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UCLA vs. USC: Latest Spread Info, BCS Impact and Predictions

Michael DixonNov 23, 2011

Los Angeles will be divided on Saturday when the UCLA Bruins travel into the heart of the city to take on the host USC Trojans.

USC has an overwhelming lead in the football series and has won each of the last four meetings. 

UCLA enters the game 6-5, 5-3 in Pac-12 play. They trail USC (9-2, 6-2) in the Pac-12 South, but the Trojans are ineligible for postseason play. So, in terms of postseason eligibility, UCLA controls its own destiny.

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This will be the last regular season game of the 2011 season for both teams.

Where: Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum. Los Angeles, California.

When: Saturday, Nov. 26 at 10 p.m. EST

Watch: FSN

Spread

USC (-14), according to Sportsbook.

The Trojans are a very good team this season. UCLA gives me very little reason to be confident that they can be at all close. 

I know it's a rivalry game, but I am going with USC to get the win and cover.

Over/Under

58.5, according to Sportsbook.

If USC's offense really clicks, they can come pretty close to this on their own. As it is, I am expecting UCLA's defense to keep them short of that number and their offense won't do enough to pick up any slack.

While it will be close, I say take the under here. 

Key Injuries

Per USA Today

UCLA CB Jamie Graham, CB Anthony Jefferson, FB Damien Thigpen, and QB Brett Hundley are out.

UCLA S Dietrich Riley, QB Richard Brehaut, and S Alex Mascarenas are doubtful.

UCLA PK Kip Smith and G Chris Ward are questionable.

UCLA LB Sean Westgate and LB Isaiah Bowens are probable.

USC FC Charles Burks, C Abe Markowitz, WR Markeith Ambles, DE Armond Armstead, QB Marquis Simmons, QB Jesse Scroggins, CB Anthony Brown, and RB Dillon Baxter are out,

USC CB Torin Harris is doubtful.

USC T Martin Coleman, S Demetrius Wright, T Matt Kalil, LB Dion Bailey, and DE Devon Kennard are questionable.

BCS/Top 25 Poll Implications

If UCLA wins, they will represent the Pac-12 South in the Conference Title Game. Should USC win, it opens up a complicated tiebreaker.

In reality, USC is the best team in the Pac-12 South and easily a Top 25 team, but they are ineligible to be ranked or play in a bowl. This will be the final game of the season.

Keys to UCLA Win

Johnathan Franklin has to run well, and they have to find a way to get the ball to Nelson Rosario. Without those playmakers, UCLA has no chance.

Keys to USC Win

This one is simple. If Matt Barkley doesn't throw the ball to the guys in blue and gold, USC will win and it won't be close.

Prediction: USC 38, UCLA 14

That comes close to the over/under, but doesn't quite hit it. USC is a much better team than UCLA. Even in a big rivalry game, that will show here.

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