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Baylor vs. Kansas: Last-Minute Spread Info, Line, BCS Impact and Predictions

Zachary D. RymerNov 10, 2011

Robert Griffin III and the Baylor Bears should be in for an easy win this weekend against the Kansas Jayhawks, who have lost seven games in a row.

However, typically when we saw something like this, we also have to mention that this is the kind of game that could be a "trap" game for the favorite.

Will Baylor fall flat and suffer an embarrassing loss on the road? Let's discuss.

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Where: Memorial Stadium, Lawrence, Kan.

When: Saturday at 2:00 p.m. EST

Watch: AT&T Jayhawk All-Access

Spread: Baylor -20.5, according to Sportsbook.

Kansas has lost seven games in a row and is allowing over 45 points per game. The Jayhawks have also scored just 31 points over their last three games. Given the explosiveness of Baylor's offense, I think the Bears can cover without too much trouble.

Over/Under: 76 points, according to Sportsbook.

I'm expecting Baylor to score over well over 40 points in this game, but I also think the Jayhawks will be able to score some points. Baylor's defense is not good, and it has been particularly bad on the road. I'd take the over.

Key Injuries

Per the USA Today, Baylor leading receiver Kendall Wright is battling an ankle injury, but is expected to play. Cornerback Chance Casey (ankle) is listed as doubtful, and defensive back Demetri Goodson (ankle), cornerback Tyler Stephenson (ankle), linebacker Elliot Coffey (ankle) and defensive end Gary Mason Jr. (undisclosed) are all listed as questionable.

The only injury to report for Kansas belongs to running back Brandon Bourbon. He suffered a leg injury against Iowa State, and is out for the season.

BCS/Top 25 Implications

The Bears are No. 25 in the BCS standings and are holding on to very slim hopes of winning the Big 12. If they do, they'll have a ticket to the Fiesta Bowl.

More likely, though, Baylor will have to settle for a lesser bowl. No matter what, this is a game the Bears don't want to lose.

Keys to Baylor Win

Because their defense is not going to be anything special any time soon, the Bears need to score as many points as possible. That's not too much to ask with Robert Griffin III under center, especially seeing as how he will be facing a defense that hasn't played the pass particularly well this year. Kansas is giving up over 280 passing yards per game, and has allowed 20 touchdown passes.

Keys to Kansas Win

Kansas's defense is going to have to play far beyond its capabilities. The only way the Jayhawks are going to win this game is if they limit Baylor's scoring opportunities. Then, they just need to hope they can get something out of Jordan Webb, who will be charged with fighting the good fight against RG3.

Prediction: Baylor 52, Kansas 28

There's virtually no chance of Baylor actually losing this game. The question is how many points they will score, and I think they're going to score a bunch. Kansas has shown a tendency to five up massive point totals to elite offenses, and I think Baylor will continue the trend.

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