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SEC Weekly Preview: Rematch City

J. NewcastleNov 30, 2010

Auburn (12-0) vs. South Carolina (9-3)
Atlanta, Georgia - Saturday, December 4 4 PM EST - CBS
SEC Championship Game

Auburn vs. South Carolina II

The rematch is set. The first game ended in Cam Newton's coming out party and a 35-27 win for the Tigers.

How will the next chapter go? Click Next.

Article first published as SEC Weekly Preview: Championship Game Features Rematch on Blogcritics.

Welcome To The Party, South Carolina!

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COLUMBIA - NOVEMBER 1:  A general view of the South Carolina Gamecocks mascot running the flag on the field during the game against the Tennessee Volunteers at Williams-Brice Stadium on November 1, 2008 in Columbia, South Carolina. (Photo by: Streeter Lec
COLUMBIA - NOVEMBER 1: A general view of the South Carolina Gamecocks mascot running the flag on the field during the game against the Tennessee Volunteers at Williams-Brice Stadium on November 1, 2008 in Columbia, South Carolina. (Photo by: Streeter Lec

The story here is South Carolina.

A team with no real winning tradition in the SEC making its first trip to Atlanta with a coach who made a habit of this during his days in Gainesville.

Which version of this team shows up? The answer to that question determines the outcome.

The Good

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GAINESVILLE, FL - NOVEMBER 13:  Stephen Garcia #5 of the South Carolina Gamecocks is congratulated by teammates after rushing for a touchdown during a game against the Florida Gators at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium on November 13, 2010 in Gainesville, Florida
GAINESVILLE, FL - NOVEMBER 13: Stephen Garcia #5 of the South Carolina Gamecocks is congratulated by teammates after rushing for a touchdown during a game against the Florida Gators at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium on November 13, 2010 in Gainesville, Florida

If it's the "good" South Carolina team—the one that beat Alabama, had Auburn on the ropes on the road, and worked through the better part of the SEC East this year—this will be a very tight game.

That team runs the ball with authority, makes big plays in the passing game, limits turnovers, and has a defense that imposes its will on the opposition's offense. Stephen Garcia looks like a masterful field general in that version of the team as he doles the ball to Alshon Jeffrey and Marcus Lattimore.

The Bad

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COLUMBIA, SC - NOVEMBER 06:  Joe Adams #3 of the Arkansas Razorbacks runs with the ball against Akeem Auguste #3 of the South Carolina Gamecocks during their game at Williams-Brice Stadium on November 6, 2010 in Columbia, South Carolina.  (Photo by Street
COLUMBIA, SC - NOVEMBER 06: Joe Adams #3 of the Arkansas Razorbacks runs with the ball against Akeem Auguste #3 of the South Carolina Gamecocks during their game at Williams-Brice Stadium on November 6, 2010 in Columbia, South Carolina. (Photo by Street

If it's the "bad" South Carolina team—the one that blew leads to Auburn and Kentucky and flat out didn't show up against Arkansas until it was too late—they will get run out of the stadium like a Sun Belt opponent on homecoming day.

That team doesn't establish the run game and relies too much on Garcia's arm and ability to read a defense which generally puts them on the wrong side of the turnover margin. It's the South Carolina defense that doesn't create pressure and allows the opposing offense to do whatever it wants.

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What About Auburn?

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AUBURN, AL - SEPTEMBER 25:  Quarterback Cameron Newton #2 of the Auburn Tigers dives across the offensive and defensive lines for a touchdown against the South Carolina Gamecocks before it was called back for a false start at Jordan-Hare Stadium on Septem
AUBURN, AL - SEPTEMBER 25: Quarterback Cameron Newton #2 of the Auburn Tigers dives across the offensive and defensive lines for a touchdown against the South Carolina Gamecocks before it was called back for a false start at Jordan-Hare Stadium on Septem

Auburn's presence in this game is immaterial to the outcome. If you've watched Auburn at all this year, you know exactly what to expect from that crew. Cam Newton will try to run the ball unless he's stopped, in which case he'll still play action fake and throw it deep for one of Auburn's receivers to make a play.

And the Auburn defense? They'll give up points like Santa throwing candy in a parade early but will wear on the opposing offensive line. At some point in the second half, the dam will break and Auburn's front will get through and bring havoc to the backfield.

That's what Auburn's done for 12 games. No lead is safe and it's never over until the clock is all zeros.

And The Winner Will Be...

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AUBURN, AL - NOVEMBER 13:  Quarterback Cameron Newton #2 of the Auburn Tigers celebrates with fans after their 49-31 win over the Georgia Bulldogs at Jordan-Hare Stadium on November 13, 2010 in Auburn, Alabama.  (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)
AUBURN, AL - NOVEMBER 13: Quarterback Cameron Newton #2 of the Auburn Tigers celebrates with fans after their 49-31 win over the Georgia Bulldogs at Jordan-Hare Stadium on November 13, 2010 in Auburn, Alabama. (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)

Auburn 31, South Carolina 24

So how will it go? I expect South Carolina to show up for this one and to come out swinging. However, they won't be able to sustain it. The Gamecocks are far too inconsistent and while Auburn is far from a perfect team, they know what they are and how to exploit the opposition's mistakes. That will be the difference in the end.

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