Super Bowl 2012: Why Tom Brady Will Be Holding Up the Lombardi Trophy This Year

Let's skip past all of the trite storylines you're probably sick of at this point and jump right to the chase. Here are three reasons why Tom Brady will lead the New England Patriots to victory over the New York Giants in Super Bowl XLVI.

He'll Beat the Pass Rush

The key to this game, at least early in the pregame coverage, has centered around the Giants pass rush. If the Giants can get pressure on Brady with only their front four, traditional logic suggests they'll win the game.

But that might not be the case. With weapons such as Wes Welker, Aaron Hernandez and even Danny Woodhead that can prove to be matchup nightmares in underneath routes, Brady may be able to find open receivers even if the Giants get an early rush on him and drop seven into coverage.

Coverage over the top of this Patriots offense isn't as important as jamming the receivers and disrupting their short passing game. If the Giants aren't able to do that, the pass rush won't play as much of a factor as popular wisdom suggests it should.

He'll Spread the Ball Around

The Giants will obviously be paying attention to Welker, Hernandez and Rob Gronkowski, as they should.

But Brady is a master of spreading the ball around, which means players such as Woodhead, Deion Branch and even Chad Ochocinco could end up factoring into this game far more than you might expect.

The Patriots are masters at creating mismatches with their talented players, and Brady is a master of finding the holes in a defense. If the Giants focus too much manpower on eliminating Welker and the tight ends, Brady will expose them and utilize his less-heralded weapons.

He'll Limit Turnovers

Brady uncharacteristically threw two interceptions against the Baltimore Ravens and the Patriots still managed to win the game. The odds that he'll throw two or more interceptions against the Giants?

Well, if we're going off of the 18 games he's played thus far this year, there is a 22 percent chance Brady will throw two or more interceptions, as he did so only four times in 18 games this year.

I'd like those odds if I was a Patriots fan. In a game I believe will be a higher scoring affair than people expect, the team that wins the turnover battle will likely win. I believe Brady and the Pats will win that battle.

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