US Open 2023 Odds: Predictions for McIlroy, Scheffler, Koepka and Top Contenders
The 123rd U.S. Open is scheduled to kick off Thursday, and it will feature an impressive field full of potential favorites.
It's hard not to consider Brooks Koepka one of the front-runners following his win at the PGA Championship and second-place finish (tied) at the Masters. He has five majors on his resume and has won the U.S. Open twice (2017, 2018).
However, the 33-year-old will face strong competition from the early favorite, Scottie Scheffler, who has top-five finishes in each of his last four tournaments.
Scheffler, 26, has moved into the No. 1 spot in the world golf rankings, one place ahead of Jon Rahm, who outlasted Koepka at Augusta.
Rory McIlroy should be in the mix as well. He's bounced back nicely after a rough start to 2023—with missed cuts at the Players Championship and the Masters—and had top-10 finishes in his last three outings.
The battle for the third major of the season—and its $3.15 million first-place prize—will be fierce. Here's everything you need to know, including the latest odds and early predictions.
2023 US Open
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When: June 15-18
Where: Los Angeles Country Club
Prize Pool: $17.5 million ($3.15 million to winner)
TV Schedule
Thursday: 1-8 p.m. ET (USA), 8-11 p.m. ET (NBC)
Friday: 1-8 p.m. ET (USA); 8-11 p.m. ET (NBC)
Saturday: 1-11 p.m. ET (NBC)
Sunday: 1-10 p.m. ET (NBC)
Live Stream: Peacock, USOpen.com, NBCSports.com, NBC Sports app
Odds for Early Favorites
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Scottie Scheffler 13-2
Brooks Koepka 11-1
Patrick Cantlay 14-1
Rory McIlroy 14-1
Xander Schauffele 16-1
Viktor Hovland 18-1
Cameron Smith 25-1
Max Homa 25-1
Tyrrell Hatton 28-1
Matt Fitzpatrick 35-1
Collin Morikawa 35-1
Dustin Johnson 35-1
Bryson DeChambeau 40-1
Tommy Fleetwood 40-1
Tony Finau 40-1
Justin Rose 40-1
*Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook
Preview and Predictions
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Rory McIlroy should draw plenty of attention over the weekend, as his recent resurgence suggests another win is inevitable. He hasn't won since the Dubai Desert Classic in January, but he just tied for ninth at the RBC Canadian Open.
However, the 34-year-old has never played at the Los Angeles Country Club and will be getting his first look at the course this week.
"I've watched some videos on YouTube," McIlroy said, per Ewan Murray of the Guardian. "I know the look of the course and the topography a little bit and sort of what to expect. But you don't get a real grasp of it until you're actually out there and your feet are on the ground."
Based on his recent play, a top-10 finish (+140; bet $100 to win $140) feels likely. However, the Northern Irishman will find it hard to win his first major in nearly 10 years on an unfamiliar course.
Scheffler has been a model of consistency lately, and another top-five finish (+150) is probably in the cards. Yet, he may not break through with his first victory since the Players.
Putting has been an issue for Scheffler, who ranks 148th in strokes gained through putting, according to PGATour.com. Putting will be essential on the north course, designed by George C. Thomas, Jr. and recently updated by Gil Hanse.
"The Thomas greens have a lot more slope than you might anticipate until you get on them," Sam Farmer of the Los Angeles Times wrote.
The challenging greens represent one reason why Rahm, who ranks 19th in strokes gained through putting, should fare well—even though he finished outside of the top 10 in his last two tournaments. They're also one reason to keep an eye on Max Homa, who ranks fifth in this category.
Another reason? The 32-year-old grew up in California, played at Cal and owns the course record of 61.
Ultimately, though, it's hard to bet against Koepka. He's as hot as anyone in golf right now, and he's historically done very well at this event. Though he finished 55th in 2022, he has five top-five finishes and two victories in his nine U.S. Open appearances.
Top-Five Predictions
1. Brooks Koepka
2. Max Homa
3. Jon Rahm
4. Rory McIlroy
5. Scottie Scheffler
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