2011 College Football Predictions: Simulation for Unbiased Ranking of All Teams

WhatIfSports.com utilizes its NCAA football simulation to present the most comprehensive and unbiased ranking of all 120 FBS teams. We simulated thousands of games and used those winning percentages to evaluate every team. All 120 teams are ranked below with their average points for and against from the simulated games. Simulations are based on updated rosters and depth charts so significant week-to-week changes may occur once the regular season kicks off.

Teams Ranked by Winning Percentage
(everyone plays everyone 100 times)

	Team	Win Pct	PS/G	PA/G
1.	Stanford Cardinal	90.9	40.8	17.8
2.	Oregon Ducks	90.3	41.9	18.1
3.	Alabama Crimson Tide	88.6	36.2	15.1
4.	Boise State Broncos	88.4	41.4	20.3
5.	Oklahoma Sooners	87.4	39.9	20.6
6.	Wisconsin Badgers	85.6	36.9	18.5
7.	Oklahoma State Cowboys	82.9	40.3	23.8
8.	Florida State Seminoles	82.8	37.1	19.9
9.	LSU Tigers	82.4	33.8	17.6
10.	TCU Horned Frogs	81.0	35.7	20.9
11.	Texas A&M Aggies	79.1	36.4	22.2
12.	Ohio State Buckeyes	79.0	31.5	17.3
13.	West Virginia Mountaineers	77.9	32.7	18.8
14.	Nebraska Cornhuskers	77.2	29.2	15.9
15.	Georgia Bulldogs	77.1	34.4	21.0
16.	South Carolina Gamecocks	77.1	33.3	20.2
17.	Arkansas Razorbacks	76.8	34.6	21.3
18.	Arizona Wildcats	76.4	30.5	18.8
19.	USC Trojans	76.2	34.1	21.5
20.	Utah Utes	75.5	33.4	22.1
	Team	Win Pct	PS/G	PA/G
21.	Michigan State Spartans	75.3	34.2	21.9
22.	Pittsburgh Panthers	73.9	33.4	22.0
23.	Mississippi State Bulldogs	73.7	33.0	21.3
24.	Virginia Tech Hokies	73.1	32.4	20.1
25.	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	71.7	31.3	21.7
26.	Clemson Tigers	70.9	30.1	20.4
27.	Penn State Nittany Lions	70.1	30.1	20.9
28.	Florida Gators	69.8	28.9	19.0
29.	Arizona State Sun Devils	68.7	30.1	21.1
30.	Missouri Tigers	68.5	29.4	20.4
31.	Maryland Terrapins	66.9	29.3	21.3
32.	Baylor Bears	66.4	33.9	26.1
33.	San Diego State Aztecs	66.2	32.1	24.5
34.	Northern Illinois Huskies	65.6	32.9	25.7
35.	Texas Longhorns	65.6	28.1	20.6
36.	Auburn Tigers	64.1	29.3	22.8
37.	North Carolina Tar Heels	64.0	28.2	21.8
38.	Cincinnati Bearcats	63.9	31.7	26.0
39.	Iowa Hawkeyes	61.0	27.2	22.0
40.	Southern Methodist Mustangs	60.5	32.7	27.4
	Team	Win Pct	PS/G	PA/G
41.	North Carolina State Wolfpack	60.2	30.0	25.2
42.	Michigan Wolverines	60.1	31.7	26.8
43.	Miami (FL) Hurricanes	59.8	27.0	22.7
44.	Southern Miss Golden Eagles	58.8	33.6	29.3
45.	California Golden Bears	58.7	24.8	20.4
46.	Tennessee Volunteers	58.4	26.3	22.1
47.	Northwestern Wildcats	57.9	28.5	24.8
48.	Hawaii Warriors	57.6	32.5	29.4
49.	Syracuse Orange	57.3	26.4	23.4
50.	South Florida Bulls	56.8	27.1	22.9
51.	Boston College Eagles	55.6	24.6	21.7
52.	Texas Tech Red Raiders	55.5	27.7	25.6
53.	UCF Knights	55.3	30.8	27.3
54.	Nevada Wolf Pack	54.8	30.2	28.0
55.	Brigham Young Cougars	53.7	27.2	25.3
56.	Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets	53.6	25.8	24.0
57.	Connecticut Huskies	53.0	26.1	23.8
58.	Temple Owls	52.6	26.3	25.0
59.	Illinois Fighting Illini	52.2	25.3	24.5
60.	Washington Huskies	51.6	24.3	23.9
	Team	Win Pct	PS/G	PA/G
61.	Oregon State Beavers	51.3	25.4	24.4
62.	Purdue Boilermakers	50.9	24.3	23.8
63.	Tulsa Golden Hurricane	49.2	31.0	30.9
64.	Kansas State Wildcats	48.8	26.3	26.1
65.	UCLA Bruins	48.5	25.1	25.0
66.	East Carolina Pirates	48.2	28.7	29.1
67.	Navy Midshipmen	47.9	24.8	25.3
68.	Houston Cougars	47.3	30.7	31.7
69.	Fresno State Bulldogs	47.3	28.3	29.5
70.	Air Force Falcons	46.9	24.2	24.4
71.	Louisville Cardinals	46.6	23.4	24.5
72.	Mississippi Rebels	46.5	26.9	28.3
73.	Ohio Bobcats	46.2	23.5	25.1
74.	Toledo Rockets	45.5	27.5	28.9
75.	Kentucky Wildcats	45.0	22.4	24.2
76.	Colorado Buffaloes	45.0	24.9	26.7
77.	Troy Trojans	44.9	27.2	29.6
78.	Duke Blue Devils	40.2	25.1	30.0
79.	Virginia Cavaliers	38.8	21.4	25.9
80.	Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks	38.6	23.4	28.7
	Team	Win Pct	PS/G	PA/G
81.	Western Michigan Broncos	38.2	25.5	30.6
82.	Louisiana Tech Bulldogs	37.6	25.1	30.1
83.	Central Michigan Chippewas	36.7	21.9	27.8
84.	Miami (OH) RedHawks	35.5	21.1	27.6
85.	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	35.5	22.0	28.6
86.	FIU Golden Panthers	35.0	24.1	30.9
87.	Rutgers Scarlet Knights	34.7	21.4	27.4
88.	Indiana Hoosiers	34.0	24.3	31.8
89.	Washington State Cougars	33.8	23.0	30.4
90.	Vanderbilt Commodores	33.4	19.9	27.3
91.	Iowa State Cyclones	31.5	19.6	28.6
92.	Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders	30.8	20.3	28.8
93.	Utah State Aggies	30.8	22.9	31.2
94.	Kent State Golden Flashes	30.5	17.6	26.5
95.	Arkansas State Red Wolves	30.2	23.1	31.9
96.	Army Black Knights	28.2	17.8	28.1
97.	UAB Blazers	27.9	23.0	33.3
98.	Minnesota Golden Gophers	27.8	18.5	29.1
99.	Buffalo Bulls	24.9	17.3	29.7
100.	Colorado State Rams	24.6	19.4	31.7
	Team	Win Pct	PS/G	PA/G
101.	Tulane Green Wave	24.6	18.4	30.5
102.	Marshall Thundering Herd	24.2	16.9	29.3
103.	North Texas Mean Green	22.1	19.4	33.1
104.	UTEP Miners	21.8	18.2	31.9
105.	Idaho Vandals	21.7	18.1	31.8
106.	Bowling Green Falcons	20.1	16.7	31.5
107.	Kansas Jayhawks	19.4	18.4	33.2
108.	Rice Owls	18.8	18.8	34.8
109.	Western Kentucky Hilltoppers	18.6	18.3	34.2
110.	San Jose State Spartans	17.2	16.1	32.9
111.	Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns	16.6	16.5	32.5
112.	Wyoming Cowboys	16.4	13.9	31.1
113.	Florida Atlantic Owls	14.5	15.7	34.6
114.	UNLV Rebels	12.8	14.9	35.2
115.	New Mexico Lobos	11.5	13.0	34.7
116.	Akron Zips	10.8	13.1	35.0
117.	Ball State Cardinals	10.7	12.5	34.4
118.	Eastern Michigan Eagles	6.6	12.0	37.3
119.	New Mexico State Aggies	5.6	9.9	38.2
120.	Memphis Tigers	4.8	10.5	38.0