Spread Betting College Football: Michigan-Notre Dame, FSU-Oklahoma Among Them

As Jim “the Anvil” Neidhart and the Reggie Bush grab sports headlines, it's time to discuss this week's point-spread trends.

Now that we’re nice and warmed up, let’s win some money. Here are some trends to watch for in some of the marquee games this Saturday—starting with the early-day matchups.

 

SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 11

South Florida (1-0) vs (3) Florida (1-0)

The South Florida Bulls tend to perform well against the spread when they’re playing with confidence.

They’re 4-0 ATS in their last four after allowing fewer than 170 passing yards the previous game, 4-1 ATS in their last five after allowing fewer than 20 points the previous game, and 5-2 ATS over their last seven following an ATS win.

Meanwhile, though Florida is 8-2 ATS over its last 10 following an ATS loss, it’s 1-4 ATS over its last five following a straight-up win over more than 20 points.

 

Michigan (1-0) vs Notre Dame (1-0)

Sports betting players have a tough choice in this rivalry game because the Wolverines and Fighting Irish both show some alarming trends against the spread.

Michigan is just 2-7 ATS over its last nine following a straight-up win and 1-4 ATS over its last five road games.

But Notre Dame is 8-20 ATS over its last 28 home games and just 1-7 ATS over its last eight following a straight-up win.

The safest bet is the OVER: it’s 7-3 over the last 10 meetings and 5-0 over the last five meetings at Notre Dame.

 

(20) Florida State vs (8) Oklahoma

Florida State is one of many powerhouse schools that too often rest on their laurels after big wins. It’s just 7-21-1 in its last 29 after winning by 20 or more points the previous game.

Though Oklahoma is 2-5 ATS in its last seven overall, it’s 11-3-1 ATS in its last 15 September games and 6-1 ATS after allowing more than 280 passing yards the previous week.

 

Colorado vs California

Teams seem to underestimate Colorado far too often; the Buffaloes are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games versus teams with winning records.

But California will work hard to put a hurt on Colorado; it’s 12-5 ATS over its last 17 home games. Bears’ games trend toward the OVER; it’s 11-3-1 over their last 15 non-conference affairs.

 

(12) Miami vs (2) Ohio State

This is an exciting matchup—but perhaps an easy one to predict at the sportsbook.

Ohio State isn’t just a school many bettors think will win it all this year; it’s a juggernaut against the spread. The Buckeyes are 40-18 over their last 58 games ATS and 8-1 ATS in their last nine against teams with winning records.

Miami looks like a risky play; it’s 11-27 ATS over its last 38 games following an ATS win.