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Why Ivan Rodriguez's Double Plays Grounded Into Don't Matter

Asher ChanceyMay 21, 2010

Ivan Rodriguez, in what can only be described as a renaissance season, currently leads the National League in Double Plays Grounded Into.

But does that really matter?

The Double Plays Grounded Into statistic has been kept in the National League since 1933, and in the American League since 1939.

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Obviously, double plays can hurt a team, because it involves going from at least one runner on base, with less than two outs to eliminating, the runner. They often end the inning. Double Plays are almost always rally killers.

While a double play is always bad, and any player who hits into one should hang his head on the way back to the dugout, I am still skeptical.

Does tallying the number of double plays a player hits into necessarily tells us something about that player?

Or, does it tell us something about his team?

It seems easier for teams to avoid hitting into double plays by stealing bases. Starting the runners with a hitter’s count, executing hit-and-runs, bunting guys over, or even balancing the lineup so that a lefty comes up behind a guy who gets on base frequently could impact the statistics.

The 1983 Red Sox provided the best example of double plays being attributed to a team, not a player.

On Sept. 28 of that year, Tony Armas grounded into his 31st double play of the season, which at the time was tied with Bobby Doerr for the second worst total ever. Jackie Jenson hit into 32 in 1954.

Four days later, on Oct. 2, Jim Rice matched Armas’ feat by grounding into his 31st double play.

So, who should be blamed for Armas and Rice's astronomical double play numbers, in the same season no less. The players, or the team?

After all, double plays are a team effort, right?

A little investigation sheds more light on the issue. The '83 Red Sox featured a 43-year-old Carl Yastrzemski, who could barely run, a 31-year-old Dwight Evans, who was hardly fleet-footed, Rice, never accused of being fast, and a 25-year-old Wade Boggs, who posted a .444 on-base percentage, comprised largely of walks and singles.

This Red Sox team was probably one of the most double-play-prone teams of all time. Of course, Armas and Rice hit into tons of them.

To be sure, let’s not give too much credit to either player—particularly Armas, who hit 36 home runs, but had a .707 OPS and a .254 on-base percentage.

At the same time, doesn’t this lineup explain more about why Rice and Armas were two of the worst double play batters of all time?

 Jim Rice’s career provides further information.

Prior to Boggs's arrival in 1982, Rice’s career high for double plays was 21. He hit into 20 or more only once.

But, Boggs' combination of high on-base percentage and no power made him the perfect lead-off guy in Boston, despite his lack of speed.

Suddenly, Rice had four of the worst double play seasons of all time, hitting into 29 in 1982, 31 in 1983, breaking the record with 36 in 1984, and narrowly missing the record again with 35 in 1985, despite missing 22 games.

The Red Sox were penciling a slow singles hitter in the lead-off position in the 1980s. That move was reflected in Jim Rice’s double play totals.

It is not like Jim Rice and Wade Boggs are the only example of a guy suffering a high double play number because of the player hitting in front of him.

We noted above that, after 1983, Armas and Rice were two of the four worst double play batters of all time, along with Bobby Doerr and Jackie Jenson.

Guess what those two guys had in common?

In 1949, Bobby Doerr set the then-major league record by grounding into 31 double plays while playing for the Boston Red Sox. In 1954, Jackie Jensen broke Doerr's record by grounding into 32 double plays, also while playing for the Boston Red Sox.

Each of those players set the record for double plays grounded into while hitting behind Ted Williams, perhaps the best combination of on-base percentage and slow base-running.

Should Doerr's and Jensen performances be considered a reflection upon them, or a reflection upon Ted Williams?

Williams and Boggs aren’t the only guys who indirectly created high double play totals for their teammates.

In fact, of the 59 different seasons in which a player has hit into 27 or more doubles, the vast majority of them came on teams that featured players with tremendously high on-base percentages.

Just take a look at the names of the guys who were teammates of the "27 or more double plays club." Most of these guys are on the Who's Who of great on-base machines:

Player GIDP Year Team Teammate High OBP
Jim Rice 36 1984Boston Red SoxWade Boggs .407
Jim Rice 35 1985Boston Red SoxWade Boggs .450
Ben Grieve 32 2000Oakland AthleticsJason Giambi .476
Jackie Jensen 32 1954Boston Red SoxTed Williams .513
Cal Ripken 32 1985Baltimore OriolesEddie Murray .383
Miguel Tejada 32 2008Houston AstrosLance Berkman .420
Tony Armas 31 1983Boston Red SoxWade Boggs .444
Bobby Doerr 31 1949Boston Red SoxTed Williams .490
  Johnny Pesky .408
  Dom DiMaggio .404
  Vern Stephens .391
Jim Rice 31 1983Boston Red SoxWade Boggs .444
Ivan Rodriguez 31 1999Texas RangersRafael Palmeiro .420
  Rusty Greer .405
Brad Ausmus 30 2002Houston AstrosLance Berkman .405
  Jeff Bagwell .401
Billy Hitchcock 30 1950Philadelphia AthleticsFerris Fain .430
  Elmer Valo .400
Ernie Lombardi 30 1938Cincinnati RedsIval Goodman .368
Dave Winfield 30 1983New York YankeesButch Wynegar .399
Carl Yastrzemski 30 1964Boston Red SoxEddie Broussard .372
George Bell 29 1992Chicago White SoxFrank Thomas .439
Jimmy Bloodworth 29 1943Detroit TigersDick Wakefield .377
Frank Howard 29 1969Washington SenatorsMike Epstein .414
Frank Howard 29 1971Washington SenatorsDon Mincher .389
Dave Philley 29 1952Philadelphia AthleticsElmer Valo .432
  Ferris Fain .438
Jim Presley 29 1985Seattle MarinersAlvin Davis .381
Jim Rice 29 1982Boston Red SoxWade Boggs .406
  Dwight Evans .402
Brooks Robinson 29 1960Baltimore OriolesJim Gentile .403
  Gene Woodling .401
Ted Simmons 29 1973St. Louis CardinalsBernie Carbo .397
  Joe Torre .377
Julio Franco 28 1986Cleveland IndiansPat Tabler .368
Sid Gordon 28 1951Boston BravesEarl Torgeson .375
George Kell 28 1944Philadelphia AthleticsDick Siebert .387
Harmon Killebrew 28 1970Minnesota TwinsTony Oliva .364
Paul Konerko 28 2003Chicago White SoxFrank Thomas .390
  Magglio Ordonez .380
  Carl Everett .377
Magglio Ordonez 28 2000Chicago White SoxFrank Thomas .436
Cal Ripken 28 1996Baltimore OriolesRoberto Alomar .411
  Rafael Palmeiro .381
  Brady Anderson .396
Miguel Tejada 28 2006Baltimore OriolesKevin Millar .374
John Bateman 27 1971Montreal ExposRon Hunt .402
  Rusty Staub .392
Bruce Bochte 27 1979Seattle MarinersJulio Cruz .363
Sean Casey 27 2005Cincinnati RedsAdam Dunn .387
Julio Franco 27 1989Texas RangersRafael Palmeiro .354
Carl Furillo 27 1956Brooklyn DodgersJim Gilliam .399
  Duke Snider .399
Vladimir Guerrero 27 2008Los Angeles AngelsChone Figgins .367
Billy Johnson 27 1943New York YankeesCharlie Keller .396
  Bill Dickey .445
Eric Karros 27 1996Los Angeles DodgersMike Piazza .422
Jason Kendall 27 2005Oakland AthleticsMark Ellis .384
Carlos Lee 27 2007Houston AstrosLance Berkman .386
Derrek Lee 27 2008Chicago CubsMike Fontenot .395
  Ryan Theriot .387
  Aramis Ramirez .380
Sherm Lollar 27 1959Chicago White SoxNellie Fox .380
Victor Martinez 27 2006Cleveland IndiansTravis Hafner .439
Magglio Ordonez 27 2008Detroit TigersCarlos Guillen .376
Jay Payton 27 2003Colorado RockiesTodd Helton .458
  Larry Walker .422
Mike Piazza 27 1999New York MetsJohn Olerud .427
  Rickey Henderson .423
  Roger Cedeno .396
A.J. Pierzynski 27 2004San Francisco GiantsA.J. Pierzynski .609
  J.T. Snow .429
  Dustan Mohr .394
Kirby Puckett 27 1991Minnesota TwinsChili Davis .385
  Kent Hrbek .373
Albert Pujols 27 2007St. Louis CardinalsDavid Eckstein .356
Al Rosen 27 1950Cleveland IndiansLarry Doby .442
  Ray Boone .397
  Dale Mitchell .390
  Bobby Avila .390
Ron Santo 27 1973Chicago CubsJose Cardenal .375
Ken Singleton 27 1973Montreal ExposRon Fairly .422
  Ron Hunt .418
Rusty Staub 27 1977Detroit TigersRon LeFlore .363
Joe Vosmik 27 1939Boston Red SoxJimmie Foxx .464
  Ted Williams .436
  Joe Cronin .407
Carl Yastrzemski 27 1962Boston Red SoxPete Runnels .408
Michael Young 27 2006Texas RangersMark Teixeira .371
  Gary Matthews .371
Todd Zeile 27 2002Colorado RockiesTodd Helton .429
  Larry Walker .421

There is some really fun stuff here. For example:

- Elmer Valo and Ferris Fain of the Philadelphia Athletics combined to put two different guys on the list, Billy Hitchcock with 30 in 1950 and Dave Philley with 29 in 1952.

- Larry Walker and Todd Helton also combined to put two different guys on here, Todd Zeile with 27 in 2002 and Jay Payton with 27 in 2003.

- Rafael Palmeiro was a teammate to three of these guys: Ivan Rodriguez (31) in 1999, Cal Ripken, Jr. (28) in 1996, and Julio Franco (27) in 1989.

- Frank Thomas also appears to have put three players on the list: George Bell in 1992, Magglio Ordonez in 2000, and Paul Konerko in 2002.

- Lance Berkman put Brad Ausmus (2002), Carlos Lee (2007), and Miguel Tejada (2008) on the list.

- Keep in mind, my point is that a high-OBP teammate is often to blame; sometimes, like when Vlad Guerrero played on a team whose OBP leader was Chone Figgins with a .367, the batter has only himself to blame.

- Yaz hit into 30 double plays when the team-leading OBP was Eddie Broussard with .372.

- Ernie Lombardi's 30 double plays in 1938 seem solely attributable to himself, as the team leader in OBP that year was Ival Goodman at .368.

There is, of course, a reason this is all important.

The value, or should we say damage, caused by a double play can be hugely different, depending on how we look at the double play.

If I tell you that Player A hit into 30 double plays, you might be inclined to think Player A isn't a good player. You might be right, but you might be wrong.

If I then tell you that Player B has a .400 on-base percentage, but doesn't run very fast, and hit ahead of Player A, and as a result Player A also had 130 RBI, you might say that the difference between the average number of double plays hit into and the number Player A hit into is the cost of doing business with a guy who gets on base 40 percent of the time—and I think you’d be right.

I think it might be a more telling statistic if we counted the number of times a player hit into a double play, but also the number of time a guy was the other out for another player’s double play. That way, we’d know whether a high number of double plays reflects the player or reflects the team.

Or perhaps there is a simpler explanation—the total number of double plays doesn't tell us nearly as much as the number of double plays divided by the number of double play opportunities would. If Jim Rice hit into 31 double plays but came to bat with a runner on first base 300 times in a season, I think we wouldn't condemn him as much as a guy who hit into 25 double plays while batting third behind Juan Pierre and Neifi Perez.

Perhaps we're looking at double plays as a counting stat when we should be converting it into a rate stat. That might be a bit more illuminating.

Asher lives in Philadelphia, PA and is the co-founder of BaseballEvolution.com .

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