and  68-40 (.630)

2009 was the only season where they didn't improve, but a 61-47 mark for this season's team would put them at 89-73, which should be good enough for the postseason this year. The question is, do the Phillies have the horses to get it done?  If Ryan Howard, Chase Utley and Roy Halladay return to some sort of form of their former selves, no other team will be able to say they have added that kind of firepower at the trade deadline.

As for the rest of the roster, let's see how their numbers are projecting over an entire season.

Catcher: Carlos Ruiz: .371-24-96

Chooch will probably make his first All Star game this season. Currently, he leads the NL in batting average. His projected stats are:

AB     R    H    D    T    HR    RBI   AVG    BB    K    SB

453    72   168  36   0    24      96   .371     24    51     6

Catcher: Brian Schneider .278-6-15

Schneider is having is best season as a Phillie so far. In 2010 and 2011, he finished with 125 at bats and he is projecting just a little higher than that this season.

AB   R   H   D   T   HR   RBI  AVG   BB   K   SB

162  21  45  9   0    6     15    .278     6    30    0

1st Base: Ty Wigginton: .257-15-72

Wiggy has played in all but five games so far this season. If Howard/Utley return, he may lose some playing time, but he has probably done just about what was expected of him. His numbers in Colorado last season were .242-15-47.

AB    R    H     D    T    HR    RBI  AVG    BB    K    SB

432   72   111  15    0    15     72    .257    57   117    3

2nd Base: Freddy Galvis: .232-9-69

Galvis defense has been phenomenal, and the Phillies haven't seen defense like this at second since Manny Trillo. Offensively, Galvis has struggled at times, but overall, has held his own.

AB    R     H     D    T    HR    RBI   AVG    BB    K    SB

531   39   123   45   3     9       69    .232     21    81     0

Shortstop: Jimmy Rollins: .242-6-39

J-Roll goes down as one of the more disappointing to start the 2012 season. After grabbing a new contract in the offseason, the Phillies expect more, and they should. 

AB    R    H    D    T    HR    RBI   AVG    BB    K    SB

633  78   153  24   3     6      39    .242     48   105    30

3rd Base: Placido Polanco: .289-3-27

Polly's average isn't bad, but the Phils need more out of third base. Especially with Howard and Utley out of the lineup.

AB    R    H    D    T    HR    RBI   AVG    BB    K    SB

540   63  156  30   0     3       27    .289     18   48     0   

Left Field: Juan Pierre: .329-0-33

There can't be too many complaints about Pierre. He's done all that the Phillies brass can expect and, with the struggles of John Mayberry, played more than expected.

AB    R    H    D    T    HR    RBI   AVG    BB    K    SB

447  57  147  12   3      0       33   .329     27    33     24

Center Field: Shane Victorino: .251-18-81

Victorino is too talented a hitter to be down in the .250's. His production has been OK, but he needs to get on base more than the current .321 clip.

AB    R    H    D    T    HR    RBI   AVG    BB    K    SB

633  72   159  33   6     18      81    .251     63   78    39

Right Field: Hunter Pence: .274-39-102

Ruiz is probably the Phils MVP for the one-third mark, but Pence is right there. He's on pace to score 120 runs and a career-high 39 home runs. He could do better with runners in scoring position, but considering the fact that he has hit in the four-hole for the first time, Pence has been solid.

AB    R    H     D    T    HR    RBI   AVG    BB    K    SB

624  120  171  27   3     39     102   .274     66   129   12

Outfielder: John Mayberry: .236-6-33

Right now, the 2011 season for Mayberry is looking like a aberration. Big John is going to have to really pick it up to match last season's .273-15-49 with an .854 OPS.

AB    R    H     D    T    HR    RBI   AVG    BB    K    SB

381  36   90   21     0     6      33    .236     21   108    0

Starting Pitcher: Cole Hamels: 24-6, 2.81

Arguably the NL's Cy Young award winner at this point and very easily could win 20 games for the first time in his career. Even without the award, Hamels is sure to parlay this season into a huge contract.

IP        H      R  ER   BB     K   W    L   ERA   WHIP  

231.0  192   75   72    48   240   24   6    2.81   1.04

Starting Pitcher: Cliff Lee: 0-6, 3.00

Everyone knows Cliff Lee is not going to go the entire season without winning a game, so that's a boost this team desperately needs. They need Lee to earn that contract, and he's getting paid to win games for this team. If staked to a 2-0 lead, he needs to hold that.

IP        H     R   ER    BB     K   W    L   ERA   WHIP  

171.0  144   57   57    30   162   0     6    3.00   1.02

Starting Pitcher: Joe Blanton: 12-15, 5.05

Blanton has been frustratingly inconsistent. At this point in his career, he is what he is. A No. 4 or No. 5 innings eater who can't be trusted but might toss a solid game from time to time.

IP     H      R    ER   BB     K   W    L   ERA  WHIP  

187.0  219   117  105   30   144   12   15    5.05   1.33

Starting Pitcher: Roy Halladay: 12-15, 3.98

Roy's projections will be off with the missed time coming up. Hopefully, his sub-Halladay numbers were due to the shoulder issues that have placed him on the shelf.

IP     H      R    ER   BB    K    W    L    ERA  WHIP  

217.0  207   96    96    42   168   12   15    3.98   1.15

Starting Pitcher: Vance Worley: 9-6, 3.07

Worley has bone spurs in his elbow, and while an annoyance, he should be able to fight through it for the rest of the season. He's definitely been solid when healthy this season, and for the Phils to make one of those patented second-half pushes, Worley needs to contribute heavily.

IP     H      R    ER   BB     K   W    L   ERA  WHIP  

132.0  132   45    45    45   135    9    6    3.07   1.34

Pitcher: Kyle Kendrick: 6-12, 4.02

Kendrick has been a swing man so far this season between the bullpen and rotation. He'll be in the rotation until Halladay comes back and has pitched better of late. Like Blanton, though, Kendrick can be terribly inconsistent.

 IP     H      R    ER   BB     K   W    L   ERA  WHIP  

141.0  162    72   63    42     84   6   12    4.02   1.45

Closer: Jonathan Papelbon: 0-3, 45 Saves, 2.01

Papelbon is probably the third Phillies All-Star rep, along with Ruiz and Hamels. He hasn't blown a save yet this season, and Charlie Manuel is even confident in bringing him in before the ninth inning now.

 IP     H      R    ER   BB     K   W    L   S   ERA  WHIP  

 67.1   48     15    15   12     75    0     3  45    2.01  0.90

Reliever: Antonio Bastardo: 6-3, 2.87

There were some questions on whether Bastardo was healthy or not as the season started, but he's looked more like his 2011 version of late. 

 IP     H      R    ER   BB     K   W    L   ERA  WHIP  

  46.1  30     15    15   27     54    6     3    2.87   1.21

Reliever: Chad Qualls: 3-3, 4.58

Qualls was very reliable the first couple of weeks of the season and was a competent setup man for Papelbon. However, Qualls is now getting hit, and hit hard. The Phillies really need Qualls to find his groove with the season-ending injury to Jose Contreras.

 IP     H      R    ER   BB     K   W    L   ERA  WHIP  

 58.1   69     33    30    21    39    3     3    4.58   1.53

All Others

What will the Phillies get out of Chase Utley? Ryan Howard? Jim Thome? Michael Martinez? Laynce Nix? Too hard to tell at this point since there isn't even a timetable for them to come back. The Phillies have an uphill climb in the NL East with the competition in the division being better than it has been recently. They have done a good job of staying afloat with all of these injuries. It doesn't appear like Washington, Miami, New York or Atlanta are good enough to pull away from the pack. 

If the Phillies can get contributions from Howard and Utley and players like Rollins to play the way he has throughout his career, they can win their sixth consecutive NL East title.