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Penn State, Iowa and Michigan—Ohio State's Three-Game Season to the BCS

Grant FrekingNov 3, 2010

Aside from the numerous Big Ten tiebreaker scenarios and poll watching, Ohio Stateโ€™s goal for the last three games of the season is simple: win out. While beating Penn State and Michigan at home shouldnโ€™t be a problem, taking out Iowa in Kinnick Stadium will surely be no walk in the park.

A closer look at OSU's last three regular season opponents:

Penn State:

The Good: After getting pounded by Iowa and Illinois, Penn State has rebounded nicely in the last two weeks with wins against Minnesota and Michigan. After missing last weeksโ€™ game, quarterback Rob Bolden should be good to go against Northwestern. Evan Royster broke the school rushing record last week.

The Bad: Penn State finishes up against Northwestern, at OSU, Indiana and Michigan State. Itโ€™s very likely they could finish 7-5. The defense is also allowing 20 points a game.

The OSU Result: Penn State would stand a chance if this game was in Happy Valley. Then again, the Buckeyes dismantled the Nittany Lions last season in front of a whiteout, Darryl Clark and a veteran defense. 34-10 Ohio State.

Iowa:

The Good: The Hawkeyes are the best two-loss team in the country. If they didnโ€™t lay an egg in the first half at Arizona and fall for a fake punt at home against Wisconsin, theyโ€™d be undefeated. Nevertheless, theyโ€™ve put themselves in this position, which isnโ€™t exactly bad and could still end in a share of the Big Ten title. Even with 19 touchdowns, two interceptions and nearly 2,000 yards to his credit, Ricky Stanzi still isnโ€™t in the Heisman discussion. (Kidding, everyone knows itโ€™s a toss-up between Auburnโ€™s Cam Newton and Oregonโ€™s LaMichael James at the moment).

The Bad: Nothing really. They finish at Northwestern, home against OSU and at Minnesota. Another loss probably drops them out of the BCS although they could still land in a New Yearโ€™s Day bowl.

The OSU Result: Everything points to a loss at Iowa for OSU. Theyโ€™re banged-up on defense gives Iowaโ€™s balanced offense an edge (think Wisconsin with a more talented quarterback). OSUโ€™s special teams are still very iffy. But I think this OSU team knows their destiny. They donโ€™t want to be the ones to end the streak of Big Ten titles. 24-21 Ohio State.

Michigan:

The Good: Denard Robinson. So what if he wonโ€™t win the Heisman? The sophomore from Deerfield Beach, FL still has a ridiculous statistics: ย 1,509 passing yards with 10 passing touchdowns and 1,287 rushing yards coupled with 12 rushing touchdowns.

The Bad: Michigan has once again floundered after a hot start (5-0, 4-0 in 2009). The problem lies in their defense. They simply canโ€™t stop enough. They arenโ€™t physical enough or fast enough to control anyoneโ€™s offense (giving up 41 points to Penn State and their backup quarterback is a major red flag). While they stand a good chance of beating Illinois and Purdue, the Wolverines will surely fall to Wisconsin and OSU to close out their regular season at a probable 7-5.

The OSU Result: The Wolverines may put some numbers and even a few points against OSU, but the โ€œSilver Bulletsโ€ will hit Robinson like he hasnโ€™t been yet this season. Plus, Michigan wonโ€™t be able to contain Terrelle Pryor. 48-17 OSU.