WhatIfSports College Football Power Rankings: Week 13
CFB Power Rankings
WhatIfSports.com utilizes its NCAA football simulation to present the most comprehensive, deterministic and unbiased ranking of all teams. We simulated every possible DI FBS matchup one hundred times, and used the winning percentages from 700,000-plus games to evaluate every team.
All 120 teams are ranked below with their average points for and against from the simulated games. Simulations are based on updated, strength-of-schedule-adjusted stats, so significant week-to-week changes could occur.
Teams Ranked by Winning Percentage
(everyone plays everyone 100 times)
| 1. | Florida Gators | +3 | 98.4 | 57.6 | 7.8 |
| 2. | Texas Tech Red Raiders | -1 | 98.3 | 59.7 | 9.4 |
| 3. | Oklahoma Sooners | -1 | 96.6 | 53.3 | 11.9 |
| 4. | USC Trojans | -1 | 96.1 | 49.4 | 7.9 |
| 5. | Texas Longhorns | +1 | 94.0 | 49.4 | 13.4 |
| 6. | Penn State Nittany Lions | +2 | 93.8 | 46.4 | 10.3 |
| 7. | Alabama Crimson Tide | -2 | 93.8 | 41.8 | 7.3 |
| 8. | Oklahoma State Cowboys | +3 | 90.6 | 46.6 | 18.1 |
| 9. | Missouri Tigers | - | 90.2 | 46.1 | 18.0 |
| 10. | Boise State Broncos | - | 89.5 | 39.8 | 11.7 |
| 11. | Ball State Cardinals | -4 | 88.4 | 45.7 | 18.4 |
| 12. | Ohio State Buckeyes | +3 | 86.6 | 36.2 | 11.2 |
| 13. | Georgia Bulldogs | -1 | 86.3 | 41.2 | 18.3 |
| 14. | Utah Utes | -1 | 84.7 | 36.7 | 14.1 |
| 15. | Brigham Young Cougars | +5 | 84.1 | 38.0 | 17.0 |
| 16. | TCU Horned Frogs | -2 | 83.1 | 32.9 | 11.8 |
| 17. | Oregon State Beavers | +7 | 82.7 | 33.9 | 14.8 |
| 18. | Nebraska Cornhuskers | +8 | 80.0 | 40.7 | 23.4 |
| 19. | Iowa Hawkeyes | +3 | 78.9 | 32.6 | 15.1 |
| 20. | Cincinnati Bearcats | +1 | 78.7 | 31.6 | 16.1 |
| 21. | North Carolina Tar Heels | -5 | 77.2 | 32.0 | 17.1 |
| 22. | Houston Cougars | +24 | 75.8 | 36.7 | 22.2 |
| 23. | Oregon Ducks | +16 | 75.3 | 33.8 | 18.1 |
| 24. | Florida State Seminoles | -7 | 74.4 | 30.9 | 16.5 |
| 25. | GA Tech Yellow Jackets | -7 | 73.1 | 28.8 | 15.8 |
| 26. | Mississippi Rebels | +15 | 72.5 | 32.5 | 20.2 |
| 27. | Air Force Falcons | -8 | 72.5 | 31.2 | 19.6 |
| 28. | Nevada Wolf Pack | +5 | 71.2 | 34.0 | 22.4 |
| 29. | Wisconsin Badgers | +13 | 70.8 | 29.1 | 18.5 |
| 30. | LSU Tigers | -1 | 70.4 | 29.1 | 18.0 |
| 31. | Clemson Tigers | +14 | 70.4 | 25.9 | 16.0 |
| 32. | Tulsa Golden Hurricane | -9 | 69.4 | 39.9 | 31.0 |
| 33. | Maryland Terrapins | -8 | 68.9 | 29.0 | 19.3 |
| 34. | W. Virginia Mountaineers | -4 | 68.6 | 26.2 | 16.3 |
| 35. | Arizona Wildcats | -4 | 68.0 | 29.0 | 19.5 |
| 36. | Michigan State Spartans | +1 | 66.8 | 24.8 | 17.5 |
| 37. | Connecticut Huskies | +13 | 66.1 | 25.6 | 17.7 |
| 38. | Illinois Fighting Illini | -4 | 66.0 | 29.7 | 22.8 |
| 39. | California Golden Bears | -7 | 65.0 | 25.1 | 17.4 |
| 40. | Pittsburgh Panthers | -12 | 64.5 | 26.3 | 19.7 |
| 41. | Miami (FL) Hurricanes | -6 | 64.4 | 22.8 | 16.0 |
| 42. | W. Michigan Broncos | -6 | 64.3 | 29.2 | 22.5 |
| 43. | South Florida Bulls | -3 | 63.3 | 27.5 | 21.7 |
| 44. | Kansas Jayhawks | -17 | 61.9 | 27.6 | 22.9 |
| 45. | Baylor Bears | +12 | 61.9 | 28.6 | 23.2 |
| 46. | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | +22 | 61.6 | 23.1 | 18.5 |
| 47. | Boston College Eagles | - | 60.3 | 21.1 | 17.0 |
| 48. | Troy Trojans | +7 | 56.3 | 22.3 | 20.4 |
| 49. | Northwestern Wildcats | +2 | 55.9 | 21.0 | 18.8 |
| 50. | Rice Owls | +3 | 55.3 | 29.9 | 28.7 |
| 51. | S. Carolina Gamecocks | -13 | 54.8 | 20.4 | 19.8 |
| 52. | Rutgers Scarlet Knights | +7 | 54.7 | 25.3 | 23.9 |
| 53. | Arkansas St. Indians | -1 | 53.6 | 25.4 | 24.7 |
| 54. | C. Michigan Chippewas | - | 52.5 | 24.8 | 25.1 |
| 55. | Northern Illinois Huskies | -6 | 52.1 | 23.0 | 23.4 |
| 56. | Navy Midshipmen | -13 | 52.0 | 25.9 | 25.9 |
| 57. | Minn. Golden Gophers | +1 | 51.7 | 22.5 | 23.1 |
| 58. | Fresno State Bulldogs | +8 | 50.5 | 28.2 | 29.6 |
| 59. | Vanderbilt Commodores | +11 | 50.3 | 17.9 | 19.9 |
| 60. | Arizona St. Sun Devils | +13 | 50.0 | 20.9 | 23.0 |
| 61. | WF Demon Deacons | -17 | 50.0 | 18.0 | 19.6 |
| 62. | Buffalo Bulls | +9 | 45.7 | 22.6 | 26.1 |
| 63. | LA-Laf Ragin' Cajuns | -7 | 45.7 | 27.4 | 30.8 |
| 64. | Virginia Tech Hokies | -16 | 45.5 | 18.3 | 21.8 |
| 65. | S. Miss Golden Eagles | +20 | 45.5 | 23.5 | 27.0 |
| 66. | Akron Zips | -2 | 45.5 | 23.9 | 27.2 |
| 67. | Louisville Cardinals | -6 | 44.8 | 21.6 | 25.3 |
| 68. | Stanford Cardinal | -3 | 43.1 | 21.7 | 26.6 |
| 69. | Auburn Tigers | +14 | 42.4 | 15.2 | 21.3 |
| 70. | Florida Atlantic Owls | +25 | 41.0 | 22.1 | 28.0 |
| 71. | East Carolina Pirates | -9 | 39.1 | 17.0 | 23.7 |
| 72. | UTEP Miners | +20 | 39.0 | 22.2 | 29.3 |
| 73. | Arkansas Razorbacks | +1 | 38.1 | 20.1 | 27.7 |
| 74. | Kansas State Wildcats | -14 | 37.6 | 22.6 | 30.7 |
| 75. | Bowling Green Falcons | +5 | 36.0 | 16.5 | 25.2 |
| 76. | Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | -7 | 35.4 | 16.9 | 25.9 |
| 77. | Hawaii Warriors | +7 | 34.6 | 17.8 | 26.9 |
| 78. | Tennessee Volunteers | +12 | 33.6 | 13.3 | 23.5 |
| 79. | Memphis Tigers | +8 | 33.5 | 21.2 | 30.9 |
| 80. | Indiana Hoosiers | -5 | 33.5 | 18.6 | 28.6 |
| 81. | Kent St. Golden Flashes | +19 | 33.4 | 20.0 | 30.4 |
| 82. | Fla. Int. Golden Panthers | +14 | 33.1 | 15.4 | 26.5 |
| 83. | New Mexico Lobos | +3 | 32.8 | 15.9 | 26.2 |
| 84. | San Jose State Spartans | -12 | 32.5 | 13.8 | 24.3 |
| 85. | Kentucky Wildcats | -9 | 32.4 | 14.0 | 24.7 |
| 86. | Colorado St. Rams | +7 | 31.9 | 19.0 | 29.9 |
| 87. | Virginia Cavaliers | -20 | 31.7 | 13.4 | 24.0 |
| 88. | Purdue Boilermakers | -10 | 31.3 | 15.1 | 26.2 |
| 89. | Mid Tenn Blue Raiders | +13 | 30.3 | 15.5 | 27.4 |
| 90. | NC St. Wolfpack | -11 | 30.2 | 15.0 | 26.8 |
| 91. | UNLV Rebels | -9 | 29.7 | 18.3 | 30.1 |
| 92. | Temple Owls | -11 | 28.7 | 14.7 | 26.9 |
| 93. | Duke Blue Devils | -30 | 28.7 | 14.9 | 27.3 |
| 94. | Texas A&M Aggies | -6 | 28.1 | 19.3 | 32.2 |
| 95. | New Mexico State Aggies | -18 | 27.9 | 17.2 | 30.5 |
| 96. | Marshall Thundering Herd | -2 | 26.2 | 14.6 | 28.8 |
| 97. | Toledo Rockets | +1 | 25.4 | 15.6 | 29.8 |
| 98. | Ohio Bobcats | +3 | 25.1 | 14.1 | 29.0 |
| 99. | Utah State Aggies | - | 24.4 | 15.3 | 31.0 |
| 100. | Mississippi State Bulldogs | +3 | 24.0 | 10.9 | 26.9 |
| 101. | Colorado Buffaloes | -12 | 22.3 | 11.7 | 28.0 |
| 102. | Iowa State Cyclones | +2 | 22.3 | 15.9 | 32.5 |
| 103. | Michigan Wolverines | -12 | 22.1 | 11.8 | 28.4 |
| 104. | Army Black Knights | +2 | 21.3 | 13.2 | 30.7 |
| 105. | UCLA Bruins | +2 | 21.2 | 11.2 | 28.5 |
| 106. | Wyoming Cowboys | -1 | 21.1 | 11.8 | 29.0 |
| 107. | UAB Blazers | +4 | 19.5 | 17.0 | 35.4 |
| 108. | UCF Knights | +6 | 18.4 | 9.3 | 27.6 |
| 109. | Syracuse Orange | -12 | 16.4 | 12.9 | 34.2 |
| 110. | E. Michigan Eagles | -2 | 16.1 | 15.4 | 37.3 |
| 111. | Tulane Green Wave | -2 | 13.3 | 12.9 | 36.6 |
| 112. | SMU Mustangs | +1 | 13.0 | 13.3 | 36.1 |
| 113. | Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | +2 | 13.0 | 10.2 | 34.1 |
| 114. | Miami (OH) RedHawks | -2 | 11.4 | 9.7 | 35.2 |
| 115. | LA-Monroe Warhawks | -5 | 10.2 | 11.9 | 40.4 |
| 116. | Idaho Vandals | - | 7.4 | 9.9 | 40.1 |
| 117. | San Diego State Aztecs | - | 7.3 | 9.1 | 38.0 |
| 118. | Washington Huskies | - | 6.1 | 8.1 | 39.3 |
| 119. | North Texas Mean Green | - | 6.0 | 9.1 | 41.5 |
| 120. | Washington St. Cougars | - | 3.3 | 7.5 | 44.7 |
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