Dallas Cowboys vs. Cleveland Browns Betting Odds, Analysis, NFL Pick

Since opening this season with a defeat, Dallas is 6-0 both straight up and against the spread on its way to the best record in the NFC. The Cowboys will shoot for seven straight when they venture into Cleveland to play the downtrodden Browns on Sunday afternoon.

Point spread: The Cowboys opened as 6.5-point favorites; the total was 46.5 early in the week, according to sportsbooks monitored by Odds Shark (line updates and matchup report).

NFL pick, via Odds Shark computer: 35.8-16.6 Cowboys (NFL picks on every game)

Why the Cowboys can cover the spread

At 6-1 SU and 6-0-1 ATS, Dallas is the hottest team in the NFL at the moment, with rookie Dak Prescott making a run at MVP. The Cowboys are also the second-best team in football this season, behind only New England, after outlasting Philadelphia in overtime last week 29-23.

As five-point favorites, Dallas trailed the Eagles early in the fourth quarter 23-13 but rallied to tie the score on a Dan Bailey field goal and a 22-yard Prescott-to-Dez Bryant touchdown hookup. The Cowboys then won it on the first possession of overtime on a short Prescott-to-Jason Witten score, much to the delight of their financial backers.

On the night, Dallas outgained Philly 460-291 and won the ground game 187-97, so it's now outgained and outrushed six of seven opponents this season. And Bryant, in his first action after missing three games with a sore knee, caught four balls for 113 yards and one score.

Why the Browns can cover the spread

Cleveland remained winless on the season last week by blowing a 20-7 halftime lead against the New York Jets and losing 31-28. So that's four times this year the Browns have led in the second half and lost.

Last week, as a two-point home dog, Cleveland led New York late into the third quarter but ultimately allowed 24 unanswered points and missed the push by a point. The Browns actually outgained the Jets 407-393, the fourth time in seven games this year they've done that.

Quarterback Josh McCown, in his first action after missing five games with a shoulder injury, directed Cleveland to a touchdown on the game's opening possession and ended up with 341 yards passing. However, he also threw a pair of second-half picks, and they hurt.

The Browns are only 2-6 ATS this season, but three of their losses could be called bad beats. They also have a 3 percent chance of going winless for the entire season, according to website PredictionMachine.com.

Smart pick

Everything points to Dallas here—the quarterbacks, the running games, the defenses, the vibes. The only way the Cowboys could screw this up is if they put Tony Romo in the game.

Betting trends

The total has gone under in the Cowboys' last three games against the Browns.

The Browns are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games as an underdog.

The Cowboys are 0-6 ATS in their last six games in Week 9.

All NFL betting lines and point spreads data courtesy of Bleacher Report’s official odds partner, Odds Shark. All quotes gathered firsthand unless otherwise noted. Check out Twitter for injury and line movement updates and Odds Shark YouTube for picks and analysis, or download the free odds tracker app.