Week 1 NCAA Football Simulation Predictions from Whatifsports.com
Each Monday, WhatIfSports.com's NCAA college football simulation engine will provide you with game predictions for every D-1 FBS game that upcoming week. The college football simulation engine generates detailed information for each game, including each team's chances of winning (win percentage) and the average points scored for both teams. Make sure to share the college football information you gained here with your friends by either checking out our NCAA football widgets on the WhatIf To Go page or clicking on the social networking share bar at the top and bottom of this article.
Check out our 2011 College Football Season-to-Date page to follow our accuracy and for "Locks and Upsets of the Week" available on Wednesdays.
The statistical inputs to the thousands of college football simulations are based on rigorous analysis of each team's roster, depth charts and statistically-based player rankings. Roster modifications are made in cases of injury or suspension and those players are removed from their team's game simulation for that week.
Game of the Week: Boise State vs Georgia
It's Week 1 of the 2011 college football season, and ohhh, does it feel so good.
Finally, we're talking tailgating instead of investigating, beers instead of jeers and good times instead of hard times.
LSU is trying its best to ruin my party with some off-the-field allegations and arrest warrants, but the Bayou Bengals will not succeed.
It's go-time for college football fans and the WhatIfSports.com college football simulation engine. We now begin the four-month journey where we strive to exceed our 75 percent accuracy on college football predictions set last season.
Our Week 1 Game of the Week pairs everybody's favorite BCS bridesmaid, Boise State, against a Georgia squad ready to lay last season's 6-7 record to rest.
To be fair, the Bulldogs started the 2010 season behind the eight ball with A.J. Green suspended for selling his jersey, and before Mark Richt knew what hit him, his team was 1-4.
It doesn't get any easier in 2011, with Green now in the NFL and a young tandem leading the offense. Sophomore quarterback Aaron Murray will look to freshman running back Isaiah Crowell to relieve the pressure to pass to two inexperienced wide outs.
Like it has so many times, the script gets flipped when talking about the Broncos. Their experience and hyper offense make them the favorite in Week 1. Back for his eighth season (kidding, but it seems like it) is senior quarterback Kellen Moore. The guy finished fourth in the Heisman chase last season, and will no doubt lose to media darling and top NFL prospect Andrew Luck this year, but will once again vie to crash the BCS National Championship Game.
Moore has one of his favorite targets back in tight end Kyle Efaw (senior WR Tyler Shoemaker returns too) and senior running back Doug Martin at the ready when his arm needs a rest. The Broncos ranked second in the nation in scoring last season (45.1 PPG), so don't expect a low score against the Dawgs.
Coach Richt possesses a 73.8 winning percentage in a decade at Georgia. For that number to increase following their game against the Broncs, the kids will have to outplay the adults.
Using our college football simulation engine we "played" Boise State versus Georgia 101 times, and it's the Broncos coming away with the win 59.4 percent of the time by an average score of 35-30.
| Liberty Flames | 5.0 | 7 | Boxscore |
| @ North Carolina State Wolfpack | 95.0 | 52 | |
| William & Mary Tribe | 5.0 | 9 | Boxscore |
| @ Virginia Cavaliers | 95.0 | 41 | |
| Richmond Spiders | 5.0 | 7 | Boxscore |
| @ Duke Blue Devils | 95.0 | 43 | |
| Western Carolina Catamounts | 5.0 | 8 | Boxscore |
| @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets | 95.0 | 47 | |
| Appalachian State Mountaineers | 5.0 | 7 | Boxscore |
| @ Virginia Tech Hokies | 95.0 | 60 | |
| Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 5.0 | 18 | Boxscore |
| @ Florida State Seminoles | 95.0 | 38 | |
| James Madison Dukes | 5.0 | 7 | Boxscore |
| @ North Carolina Tar Heels | 95.0 | 52 | |
| Troy Trojans | 21.3 | 22 | Boxscore |
| @ Clemson Tigers | 78.7 | 34 | |
| Northwestern Wildcats | 48.5 | 23 | Boxscore |
| @ Boston College Eagles | 51.5 | 24 | |
| Miami (FL) Hurricanes | 55.4 | 25 | Boxscore |
| @ Maryland Terrapins | 44.6 | 24 | |
| Murray State Racers | 5.0 | 8 | Boxscore |
| @ Louisville Cardinals | 95.0 | 45 | |
| North Carolina Central Eagles | 5.0 | 6 | Boxscore |
| @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 95.0 | 42 | |
| Fordham Rams | 5.0 | 8 | Boxscore |
| @ Connecticut Huskies | 95.0 | 47 | |
| Austin Peay Governors | 5.0 | 6 | Boxscore |
| @ Cincinnati Bearcats | 95.0 | 54 | |
| Marshall Thundering Herd | 5.9 | 12 | Boxscore |
| @ West Virginia Mountaineers | 94.1 | 35 | |
| Buffalo Bulls | 7.9 | 15 | Boxscore |
| @ Pittsburgh Panthers | 92.1 | 36 | |
| Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 26.2 | 19 | Boxscore |
| @ Syracuse Orange | 73.8 | 29 | |
| UNLV Rebels | 5.0 | 9 | Boxscore |
| @ Wisconsin Badgers | 95.0 | 47 | |
| Youngstown State Penguins | 5.0 | 7 | Boxscore |
| @ Michigan State Spartans | 95.0 | 57 | |
| Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles | 5.0 | 7 | Boxscore |
| @ Iowa Hawkeyes | 95.0 | 50 | |
| Akron Zips | 5.0 | 7 | Boxscore |
| @ Ohio State Buckeyes | 95.0 | 42 | |
| Indiana State Sycamores | 5.0 | 7 | Boxscore |
| @ Penn State Nittany Lions | 95.0 | 56 | |
| Chattanooga Mocs | 5.0 | 6 | Boxscore |
| @ Nebraska Cornhuskers | 95.0 | 56 | |
| Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 23.8 | 17 | Boxscore |
| @ Purdue Boilermakers | 76.2 | 26 | |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves | 23.8 | 20 | Boxscore |
| @ Illinois Fighting Illini | 76.2 | 32 | |
| Western Michigan Broncos | 23.8 | 26 | Boxscore |
| @ Michigan Wolverines | 76.2 | 37 | |
| South Carolina State Bulldogs | 5.0 | 7 | Boxscore |
| @ Central Michigan Chippewas | 95.0 | 43 | |
| Villanova Wildcats | 5.0 | 9 | Boxscore |
| @ Temple Owls | 95.0 | 49 | |
| New Hampshire Wildcats | 5.0 | 7 | Boxscore |
| @ Toledo Rockets | 95.0 | 48 | |
| Howard Bison | 11.9 | 11 | Boxscore |
| @ Eastern Michigan Eagles | 88.1 | 27 | |
| Army Black Knights | 11.9 | 18 | Boxscore |
| @ Northern Illinois Huskies | 88.1 | 34 | |
| Indiana Hoosiers | 92.1 | 32 | Boxscore |
| @ Ball State Cardinals | 7.9 | 17 | |
| San Jose State Spartans | 5.0 | 8 | Boxscore |
| @ Stanford Cardinal | 95.0 | 50 | |
| Idaho State Bengals | 5.0 | 8 | Boxscore |
| @ Washington State Cougars | 95.0 | 41 | |
| Eastern Washington Eagles | 5.0 | 8 | Boxscore |
| @ Washington Huskies | 95.0 | 47 | |
| UC Davis Aggies | 5.0 | 7 | Boxscore |
| @ Arizona State Sun Devils | 95.0 | 54 | |
| Montana State Bobcats | 5.0 | 8 | Boxscore |
| @ Utah Utes | 95.0 | 58 | |
| Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 5.0 | 7 | Boxscore |
| @ Arizona Wildcats | 95.0 | 53 | |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers | 5.0 | 15 | Boxscore |
| @ USC Trojans | 95.0 | 39 | |
| Sacramento State Hornets | 5.0 | 8 | Boxscore |
| @ Oregon State Beavers | 95.0 | 50 | |
| LSU Tigers | 22.8 | 23 | Boxscore |
| @ Oregon Ducks | 77.2 | 33 | |
| Fresno State Bulldogs | 37.6 | 23 | Boxscore |
| @ California Golden Bears | 62.4 | 29 | |
| Florida Atlantic Owls | 5.0 | 9 | Boxscore |
| @ Florida Gators | 95.0 | 38 | |
| Montana Grizzlies | 5.0 | 7 | Boxscore |
| @ Tennessee Volunteers | 95.0 | 48 | |
| Missouri State Bears | 5.0 | 7 | Boxscore |
| @ Arkansas Razorbacks | 95.0 | 59 | |
| Elon Phoenix | 5.0 | 8 | Boxscore |
| @ Vanderbilt Commodores | 95.0 | 40 | |
| Kent State Golden Flashes | 5.0 | 7 | Boxscore |
| @ Alabama Crimson Tide | 95.0 | 38 | |
| Utah State Aggies | 14.9 | 18 | Boxscore |
| @ Auburn Tigers | 85.1 | 35 | |
| Boise State Broncos | 59.4 | 35 | Boxscore |
| @ Georgia Bulldogs | 40.6 | 30 | |
| Brigham Young Cougars | 63.4 | 29 | Boxscore |
| @ Mississippi Rebels | 36.6 | 26 | |
| Bowling Green Falcons | 31.7 | 20 | Boxscore |
| @ Idaho Vandals | 68.3 | 27 | |
| Colorado Buffaloes | 32.7 | 29 | Boxscore |
| @ Hawaii Warriors | 67.3 | 34 | |
| Ohio Bobcats | 95.0 | 36 | Boxscore |
| @ New Mexico State Aggies | 5.0 | 10 | |
| Delaware Blue Hens | 5.0 | 8 | Boxscore |
| @ Navy Midshipmen | 95.0 | 48 | |
| South Florida Bulls | 27.7 | 20 | Boxscore |
| @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 72.3 | 29 | |
| Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 5.0 | 15 | Boxscore |
| @ Oklahoma State Cowboys | 95.0 | 45 | |
| Rice Owls | 5.5 | 14 | Boxscore |
| @ Texas Longhorns | 95.5 | 37 | |
| Texas State Bobcats | 5.0 | 9 | Boxscore |
| @ Texas Tech Red Raiders | 95.0 | 51 | |
| Northern Iowa Panthers | 5.0 | 7 | Boxscore |
| @ Iowa State Cyclones | 95.0 | 42 | |
| McNeese State Cowboys | 5.0 | 8 | Boxscore |
| @ Kansas Jayhawks | 95.0 | 39 | |
| Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 5.0 | 8 | Boxscore |
| @ Kansas State Wildcats | 95.0 | 48 | |
| Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 6.9 | 26 | Boxscore |
| @ Oklahoma Sooners | 93.1 | 44 | |
| Miami (OH) RedHawks | 6.9 | 15 | Boxscore |
| @ Missouri Tigers | 93.1 | 31 | |
| Southern Methodist Mustangs | 30.7 | 28 | Boxscore |
| @ Texas A&M Aggies | 69.3 | 36 | |
| TCU Horned Frogs | 81.2 | 37 | Boxscore |
| @ Baylor Bears | 18.8 | 26 | |
| Southeastern Louisiana Lions | 5.0 | 7 | Boxscore |
| @ Tulane Green Wave | 95.0 | 38 | |
| Stony Brook Seawolves | 5.0 | 9 | Boxscore |
| @ UTEP Miners | 95.0 | 36 | |
| Charleston Southern Buccaneers | 5.0 | 9 | Boxscore |
| @ UCF Knights | 95.0 | 54 | |
| Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 24.8 | 29 | Boxscore |
| @ Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 75.2 | 38 | |
| UCLA Bruins | 48.5 | 30 | Boxscore |
| @ Houston Cougars | 51.5 | 31 | |
| Mississippi State Bulldogs | 95.0 | 48 | Boxscore |
| @ Memphis Tigers | 5.0 | 7 | |
| South Carolina Gamecocks | 95.0 | 40 | Boxscore |
| @ East Carolina Pirates | 5.0 | 20 | |
| Weber State Wildcats | 5.0 | 8 | Boxscore |
| @ Wyoming Cowboys | 95.0 | 34 | |
| Cal Poly Mustangs | 5.0 | 9 | Boxscore |
| @ San Diego State Aztecs | 95.0 | 56 | |
| South Dakota Coyotes | 5.0 | 7 | Boxscore |
| @ Air Force Falcons | 95.0 | 48 | |
| Colorado State Rams | 81.2 | 28 | Boxscore |
| @ New Mexico Lobos | 18.8 | 17 | |
| North Texas Mean Green | 30.7 | 23 | Boxscore |
| @ FIU Golden Panthers | 69.3 | 31 | |
| Kentucky Wildcats | 86.1 | 29 | Boxscore |
| @ Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 13.9 | 17 | |
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