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Hawaii Bowl 2010: Tulsa vs. Hawaii Predictions Breakdown Against Vegas Spread

Joe DuffyDec 24, 2010

It’s Tulsa vs. Hawaii in the Hawaii Bowl. The offshore and Las Vegas point spread has Hawaii -10 with a total now up to 73.

Tulsa is 9-3 straight up, 8-4 against the spread. Hawaii is 10-3 straight up and 11-3 to the bookmakers. They have covered all seven home games this season.

Tulsa gets 5.2 yards per rush teams that normally allow 4.6, 7.8 yards per pass to 7.3 and 6.4 yards per play to 5.9.

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Defensively, they allow 4.0 yards per rush to teams normally getting that same 4.0. However, their pass defense is abysmal, allowing 8.1 yards per pass to teams that usually get 7.0 and 6.2 yards per play to 5.5.

Hawaii gets 5.0 yards per rush to defenses that allow an average of 4.7 and outstanding 9.0 yards per pass to 7.8 and 7.7 yards per play to 6.0, all extremely impressive ratings.

On the other side of the ball, Hawaii allows just 3.5 yards per rush versus squads that earn 4.1, 6.7 yards per pass to 7.0 and 4.9 yards per play to 5.4.

Spread betting trends (all records are against the spread): The Golden Hurricanes are on an 8-1 run overall but are 6-13 as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0. The Warriors are on an 8-0 tear as a chalk, 13-3 overall and 21-8 after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Over/under trends: Tulsa has gone under 10-2 after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game and under 20-7 after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

Hawaii over 8-2 outside the conference.

Top expert pick on this game: ScoresOddsPicks went only 2-1 last night—the second worst performance this month, only making .9 units.

That makes them 28-8 the last 36, but this included Miami Ohio +775 on the money line in the MAC Championship, Nebraska in the Big 12 Championship as the Best Bet of the Year, Oakland December 5 as the Underdog Best Bet of the Year, December 19 the Jets as the Oddsmaker Overreaction Best Bet of the Year and the Bears December 20 as the Monday Night Best Bet of the Postseason. You can see why the bookmakers fear it’s likely the last loser until sometime in 2011.

Now it’s the ESPN Best Bet on Hawaii-Tulsa. It’s a very soft number out there, and ScoresOddsPicks will exploit it. All the biggest factors motivation, coaching, situations, mismatches, depth charts and more. Click now to purchase.

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