Noisy in Boise: Broncos Hanging Tough in Power Rankings

WhatIfSports.com utilizes its NCAA football simulation to present the most comprehensive and unbiased ranking of all 120 FBS teams. We simulated thousands of games and used those winning percentages to evaluate every team.

All 120 teams are ranked below with their average points for and against from the simulated games. Simulations are based on updated rosters and depth charts so significant week-to-week changes may occur once the regular season kicks off.

Teams Ranked by Winning Percentage
(everyone plays everyone 100 times)

	Team	Change	Win Pct	PS/G	PA/G
1.	Alabama Crimson Tide	-	92.8	40.1	11.6
2.	Ohio State Buckeyes	-	92.8	39.7	13.2
3.	Texas Longhorns	+1	90.1	35.2	12.3
4.	TCU Horned Frogs	+1	88.8	41.9	19.0
5.	Florida Gators	+2	88.0	39.7	17.7
6.	Boise State Broncos	+2	86.7	45.2	23.5
7.	Oregon Ducks	-4	86.5	38.3	16.8
8.	Iowa Hawkeyes	+4	83.4	31.8	15.0
9.	Auburn Tigers	+5	83.4	39.5	20.8
10.	Arizona Wildcats	+9	82.9	36.5	18.5
11.	Arkansas Razorbacks	+5	82.7	43.6	27.5
12.	Stanford Cardinal	+14	81.4	42.0	24.8
13.	Clemson Tigers	+4	80.5	32.8	17.1
14.	Virginia Tech Hokies	-8	80.3	37.0	21.6
15.	Penn State Nittany Lions	-4	79.5	33.7	17.9
16.	Pittsburgh Panthers	-3	78.3	36.3	21.2
17.	Oklahoma Sooners	+1	78.3	37.6	22.7
18.	Wisconsin Badgers	+3	78.2	38.2	22.9
19.	Miami (FL) Hurricanes	-9	78.2	36.1	21.8
20.	Oregon State Beavers	+5	77.7	35.0	21.7
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PS/G	PA/G
21.	Nebraska Cornhuskers	+6	76.1	30.9	16.7
22.	Utah Utes	+2	76.1	35.2	21.3
23.	LSU Tigers	-1	75.6	31.0	17.5
24.	West Virginia Mountaineers	-4	75.5	34.2	20.6
25.	Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets	-16	75.3	35.8	23.2
26.	California Golden Bears	+3	75.2	36.8	23.8
27.	Florida State Seminoles	-12	74.5	39.0	26.2
28.	South Carolina Gamecocks	-5	73.8	32.3	19.9
29.	Georgia Bulldogs	+1	71.7	33.8	22.5
30.	Texas Tech Red Raiders	+1	69.7	34.2	24.1
31.	USC Trojans	+2	68.5	34.4	24.3
32.	Connecticut Huskies	-	68.3	33.6	23.9
33.	Michigan State Spartans	+7	67.8	36.9	28.6
34.	Texas A&M Aggies	+1	67.2	34.3	26.1
35.	Cincinnati Bearcats	-7	66.7	33.5	25.1
36.	Temple Owls	+3	65.8	31.2	22.8
37.	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	-1	65.1	32.5	25.9
38.	North Carolina Tar Heels	-	64.3	26.5	19.1
39.	UCLA Bruins	+4	64.1	30.2	22.1
40.	Missouri Tigers	+1	64.1	32.6	25.9
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PS/G	PA/G
41.	Fresno State Bulldogs	-4	62.7	33.3	26.4
42.	Syracuse Orange	+6	62.1	30.5	24.4
43.	Northwestern Wildcats	+6	61.7	28.7	23.9
44.	Nevada Wolf Pack	-	61.7	37.4	31.3
45.	Air Force Falcons	+2	60.9	29.1	23.0
46.	Mississippi Rebels	-1	59.7	29.8	25.2
47.	North Carolina State Wolfpack	+13	59.6	33.0	28.5
48.	Oklahoma State Cowboys	+4	58.3	29.7	25.2
49.	Mississippi State Bulldogs	+17	56.9	30.7	26.8
50.	Southern Miss Golden Eagles	+5	56.2	33.6	30.8
51.	Arizona State Sun Devils	+29	54.7	26.3	23.0
52.	Idaho Vandals	-10	54.0	34.4	32.2
53.	Michigan Wolverines	+10	52.7	31.5	30.1
54.	South Florida Bulls	-8	52.2	28.5	27.1
55.	Houston Cougars	-21	52.1	33.9	32.0
56.	Tennessee Volunteers	-5	51.5	25.5	24.2
57.	Boston College Eagles	-3	51.4	23.4	22.4
58.	Hawaii Warriors	+3	50.5	31.7	30.8
59.	Kentucky Wildcats	+11	49.5	25.2	25.2
60.	Southern Methodist Mustangs	-2	49.4	29.3	29.2
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PS/G	PA/G
61.	Colorado Buffaloes	+3	48.9	26.3	26.6
62.	Troy Trojans	-3	48.4	30.5	30.4
63.	Brigham Young Cougars	-13	48.3	26.1	25.7
64.	Kansas State Wildcats	+11	48.1	25.7	26.2
65.	Ohio Bobcats	-9	46.8	23.0	24.6
66.	Rutgers Scarlet Knights	-9	46.8	23.5	24.9
67.	Purdue Boilermakers	-14	46.6	24.8	25.6
68.	Virginia Cavaliers	-6	46.2	22.9	24.6
69.	Louisville Cardinals	-1	45.0	24.7	26.5
70.	Northern Illinois Huskies	-3	44.4	25.6	27.6
71.	Baylor Bears	+3	43.8	26.0	28.7
72.	Central Michigan Chippewas	+4	43.5	23.0	26.2
73.	Illinois Fighting Illini	-	43.3	24.5	27.7
74.	UCF Knights	-2	43.1	24.7	27.6
75.	Duke Blue Devils	-6	43.1	25.0	28.3
76.	Navy Midshipmen	+6	42.2	24.6	27.7
77.	Louisiana Tech Bulldogs	-	41.5	24.2	28.7
78.	Utah State Aggies	+1	41.4	26.3	29.9
79.	Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders	-1	40.7	24.3	28.3
80.	Maryland Terrapins	+1	39.7	25.1	29.4
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PS/G	PA/G
81.	Marshall Thundering Herd	-10	39.6	22.8	27.7
82.	Washington Huskies	+1	38.9	25.6	31.0
83.	San Diego State Aztecs	+11	38.6	22.9	28.4
84.	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	+1	38.1	22.1	28.5
85.	Wyoming Cowboys	-1	35.8	21.6	28.7
86.	Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks	-21	34.9	22.6	29.7
87.	Iowa State Cyclones	+1	33.1	22.3	30.7
88.	Indiana Hoosiers	+2	33.0	22.8	31.4
89.	East Carolina Pirates	-2	32.1	22.4	30.8
90.	Arkansas State Red Wolves	+12	31.5	23.0	32.4
91.	Florida Atlantic Owls	-5	31.1	26.2	36.2
92.	Buffalo Bulls	-3	30.8	20.0	29.0
93.	Kansas Jayhawks	-1	30.8	23.2	32.7
94.	Toledo Rockets	-1	30.1	23.6	33.0
95.	Army Black Knights	+2	29.5	18.6	28.6
96.	Kent State Golden Flashes	-1	27.0	17.3	28.9
97.	UAB Blazers	-1	26.7	24.7	36.1
98.	Minnesota Golden Gophers	-7	25.8	18.4	30.7
99.	UTEP Miners	-	24.2	21.4	34.8
100.	Vanderbilt Commodores	-2	22.7	16.3	29.9
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PS/G	PA/G
101.	Colorado State Rams	+4	21.7	17.4	32.1
102.	UNLV Rebels	-2	20.6	19.2	34.7
103.	Tulane Green Wave	-2	20.3	19.5	35.4
104.	North Texas Mean Green	+4	19.5	18.0	35.1
105.	Bowling Green Falcons	-2	18.4	15.5	32.5
106.	San Jose State Spartans	+5	18.4	16.2	33.5
107.	Akron Zips	-	18.0	16.2	33.6
108.	Rice Owls	-2	17.6	18.4	36.0
109.	Washington State Cougars	+1	16.0	15.8	34.3
110.	Tulsa Golden Hurricane	-6	16.0	19.7	38.1
111.	Western Michigan Broncos	-2	15.2	15.5	35.1
112.	Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns	+1	13.2	13.9	34.6
113.	New Mexico Lobos	-1	11.2	13.4	35.3
114.	Ball State Cardinals	-	10.9	13.0	35.2
115.	Memphis Tigers	-	9.5	14.6	38.9
116.	Florida International Golden Panthers	+1	7.8	12.5	37.8
117.	Miami (OH) RedHawks	+2	7.4	10.6	37.5
118.	Eastern Michigan Eagles	-2	6.4	11.0	40.1
119.	Western Kentucky Hilltoppers	-1	5.9	11.2	41.1
120.	New Mexico State Aggies	-	5.5	9.2	40.4