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NFL Week 14 Picks: Picking This Week's Surest Bets

John RozumDec 8, 2011

As NFL teams begin to separate themselves from the pack, whether dominant or at the bottom of the food chain, it does make placing bets a little easier.

That being said, here are three of Week 14's surest bets.

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Baltimore Ravens (vs. Colts): -16.5

The Colts are just plain terrible all over and have been mauled by injuries all season long, regardless of the position. The Ravens, however, are virtually their polar opposite in the AFC. With a shutdown defense and potent offense, Baltimore is the current AFC front-runners.

As for the Colts, well, they're 0-12 and literally are looking at 0-16. In this game, expect Ray Rice to run through and around Indianapolis much like he did Cleveland, and the Ravens front seven will control the line of scrimmage.

No WRs will have time to get open and even then, Baltimore's pass defense is stellar enough to play man coverage all game long. It may not be a 42-0 blowout, but it'll be by at least 17 points.

Take the Ravens against the spread.

Green Bay Packers (vs. Raiders): -11

Things are looking bleak for the Oakland Raiders as they come off a hard loss on the road in Miami and then have to play the undefeated Packers a week later.

With a weak pass defense and a passing offense not nearly as explosive as he Cheese, Green Bay will run away early. Oakland also has a run defense that allows over five yards per carry, so don't be surprised if the Packers pound the rock also.

Then consider that the Packers have the better special teams (Randall Cobb) and they'll not only win the field-position battle, but by more than 11 points as well.

Take the Packers against the spread.

Denver Broncos (vs. Bears): -3.5

At first glance, taking the Broncos over the Bears with just a 3.5-point spread may not be too appealing. However, since Chicago has been dealing with multiple injuries, Denver will win by at least one TD.

And Chicago's injuries aside, their defense still allows almost 360 total yards per game. In addition, their No. 8-ranked run defense is a deceiving stat as they allow 4.5 yards per carry (ranked No. 23).

That said, Denver will run the ball effectively and set up the pass quite well. The Orange Crush defense also has a field day and gets a lot of QB pressure while shutting down the ground game. As long as the Broncos don't turn the ball over and keep Devin Hester in check, this game is a lock.

Take the Broncos against the spread.

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