
BCS Rankings Week 13: Predicting How the Top 25 Will Change by Next Week
BCS Rankings Week 13 are heating up.
We are down to the final push for these teams here. For some of these teams without a conference championship game, this week is their final chance to make some noise before the Bowl season starts in December.
Here I take a stab at prognosticating. I will take my crystal ball out of storage and tell you how the final round in college football will go down. Then I will give you a safe bet ranking these teams will fall into this same time next week.
25. Mississippi State
1 of 25
Last Week: 21
This Week: 25
Previous Game: 38-31 loss to #13 Arkansas
Next Game: @ Ole Miss
The Bulldogs have had a rough couple of weeks lately. They have lost two straight against ranked opponents. Mississippi State's troubles are not over, though. They face a tough Ole Miss program that took LSU to the limit this week.
I smell upset. It could be time for laundry too, no that's an upset I smell.
Predicted Ranking: Unranked
24. Iowa
2 of 25
Last Week: 20
This Week: 24
Previous Game: 20-17 loss to #9 OSU
Next Game: @ Minnesota
The Hawkeyes looked good against the supposedly better Ohio State Buckeyes. They showed a stout defense that could stop anyone in the nation when working.
Iowa should have no trouble getting an away win in Minnesota. I just don't think such a win gives them a huge bump in the rankings.
Predicted Ranking: 23
23. North Carolina State
3 of 25
Last Week: Unranked
This Week: 23
Previous Game: 29-25 win at North Carolina
Next Game: @ Maryland
North Carolina State got quite a nudge into the top 25 this week. It is too bad that it will be short-lived.
The Wolfpack face a very dangerous opponent in Maryland on the road this week. Maryland loves these type of high-stress games. I don't see NC State surviving unscathed.
Predicted Ranking: Unranked
22. Florida State
4 of 25
Last Week: 25
This Week: 22
Previous Game: 30-16 win at Maryland
Next Game: vs. Florida
The Seminoles hope to wrap up an ACC berth with a win on Saturday. It won't be easy with the rival Gators coming to town. They will hold their own, though.
Christian Ponder showed his mettle against Maryland and will do the same this Saturday.
Predicted Ranking: 21
21. Arizona
5 of 25
Last Week: 22
This Week: 21
Previous Game: 24-21 loss to USC
Next Game: @ #1 Oregon
This will not be pretty. No matter how good a team is, they underachieve in the wild atmosphere of Autzen Stadium.
The Wildcats will not come back from Oregon in the top 25. Their defeat is assured.
Predicted Ranking: Unranked
20. Utah
6 of 25
Last Week: 23
This Week: 20
Previous Game: 38-34 win at San Diego State
Next Game: vs. BYU
The pollsters were kind to this team that got fat on weaker teams. It was clear that the Utes had no business in the top ten. Then they get a tight win against San Diego State and they move up three spots.
They should again get the win against a weaker BYU team. I just don't see why they should be even ranked at this point.
Predicted Ranking: 20
19. Nevada
7 of 25
Last Week: 18
This Week: 19
Previous Game: 52-6 win against New Mexico State
Next Game: vs. No. 4 Boise State
Nevada should lose this weekend. But their loss to the No. 4 team in the nation is no reason to hang their heads. On the contrary, this should be a great game pitting two volatile offenses.
Nevada and their pistol offense will be something to behold at home against the Broncos. Sadly, Nevada is destined to drop this one.
Predicted Ranking: 25
18. South Carolina
8 of 25
Last Week: 17
This Week: 18
Previous Game: 69-24 rout of Troy
Next Game: @ Clemson
The Gamecocks have been up and down all year. I am confident though that they will be a ranked team when they take on their toughest task of the year in Auburn.
The Gamecocks must first not overlook Clemson. A decisive win here could push the Gamecocks on to the top 15.
Predicted Ranking: 15
17. Texas A&M
9 of 25
Last Week: 19
This Week: 17
Previous Game: 9-6 win over #6 Nebraska
Next Game: @ Texas
The Aggies just proved they can stifle a top nationally ranked offense. Texas should be no problem for them then. The Longhorns have suffered on the field and between the ears this season.
Trust me when I say the players just want this one to be over quickly. Aggies will win and get somewhat of a boost.
Predicted Ranking: 14
16. Virginia Tech
10 of 25
Last Week: 16
This Week: 16
Previous Game: 31-17 win @ #24 Miami (FL)
Next Game: vs. Virginia
The Hokies made quick work of the Hurricanes last week. It is a shame that the BCS did not think too highly of their win as they stood pat at the #16 team this week.
With a very mediocre team in Virginia looming, I don't see the BCS taking too kindly to them even if they win.
Predicted Ranking: 13
15. Nebraska
11 of 25
Last Week: 8
This Week: 15
Previous Game: 9-6 loss to #19 Texas A&M
Next Game: vs. Colorado
Nebraska had just made people forget about their loss to Texas and then they go and drop another to a Texas team. Nebraska has a bit of an easier time this week against the Buffaloes.
But as Colorado moves to the Pac-12, this may be one of the last times these rivals face each other. They are playing for ultimate bragging rights.
Predicted Ranking: 12
14. Missouri
12 of 25
Last Week: 15
This Week: 14
Previous Game: 14-0 win at Iowa State
Next Game: vs. Kansas
Blaine Gabbert and Missouri looked as if they were destined for greatness this year after they knocked off then-No. 1 Oklahoma. Then they sort of fell apart.
They look to be back on track and should make short work of Kansas to end the regular season. That should have them knocking at the top ten's door yet again.
Predicted Ranking: 10
13. Oklahoma
13 of 25
Last Week: 14
This Week: 13
Previous Game: 53-24 win at Baylor
Next Game: @ #9 Oklahoma State
The Sooners did what most teams were unable to do this year, and that was to stifle the Baylor offense. Next up may is the biggest game of the year.
A win gets the glory, and defeat moves them back a few rungs. The Cowboys may be too tall an order at home for these shaky Sooners.
Predicted Ranking: 18
12. Arkansas
14 of 25
Last Week: 13
This Week: 12
Previous Game: 38-31 overtime win at #21 Mississippi State
Next Game: vs. #5 LSU
The Razorbacks proved this Saturday that they could go into hostile surroundings and get a win under enormous pressure. This week is another matter altogether.
They will have trouble getting points on the board at home against a stingy LSU defense. I see a loss for them this week.
Predicted Ranking: 17
11. Alabama
15 of 25
Last Week: 11
This Week: 11
Previous Game: 63-7 win over Georgia State
Next Game: vs. No. 2 Auburn
I hope Alabama got all that scoring out of their system on Saturday. They will not be putting up 63 points on Auburn no matter what scandal that school may have going on.
Alabama has had quite the season. It all comes to a screeching halt against No. 2 Auburn this week.
Predicted Ranking: 16
10. Michigan State
16 of 25
Last Week: 12
This Week: 10
Previous Game: 35-31 win over Purdue
Next Game: @ Penn State
I welcome the Spartans back to the top ten with open arms. Had they side stepped their one loss to Iowa, we would be talking about them in the national title scenario.
As it is, they will stay in the top ten for the foreseeable future with an easy win at Penn State.
Predicted Ranking: 10
9. Oklahoma State
17 of 25
Last Week: 10
This Week: 9
Previous Game: 48-14 win at Kansas
Next Game: vs. #13 Oklahoma
The season comes down to this, a rivalry game to end all rivalry games. The Cowboys come in a much hotter team that flourishes at home.
It will be a fun watch, but in the end the Cowboys will get the best of the Sooners and force themselves higher in the BCS standings.
Predicted Ranking: 9
8. Ohio State
18 of 25
Last Week: 9
This Week: 8
Previous Game: 20-17 win over #20 Iowa
Next Game: vs. Michigan
I wish I could say that Michigan will give OSU fits, but they won't. The Wolverines are too shaky of a team to be a formidable opponent for the seasoned Buckeyes.
Predicted Ranking: 8
7. Wisconsin
19 of 25
Last Week: 7
This Week: 7
Previous Game: 48-28 win at Michigan
Next Game: vs. Northwestern
The Badgers are a powerful team. They play extremely tough defense and ram the ball down your throats on offense.
They will finish the season with a commanding win against Northwestern. Unfortunately, it will not be enough to crack the top five. They will stand pat.
Predicted Ranking: 7
6. Stanford
20 of 25
Last Week: 6
This Week: 6
Previous Game: 48-14 win at Cal
Next Game: vs. Oregon State
The Pac-10 touts tough opponents at every turn. Oregon State is no different.
But the Cardinal showed that they are up to any task last week as they destroyed Cal at the Big Game. Stanford gets the win but stays put in the locked in top ten.
Predicted Ranking: 6
5. LSU
21 of 25
Last Week: 5
This Week: 5
Previous Game: 43-36 win over Ole Miss
Next Game: @ #12 Arkansas
The top ten could be spurred by two potential upsets this week. LSU at Arkansas is one of them.
I just think the LSU defense is much to consistent to be thwarted this late in the season.
Predicted Ranking: 5
4. Boise State
22 of 25
Last Week: 4
This Week: 4
Previous Game: 51-0 win over Fresno State
Next Game: @ #19 Nevada
Boise State will show once and for all that they have a tougher schedule than TCU and are a better team. The Broncos will get rid of Nevada and in so doing will take control of the coveted three spot.
Predicted Ranking: 3
3. TCU
23 of 25
Last Week: 3
This Week: 3
Previous Game: 40-35 win over San Diego State
Next Game: @ New Mexico
It is fitting that two teams that have soft schedules struggled against the same team recently. Both Utah and TCU were taken to the limit by the Aztecs.
TCU will have no such trouble against New Mexico, but their soft schedule will catch up with them as Boise State over takes their position.
Predicted Ranking: 4
2. Auburn
24 of 25
Last Week: 2
This Week: 2
Previous Game: 49-31 win over Georgia
Next Game: @ #11 Alabama
If Auburn is to crumble, now would be the time. Amidst scandal and a tough opponent, the program could falter and lose all that they worked for.
I, however, think the team will come together this weekend. I think Cam Newton will again prove his worth by having a Heisman candidate type of game. The prestige of Alabama will push Auburn into the No. 1 spot next week.
Predicted Ranking: 1
1. Oregon
25 of 25
Last Week: 1
This Week: 1
Previous Game: 15-13 win at Cal
Next Game: vs. #21 Arizona
Oregon will get their win at home against the tough Arizona Wildcats. In the end, the Alabama game has too much pull for the computers to ignore.
Auburn should hop Oregon this week. It won't matter as both these teams are set for a match in January.
Predicted Ranking: 2
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