Fantasy Football Week 10 Sit 'em Start 'em: Peyton Hillis Tips and More Advice
It seems hard to believe that NFL Week 10 action is just two days away, but the 2010 NFL season is already past the halfway point, and if your fantasy football team isn't already in the playoffs, you're doing everything you can to stay in the hunt.
That's where I come in.
I'll give you some of my sit 'em and start 'em tips to help you win your fantasy match-up this week, as we hit the home stretch of the season.
There's a lot to go over, so let's get right to it.
Mike Sims-Walker: Start 'em
1 of 14
The Jacksonville Jaguars' pass "attack" has more closely resembled a small, furry kitten than a jaguars ferocious bite and claws would suggest. Still, it would be frugal to start Sims-Walker if you own him in your league this week.
And why, you might ask? Well, let's just say if the Jaguars' pass attack had a baby, it might look something like the Texans' pass defense. They rank dead last in overall pass defense this season.
And let's just say that Kareem Jackson has looked like he's been drinking a little too much catnip when he steps on the field to cover opposing no. 1 receivers, giving up an average of 63.6 yards per game according to Football Outsiders.
Prediction: 90 yards, touchdown
Dwayne Bowe: Sit 'em
2 of 14
Through the first eight weeks, Bowe has been a solid option for his owners. One would think that might continue against the 23rd-overall defense in the league in Denver. The numbers, however, indicate something different.
The Broncos are first in the league in pass attempts against them with just 221 on the season. Yep, opposing offenses have simply handed the ball to their running backs and gashed them for 4.6 yards per attempt, 14 rushing touchdowns, and 1,237 yards, all of which rank in the bottom five in the league.
It's fairly safe to assume that the league's no. 1 rush offense will do the same.
Furthermore, the Broncos' pass defense gives up just 50 yards per game to opposing no. 1 receivers.
Prediction: 4 catches, 56 yards
Randy Moss: Start 'em
3 of 14
Randy Moss is the perpetual story of the season that just won't go away. The Titans are the most recent team to roll the dice on Moss, and their offense figures to be all the better for it.
He may not have a whole lot of time to get comfortable with the offense, but Moss will do what he's always done: stretch the field. He's at his best when he runs a deep route, and Vince Young is at his best when he throws a deep ball.
Although he had a bad game against the Dolphins as a Patriot (one target, no catches) his first game with the Vikings was one of his best of the season to that point.
Prediction: 3 catches, 69 yards, touchdown
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Terrell Owens: Sit 'em
4 of 14
Everyone talked about Owens' career being over this offseason, saying that his age and his dip in statistics was more than evidence enough that he was done, but he has met or exceeded his totals from last year in just eight games of action this season.
Still, I wouldn't put my eggs in Owens' basket. The Bengals offense has just been too inconsistent, and even after exploding on the Steelers' defense for 141 yards and two touchdowns, he goes up against a Colts defense that stifles opposing no. 1 receivers to the tune of just 50 yards a game. They also rank in the top 10 against the pass in yards (1,630) and touchdowns (9) on the season.
With dome field advantage on the Colts' side, I don't foresee a big game for Owens this week.
Prediction: 67 yards
Hakeem Nicks: Start 'em
5 of 14
Until further notice, start any no. 1 receiver that faces Mike Jenkins. That further notice will come when Jenkins begins to put in further effort.
The firing of Wade Phillips has been the subject of much attention, but many analysts (including myself) believe that changing the culture of the Cowboys starts with releasing Jenkins, who has quite literally given up on his team and the season, most notably on a touchdown reception last week by Greg Jennings in which he allowed Jennings to walk into the end zone even though he was in position to make a play.
Needless to say, if Jenkins falls asleep at the wheel this week, Hakeem Nicks will take his breakout season one step further.
Prediction: 100 yards, two touchdowns
Brett Favre: Sit 'em
6 of 14
Favre looked like a 1996 version of his former self last week against the Cardinals, when he passed for a career-high 446 yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions in a signature come-from-behind win. But the magic carpet ride that was supposed to be Favre's final season has been grounded by interceptions, injuries, and controversial receivers and text messages.
Needless to say, I think the league-leader in interceptions will fall back to Earth against a Bears defense that has done its share of quarterback-stifling this year, allowing just five aerial touchdowns and nabbing 11 interceptions.
Prediction: 220 yards, touchdown, three interceptions
Shaun Hill: Start 'em
7 of 14
Lions fans might look at this match-up at first glance and tuck your tail in fear of the Bills' sixth-ranked pass defense. That yardage total is a mirage that could only be seen in the harshest of deserts, but we find ourselves in Buffalo observing a defense that has the second-least attempts through the air against them, and has allowed the third-most passing touchdowns.
In the four complete games Hill has played, he passed for 1,130 yards, eight touchdowns, and six interceptions. It should help more than a little to have Calvin Johnson on his side.
I'm expecting a huge game from Shaun Hill while filling in for the oft-injured Matthew Stafford.
Prediction: 250 yards, three touchdowns, two interceptions
Mark Sanchez: Sit 'em
8 of 14
Dennis Green would be shaking his head mightily at this statement, but neither the Browns defense nor Mark Sanchez are who we thought they were.
Many thought at the beginning of the season that Sanchez was coming into his own as an elite quarterback, and living up to his nickname of "Sanchize," but this article from ESPN AFC East blogger Tim Graham tells a different story. In fact, his numbers are strikingly similar to last year.
The Jets travel to face an invigorated Browns defense that, despite their ranking of 25th against the pass, has played much tougher than that standing over the past few weeks especially. Drew Brees and Tom Brady were able to get some good yardage, but that's about where the fun stopped, as each was forced into one of their worst games of the season.
I don't expect things to be much different for "Sanchize" this week. In fact, the picks could start to catch up with him.
Prediction: 180 yards, touchdown, two interceptions
David Garrard: Start 'em
9 of 14
Garrard has made mincemeat of better defenses than Houston's. Of course, Houston's defense ranks worst in the league, so that's not saying much for those performances. But it says a heck of a lot about what I think he'll do this week against the Texans.
The Texans rank worst in the league in pass defense by yards (2,386 yards) and touchdowns (20), but Garrard blew the doors off Buffalo's sixth-ranked pass defense and Denver's eighth-ranked pass defense.
I already forecast Mike Sims-Walker to have a big game, and David Garrard will help get him there and then some.
Prediction: 230 yards, three touchdowns
Chad Pennington: Sit 'em
10 of 14
Welcome back to the starting quarterback position, Chad Pennington. Here's your prize: a defense that's forced 13 interceptions (second in the league) while only allowing nine touchdowns (seventh) and sacking the opponent 26 times (fourth).
At that point, what does it matter that they've given up 1,913 yards (23rd)?
He has all the experience in the world, but hasn't started a game in over a full calendar year. That type of rust doesn't bode well for his big return.
Prediction: 190 yards, touchdown, two interceptions
Peyton Hillis: Start 'em
11 of 14
This one could be a tough sell, but here's a fresh perspective for you: Hillis has done damage to some of the best defenses in the league this year. The Patriots boasted the 11th-ranked run defense in the league headed into last week's match-up with the Browns, but left Cleveland with the 21st ranking in that category. He also went off on the Ravens in Week Three.
Could he do the same to the Jets defense? I like his chances, though he could be considered a high-risk high-reward option. The Browns offense plays the same smash-mouth style that the Jets defense plays, and the Browns seem intent on running the ball down the throat of opposing defenses.
Prediction: 120 yards, touchdown
Steven Jackson: Sit 'em
12 of 14
Jackson had a string of solid performances against the likes of Detroit, San Diego, and Tampa Bay before being stifled by the Carolina Panthers. He has experienced the same issues as last year in his ability to get the yards without the touchdowns, having only hit paydirt twice this season.
That problem doesn't look like it's going away this week against a 49ers defense that has only given up four rushing touchdowns this season on the whole.
This has been a painful season for Jackson owners, and it doesn't look to get any better this week.
Prediction: 82 yards
Cedric Benson: Start 'em
13 of 14
The Bengals continue to run the football, as evidenced by Benson having over half as many attempts through the first half of the season as he had all of last season, they just need to do it more effectively. Step in, Indianapolis and the 29th-ranked run defense which gives up 5.1 yards per carry to opposing backs. That's the absolute worst per-carry average in the league for a defense.
Benson looks primed to get back on track against the Colts, as the Bengals will likely return to a run-based mentality in Lucas Oil Stadium to try and take the energy out of the crowd.
Prediction: 120 yards, touchdown
BenJarvus Green-Ellis: Sit 'em
14 of 14
Many thought BenJarvus Green-Ellis was on his way to becoming a solid running back for the Patriots after two solid performances against the Bills and Dolphins. Although he has scored a touchdown in each of the past five games, he hasn't been much more than a flex option in most leagues.
I wouldn't expect him to even live up to that standard this Sunday against a violent Steelers front seven that looks to dominate the Patriots rush attack all day. In fact, they're the top-ranked rush defense in the league with just 2.6 yards per attempt against their name.
The Patriots won't be running the ball more than just enough to set up play action, and even on those runs, I don't expect Green-Ellis to be tremendously successful.
Prediction: 37 yards
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