
MLB MVP 2022: Betting Odds, Predictions for Aaron Judge, Shohei Ohtani, Top Favorites
As the Philadelphia Phillies get ready to host the Houston Astros for a pivotal Game 3 of the 2022 World Series tied 1-1, fans of MLB are starting to also focus on the all-important end-of-season awards, including the MVP.
The jury is still out on who will win the Fall Classic, but after it's over, the finalists for the big four Baseball Writers' Association of America Awards (MVP, Cy Young, Rookie of the Year and Manager of the Year) will be announced on Nov. 7.
Ten days later, the American League and National League MVP Awards will be revealed on the MLB Network.
The fact that there are multiple players deserving of the award is good for baseball.
Fans and bettors should have fun sorting through the odds, but here's the latest look at the top candidates for MVP in each league, chances of winning and predictions.
MLB MVP Odds and Predictions
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National League MVP Odds
Paul Goldschmidt (Cardinals) -10000
Freddie Freeman (Dodgers) +5000
Nolan Arenado (Cardinals) +6600
Manny Machado (Padres) +8000
Trea Turner (Dodgers) +8000
Mookie Betts (Dodgers) +8000
Francisco Lindor (Mets) +15000
Austin Riley (Braves) +25000
Dansby Swanson (Braves) +50000
American League MVP Odds
Aaron Judge (Yankees) -10000
Shohei Ohtani (Angels) +2500
José Ramírez (Guardians) +50000
Yordan Alvarez (Astros) +50000
Vladimir Guerrero, Jr. (Blue Jays) +50000
Julio Rodríguez (Mariners) +50000
Rafael Devers (Red Sox) +50000
Jose Altuve (Astros) +50000
Xander Bogaerts (Red Sox) +50000
Mike Trout (Angels) +50000
Odds via Vegas Insider
American League
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AL MVP Odds
Aaron Judge (New York) -10000 (bet $10,000 to win $100)
Shohei Ohtani (Los Angeles) +2500 (bet $100 to win $2,500)
Shohei Ohtani definitely had another great year.
In any other year, the 28-year-old Angels pitcher would likely win the AL MVP again based on the numbers.
With a 2.33 ERA, 1.01 WHIP, 34 home runs, 95 RBI, 11 stolen bases and an improved batting average of 0.273, he's had an even better season than 2021-22 when he won the MVP.
But this is the year that Aaron Judge hit 62 home runs to break Roger Maris' record.
This is the year that Judge is the home run king.
This is the year that the Yankees outfielder set a new single-season AL home run record and almost won the Triple Crown and batting title.
His teammate Gerritt Cole summed up his year perfectly.
"What a special opportunity to share a field with this guy," Cole told ESPN's Marly Rivera. "He's just an unbelievable player, unbelievable talent, unbelievable human. He's been our rock all year."
For bettors who put their money on anyone else but Judge to win this year's MVP, good luck with that.
Prediction: Aaron Judge
National League
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NL MVP Odds
Paul Goldschmidt (St. Louis) -10000 (bet $10,000 to win $100)
Freddie Freeman (Los Angeles) +5000 (bet $100 to win $5,000)
The National League MVP race isn't as clear-cut as the American League.
But one thing's for certain: the fact that the St. Louis Cardinals will have two finalists up for the award speaks volumes for a team looking to make it back to the Fall Classic for the first time since 2013.
They're on the right track thanks to the play of Nolan Arenado and Paul Goldschmidt.
Freddie Freeman had a banner year for the Los Angeles Dodgers and Manny Machado helped the San Diego Padres make it back to the NLCS this season.
The race will come down to Goldschmidt and Freeman, so here's what separates them.
Freeman helped the Dodgers set a new franchise record for wins with 111 in his first season in L.A. and came extremely close to winning the NL batting title over Jeff McNeil, who beat him by one point.
Goldschmidt, on the other hand, threatened for the NL's first Triple Crown since 1937 and helped the Cards win 93 games, good enough to take the Central Division crown.
The 35-year-old first basemen is also nominated for the Silver Slugger award for his excellent hitting stats: .317 with 35 homers and 115 RBI.
The only way Goldschmidt loses is because of his sharp drop-off at the end of the year.
Prediction: Paul Goldschmidt

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