College Football Power Rankings: Week 12
CFB Power Rankings
WhatIfSports.com utilizes its NCAA football simulation to present the most comprehensive, deterministic, and unbiased ranking of all teams. We simulated every possible DI FBS matchup one hundred times and used the winning percentages from 700,000+ games to evaluate every team.
All 120 teams are ranked below with their average points for and against from the simulated games. Simulations are based on updated, strength-of-schedule-adjusted stats, so significant week-to-week changes could occur.
Teams Ranked by Winning Percentage
(everyone plays everyone 100 times)
| 1. | Texas Tech Red Raiders | - | 97.4 | 56.9 | 10.1 |
| 2. | Oklahoma Sooners | +4 | 96.5 | 52.1 | 14.7 |
| 3. | USC Trojans | - | 96.0 | 46.9 | 6.6 |
| 4. | Florida Gators | - | 95.8 | 51.2 | 9.8 |
| 5. | Alabama Crimson Tide | +2 | 93.9 | 43.3 | 7.0 |
| 6. | Texas Longhorns | +2 | 93.7 | 51.7 | 13.4 |
| 7. | Ball State Cardinals | +4 | 91.0 | 48.6 | 16.7 |
| 8. | Penn State Nittany Lions | -6 | 91.0 | 41.8 | 11.6 |
| 9. | Missouri Tigers | - | 90.9 | 45.4 | 18.1 |
| 10. | Boise State Broncos | - | 90.7 | 41.9 | 9.7 |
| 11. | Oklahoma State Cowboys | -6 | 90.6 | 45.2 | 18.0 |
| 12. | Georgia Bulldogs | +1 | 88.9 | 44.3 | 16.7 |
| 13. | Utah Utes | +1 | 87.3 | 40.6 | 11.9 |
| 14. | TCU Horned Frogs | -2 | 86.1 | 34.5 | 8.9 |
| 15. | Ohio State Buckeyes | - | 84.0 | 33.0 | 11.4 |
| 16. | North Carolina Tar Heels | +1 | 83.1 | 33.6 | 16.5 |
| 17. | Florida State Seminoles | -1 | 82.5 | 32.8 | 14.8 |
| 18. | GA Tech Yellow Jackets | - | 81.4 | 31.0 | 14.1 |
| 19. | Air Force Falcons | +10 | 80.7 | 36.5 | 16.5 |
| 20. | Brigham Young Cougars | +1 | 78.2 | 35.7 | 17.5 |
| 21. | Cincinnati Bearcats | +5 | 78.2 | 33.9 | 14.8 |
| 22. | Iowa Hawkeyes | +5 | 76.1 | 29.9 | 16.6 |
| 23. | Tulsa Golden Hurricane | +1 | 74.7 | 40.5 | 23.4 |
| 24. | Oregon State Beavers | +11 | 73.2 | 30.5 | 17.4 |
| 25. | Maryland Terrapins | -2 | 73.2 | 29.5 | 20.1 |
| 26. | Nebraska Cornhuskers | +4 | 72.8 | 35.6 | 25.3 |
| 27. | Kansas Jayhawks | -2 | 72.6 | 31.7 | 22.0 |
| 28. | Pittsburgh Panthers | +4 | 70.6 | 26.2 | 19.3 |
| 29. | LSU Tigers | -9 | 70.4 | 31.3 | 18.4 |
| 30. | W. Virginia Mountaineers | -8 | 70.4 | 25.8 | 16.6 |
| 31. | Arizona Wildcats | +3 | 69.8 | 28.3 | 17.8 |
| 32. | California Golden Bears | -13 | 69.0 | 26.9 | 16.6 |
| 33. | Nevada Wolf Pack | +8 | 68.9 | 32.6 | 23.4 |
| 34. | Illinois Fighting Illini | -6 | 68.3 | 30.4 | 22.6 |
| 35. | Miami (FL) Hurricanes | -4 | 67.6 | 22.4 | 16.7 |
| 36. | W. Michigan Broncos | +1 | 67.3 | 30.4 | 21.7 |
| 37. | Michigan State Spartans | +2 | 67.1 | 24.6 | 18.0 |
| 38. | S. Carolina Gamecocks | +2 | 66.6 | 24.3 | 15.5 |
| 39. | Oregon Ducks | -1 | 66.5 | 28.9 | 19.2 |
| 40. | South Florida Bulls | +4 | 66.2 | 30.9 | 19.1 |
| 41. | Mississippi Rebels | +4 | 64.1 | 29.7 | 20.9 |
| 42. | Wisconsin Badgers | +6 | 63.5 | 26.5 | 21.1 |
| 43. | Navy Midshipmen | +7 | 62.3 | 33.4 | 24.1 |
| 44. | WF Demon Deacons | +3 | 62.2 | 19.2 | 17.8 |
| 45. | Clemson Tigers | -9 | 61.4 | 21.4 | 20.5 |
| 46. | Houston Cougars | +8 | 59.5 | 30.8 | 24.5 |
| 47. | Boston College Eagles | +5 | 57.5 | 18.6 | 18.7 |
| 48. | Virginia Tech Hokies | +10 | 56.5 | 20.3 | 20.6 |
| 49. | Northern Illinois Huskies | -16 | 56.3 | 23.9 | 22.6 |
| 50. | Connecticut Huskies | +5 | 56.3 | 24.4 | 19.4 |
| 51. | Northwestern Wildcats | -8 | 55.4 | 20.7 | 20.7 |
| 52. | Arkansas St. Indians | -6 | 54.1 | 24.7 | 25.2 |
| 53. | Rice Owls | +7 | 53.6 | 30.7 | 28.4 |
| 54. | C. Michigan Chippewas | +2 | 53.2 | 25.0 | 25.1 |
| 55. | Troy Trojans | +2 | 52.9 | 24.1 | 19.9 |
| 56. | LA-Laf Ragin' Cajuns | -7 | 51.2 | 28.6 | 29.4 |
| 57. | Baylor Bears | -4 | 51.0 | 25.0 | 24.3 |
| 58. | Minn. Golden Gophers | -16 | 50.4 | 21.4 | 24.2 |
| 59. | Rutgers Scarlet Knights | +9 | 50.0 | 21.8 | 26.3 |
| 60. | Kansas State Wildcats | -9 | 49.0 | 24.9 | 29.0 |
| 61. | Louisville Cardinals | +1 | 47.7 | 22.9 | 23.2 |
| 62. | East Carolina Pirates | +5 | 47.2 | 20.1 | 20.8 |
| 63. | Duke Blue Devils | -4 | 45.3 | 17.1 | 25.0 |
| 64. | Akron Zips | +10 | 44.8 | 23.3 | 28.0 |
| 65. | Stanford Cardinal | -2 | 44.1 | 21.3 | 25.7 |
| 66. | Fresno State Bulldogs | -2 | 43.7 | 28.9 | 31.8 |
| 67. | Virginia Cavaliers | -1 | 43.6 | 14.7 | 22.3 |
| 68. | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | -7 | 43.4 | 19.0 | 21.3 |
| 69. | Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | +13 | 40.7 | 17.5 | 24.8 |
| 70. | Vanderbilt Commodores | +1 | 40.3 | 15.8 | 22.0 |
| 71. | Buffalo Bulls | +12 | 40.2 | 22.7 | 25.7 |
| 72. | San Jose State Spartans | -3 | 39.7 | 13.7 | 21.7 |
| 73. | Arizona St. Sun Devils | +2 | 38.9 | 18.6 | 25.8 |
| 74. | Arkansas Razorbacks | -4 | 38.6 | 20.6 | 27.0 |
| 75. | Indiana Hoosiers | -10 | 38.4 | 19.1 | 28.6 |
| 76. | Kentucky Wildcats | -4 | 38.0 | 15.4 | 21.8 |
| 77. | New Mexico State Aggies | +3 | 36.9 | 19.0 | 29.5 |
| 78. | Purdue Boilermakers | -5 | 36.1 | 15.9 | 26.7 |
| 79. | NC St. Wolfpack | +16 | 36.0 | 15.4 | 27.4 |
| 80. | Bowling Green Falcons | -1 | 35.9 | 16.1 | 25.9 |
| 81. | Temple Owls | -4 | 34.4 | 13.3 | 26.1 |
| 82. | UNLV Rebels | -1 | 34.4 | 19.2 | 30.3 |
| 83. | Auburn Tigers | +4 | 33.9 | 13.7 | 23.0 |
| 84. | Hawaii Warriors | +7 | 32.8 | 18.5 | 27.0 |
| 85. | S. Miss Golden Eagles | +1 | 32.2 | 20.5 | 28.6 |
| 86. | New Mexico Lobos | -1 | 32.0 | 16.3 | 25.6 |
| 87. | Memphis Tigers | +1 | 31.4 | 21.5 | 30.7 |
| 88. | Texas A&M Aggies | -10 | 30.6 | 20.3 | 30.3 |
| 89. | Colorado Buffaloes | +3 | 30.6 | 12.5 | 26.6 |
| 90. | Tennessee Volunteers | -14 | 30.5 | 12.4 | 24.5 |
| 91. | Michigan Wolverines | +15 | 30.4 | 13.3 | 27.2 |
| 92. | UTEP Miners | +6 | 28.5 | 20.2 | 31.2 |
| 93. | Colorado St. Rams | -9 | 28.5 | 19.0 | 29.8 |
| 94. | Marshall Thundering Herd | -5 | 26.6 | 16.2 | 27.6 |
| 95. | Florida Atlantic Owls | +4 | 26.4 | 18.8 | 29.0 |
| 96. | Fla. Int. Golden Panthers | +6 | 25.8 | 15.4 | 26.1 |
| 97. | Syracuse Orange | -7 | 25.2 | 14.7 | 32.8 |
| 98. | Toledo Rockets | -5 | 24.6 | 15.0 | 30.6 |
| 99. | Utah State Aggies | -3 | 24.5 | 14.4 | 30.9 |
| 100. | Kent St. Golden Flashes | -3 | 24.5 | 16.5 | 33.3 |
| 101. | Ohio Bobcats | -7 | 24.0 | 13.9 | 29.6 |
| 102. | Mid Tenn Blue Raiders | +3 | 23.3 | 15.1 | 28.0 |
| 103. | Mississippi State Bulldogs | -3 | 22.7 | 11.2 | 26.6 |
| 104. | Iowa State Cyclones | -1 | 22.6 | 14.4 | 33.5 |
| 105. | Wyoming Cowboys | +4 | 20.8 | 12.0 | 27.9 |
| 106. | Army Black Knights | +1 | 20.4 | 13.6 | 29.6 |
| 107. | UCLA Bruins | -6 | 19.6 | 11.0 | 30.4 |
| 108. | E. Michigan Eagles | - | 17.1 | 15.3 | 37.4 |
| 109. | Tulane Green Wave | -5 | 15.3 | 13.9 | 34.5 |
| 110. | LA-Monroe Warhawks | +1 | 13.9 | 14.9 | 37.1 |
| 111. | UAB Blazers | +3 | 12.2 | 15.6 | 36.8 |
| 112. | Miami (OH) RedHawks | -2 | 11.7 | 9.1 | 35.0 |
| 113. | SMU Mustangs | -1 | 11.0 | 12.7 | 37.1 |
| 114. | UCF Knights | +1 | 10.8 | 8.9 | 30.3 |
| 115. | Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | -2 | 8.5 | 9.7 | 35.5 |
| 116. | Idaho Vandals | - | 8.4 | 11.2 | 38.2 |
| 117. | San Diego State Aztecs | +1 | 6.7 | 8.9 | 38.3 |
| 118. | Washington Huskies | +1 | 6.4 | 8.6 | 40.9 |
| 119. | North Texas Mean Green | -2 | 4.6 | 9.2 | 41.1 |
| 120. | Washington St. Cougars | - | 3.0 | 7.3 | 46.4 |
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