Kentucky Derby 2012 Post Positions: Breaking Down Odds for Top Studs

The Kentucky Derby allows us to bust out the big floppy hats, break open the ingredients for some mint juleps and get our gamble on.

Here is a brief breakdown on the contenders going into the back end of Friday prior to the Kentucky Oaks. 

Here is the updated morning line courtesy of the Kentucky derby website. Of course, they have fluid "current" odds that will change throughout the day. 

For continuity's sake, we have decided to stick with the morning line. 

Odds taken from KentuckyDerby.com, updated May 4th. 

A full list of the post positions and live changing odds can be found at Official Kentucky Derby Page. 

Post	Horse	Odds
1.	Daddy Long Legs	30/1
2.	Optimizer	50/1
3.	Take Charge Indy	15/1
4.	Union Rags	9/2
5.	Dullahan	8/1
6.	Bodemeister	4/1
7.	Rousing Sermon	50/1
8.	Creative Cause	12/1
9.	Trinniberg	50/1
10.	Daddy Nose Best	15/1
11.	Alpha	15/1
12.	Prospective	30/1
13.	Went The Day Well	20/1
14.	Hansen	10/1
15.	Gemologist	6/1
16.	El Padrino	20/1
17.	Done Talking	50/1
18.	Sabercat	30/1
19.	I'll Have Another	12/1
20.	Liaison	50/1

Note: My Adonis is the alternate and will feature if anything happens to one of the horses prior to 9 a.m. ET on Friday.

1. Bodemeister: 4/1

The live odds as of this writing had Bodemeister at 7/1, so there is some backlash after an initial giddiness for the favorite. 

He was a superstar largely because of his run at the Arkansas Derby where he cruised to victory. The fear that he may be a one-hit wonder seems to be creeping in. 

2. Gemologist: 6/1

Gemologist was a consensus top-three horse coming into the Derby, and a post at 15 doesn't change that. 

I love his size and cruising speed. I also like this horse to be challenged early and dragged around the turn by speedster Hansen.

3. Dullahan: 8/1

Dullahan is slipping in the odds as well. As of this writing, the live odds had him at 11/1 odds to win the Derby.

I don't quite understand the slow fall, because the race is shaping up perfectly for the best closer in the field.

He is sandwiched between two of the stiffest competitors and will have clear sight of the presumptive leaders. I love this post draw.

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