NFL Draft 2021: Selection Order, Odds and Latest Mocks for Prospects to Watch

Jake RillFeatured Columnist IApril 10, 2021

NFL Draft 2021: Selection Order, Odds and Latest Mocks for Prospects to Watch

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    Andy Clayton-King/Associated Press

    Time is running out for the NFL's 32 teams to prepare for the 2021 NFL draft. As soon as April 29, the Jacksonville Jaguars will be on the clock with the No. 1 overall pick.

    There may not be much suspense regarding the first two picks in the draft. The Jaguars need a franchise quarterback, and Clemson's Trevor Lawrence will be there for the taking. The New York Jets, who own the No. 2 selection, also need a quarterback after trading Sam Darnold to the Carolina Panthers. And BYU's Zach Wilson has a strong chance of getting taken at that spot.

    But history tells us the draft will have some surprises, including in the opening round. Some major trades have already shaken up the draft order, with the San Francisco 49ers moving up to the No. 3 pick. The Miami Dolphins (No. 6) and Philadelphia Eagles (No. 12) also have different first-round selections than they had at the beginning of the offseason.

    More trades will happen, surprise picks will occur and the league's franchises will try to find the right players to add to their rosters, bringing in some of the best talent that the college ranks has to offer.

    Here's a look at the first-round order for the 2021 NFL draft, followed by some noteworthy prop bets and predictions for several key storylines heading into the event.

2021 NFL Draft 1st-Round Order

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    Brett Carlsen/Associated Press

    1. Jacksonville Jaguars

    2. New York Jets

    3. San Francisco 49ers

    4. Atlanta Falcons

    5. Cincinnati Bengals

    6. Miami Dolphins

    7. Detroit Lions

    8. Carolina Panthers

    9. Denver Broncos

    10. Dallas Cowboys

    11. New York Giants

    12. Philadelphia Eagles

    13. Los Angeles Chargers

    14. Minnesota Vikings

    15. New England Patriots

    16. Arizona Cardinals

    17. Las Vegas Raiders

    18. Miami Dolphins

    19. Washington Football Team

    20. Chicago Bears

    21. Indianapolis Colts

    22. Tennessee Titans

    23. New York Jets

    24. Pittsburgh Steelers

    25. Jacksonville Jaguars

    26. Cleveland Browns

    27. Baltimore Ravens

    28. New Orleans Saints

    29. Green Bay Packers

    30. Buffalo Bills

    31. Kansas City Chiefs

    32. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Intriguing NFL Draft Prop Bets

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    Paul Vernon/Associated Press

    No. 3 Overall Pick

    Alabama QB Mac Jones: -305 (bet $305 to win $100)

    Ohio State QB Justin Fields: +250 (bet $100 to win $250)

    North Dakota State QB Trey Lance: +400

    BYU QB Zach Wilson: +1600


    Total QBs Drafted in 1st Round

    Over 5.5: +300

    Under 5.5: -400


    Team to Draft North Dakota State QB Trey Lance

    Denver Broncos: +300

    Atlanta Falcons: +400

    San Francisco 49ers: +400

    Washington Football Team: +400

    New England Patriots: +500


    Florida TE Kyle Pitts' Draft Position

    Over 5.5: +101

    Under 5.5: -125


    All odds via DraftKings Sportsbook.

49ers Likely to Take QB with No. 3 Pick?

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    Matthew Hinton/Associated Press

    Jimmy Garoppolo's days as San Francisco's starting quarterback could be numbered. The 49ers made a deal with the Dolphins to move up to the No. 3 pick, and numerous analysts believe it was to acquire a new franchise quarterback.

    "Coach Kyle Shanahan surely has his guy in mind already, and it's going to be a QB—teams don't make these types of massive early deals for non-QBs," ESPN's Todd McShay recently wrote.

    McShay projected San Francisco to take Mac Jones, noting he's "hearing a lot of noise" about the former Alabama quarterback being the 49ers' preferred choice. At that point, Clemson's Trevor Lawrence and BYU's Zach Wilson are both likely to be off the board.

    NFL Network's Peter Schrager and Daniel Jeremiah both projected Jones to go to San Francisco at No. 3 in their recent mock drafts. So if the experts end up being correct, then it appears the 49ers will choose the former Crimson Tide standout over North Dakota State's Trey Lance and Ohio State's Justin Fields.

Where Will Lance, Fields End Up?

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    Andy Clayton-King/Associated Press

    If Lawrence, Wilson and Jones are the first three players off the board in the first round, that will leave Lance and Fields as the top quarterbacks available. But it's possible neither will have to wait long to be drafted, as many mocks are projecting all five of these quarterbacks to get taken in the opening round.

    McShay has Lance going to the Denver Broncos at No. 9, which would indicate Denver isn't committed to Drew Lock at quarterback. McShay then predicts that the New England Patriots will trade up to the No. 11 selection in order to get their franchise signal-caller by drafting Fields.

    Schrager doesn't see New England waiting that long, as he has the Pats trading up to the No. 4 spot to take Fields in his mock. But he also believes that Lance will end up in Denver.

    Jeremiah's mock has things unfolding a bit differently. He believes the Atlanta Falcons will draft Matt Ryan's successor at No. 4 and has them taking Lance. Then he predicts that Fields will fall to the Detroit Lions at No. 7, noting that the former Buckeyes standout has "more potential" than Jared Goff, whom the Lions acquired in a trade with the Los Angeles Rams earlier this offseason.

    While it's unclear how things will unfold, it sure seems like Lance and Fields will both likely get picked during the first half of the opening round, as quarterbacks will be flying off the board to begin this year's draft.

Will Pitts End Up Being a Top-5 Pick?

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    Sam Craft/Associated Press

    Kyle Pitts is one of the most exciting prospects in this year's draft class. There aren't a bunch of top-tier tight ends in the NFL, but the former Florida standout has the potential to join that elite group.

    But where will Pitts be heading to begin his professional career? And how early could he get drafted?

    McShay and Jeremiah both believe that Pitts will be a top-five pick. McShay has the former Gator going to the Falcons at No. 4, giving Ryan an offensive weapon to utilize rather than being replaced. Meanwhile, Jeremiah believes Pitts will go at No. 5 to the Cincinnati Bengals, who will pass on the opportunity to strengthen their offensive line early.

    Schrager has Pitts sliding out of the top five but not too far down the order. He believes that the Arizona Cardinals will trade up to the No. 7 spot in order to acquire another playmaker for quarterback Kyler Murray to throw to for years to come.

    Wherever Pitts goes, he should be an exciting player to watch, as his skill set should translate to the NFL and could make him one of the top tight ends in the league.


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