Final Four 2012 Predictions: Odds for Each Underdog Crashing Final Four Party
With all the underdogs swarming in this Sweet 16, at least one of them will make the Final Four.
Considering any team that is a five seed or higher as an underdog, there are underdogs remaining. Some of these teams have a far drastically better shot at advancing than others.
Here is the chances of each.
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No. 13 Ohio
Ohio took down No. 4 Michigan 65-60 and then No. 12 South Florida 62-56. They have earned these wins with some stellar defense and outstanding guard play.
In two games, guard DJ Cooper is averaging 20 points and six assists. This defense and guard play will give them a good shot in any game they are in, and an excellent shot in their next game against North Carolina—who will either be playing without, or with a less than 100 percent, stud point guard Kendall Marshall.
What is going to hurt them is that they aren't going to be able to outscore anyone. They need to keep the score down to win.
Chance of Making Final Four: 30 percent
No. 11 NC State
The Wolfpack are on fire right now. They have won four of their last five heading into the tournament and have looked good easily beating San Diego State in their opener and then dispatching of Georgetown.
NC State is winning with solid front-court play and rebounding. They also move the ball around extremely well. They get balanced scoring and play like a team.
They will be taking on second-seeded Kansas in the Sweet 16. Their strong front-court play will give them a good shot at the upset there. If they can win that one, they will catch a slight break as they will face either the lower-seeded Ohio team, or a North Carolina, who is dealing with Kendall Marshall's broken wrist.
Chance of Making Final Four: 40.5 percent
No. 10 Xavier
Kenny Frease, Xavier's 7' center, is playing fantastic basketball, and he makes his team a tough matchup for any team.
In their Round of 32 victory over Lehigh, Frease had 25 points and 12 rebounds. He certainly isn't the Musketeers' only scoring option either. In fact, he isn't even their best scoring option. That honor goes to guard Tu Holloway.
Holloway is averaging 23 points in the Musketeers two tournament wins. This inside outside combo will give the Musketeers a fighting chance in every game.
However, Xavier has a tough road to get to the Final Four. They play No. 3 Baylor next, and if they win that, they will face the winner of the Kentucky-Indiana game. And any team playing Kentucky has to be considered a long-shot.
Chance of Making Final Four: 23 percent
No. 7 Florida
The Gators have looked as good as any team in this tourney. They have won their two games against Virginia and Norfolk State by a score of 155-95.
Florida has been dominating with amazing guard play. Kenny Boynton and Brad Beal have been nearly unstoppable.
The Gators have a tough path to the Final Four as they are the only underdog remaining team in the West Region.
They will face No. 3 Marquette next, and then will face the winner of the Michigan State-Louisville game. Despite this tough path, as well as this team is playing, you have to like their chances.
Chance of Making Final Four: 44.7 percent
No. 6 Cincinnati
The Bearcats are a gritty team. They like to keep the score down and play great defense.
This has led to them pulling out two tough tourney wins against Texas and Florida State. They are led by the excellent guard play of Sean Kilpatrick, Dion Dixon and Cashmere Wright.
This guard play is serving them well in the tourney, but it also sets up for a bad matchup in the Sweet 16, as they are going to have a hard time handling the length and frontcourt strength of Ohio State.
The Buckeyes have strong enough guard play that they won't be harassed into too many turnovers by the Bearcats' pressure defense.
If they can survive that game, they would have a more favorable matchup with the Syracuse-Wisconsin winner, but it will be tough for them to get there.
Chance of Making Final Four: 17.5 percent



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