
Fantasy Football Week 2: Updated Trade Value for Top 100 Players
Full disclosure: You probably shouldn't be making trades yet in fantasy football.
We're one week into the NFL season, for heaven's sake. It takes some time to know your team, have a better understanding of which players you can trust and get a grasp for this year's trends.
Impatience can be a fantasy owner's undoing.
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That being said, you have to always be on the lookout for ways to make your team better, and putting out feelers on the trade market is never a bad idea. You might just take advantage of a nervous fantasy owner who is willing to sell one of his studs after a rough Week 1.
With my trade chart below, you should have a better idea of how to value the players in your league. This chart is generally formatted for standard-scoring leagues, and the premise is simple: In any trade, you want to come out with equivalent or equal value. You compare the "trade value" numbers to see if you are getting good or poor value in any proposed deal (and if one side includes two players, for example, you add the values together).
Let's take a look:
| 1 | 1 | Adrian Peterson | RB | Minnesota Vikings | 11 |
| 2 | 1 | Antonio Brown | WR | Pittsburgh Steelers | 11 |
| 3 | 2 | David Johnson | RB | Arizona Cardinals | 11 |
| 4 | 3 | Todd Gurley | RB | St. Louis Rams | 11 |
| 5 | 2 | Odell Beckham Jr. | WR | New York Giants | 10 |
| 6 | 3 | Julio Jones | WR | Atlanta Falcons | 10 |
| 7 | 4 | A.J. Green | WR | Cincinnati Bengals | 10 |
| 8 | 1 | Rob Gronkowski | TE | New England Patriots | 10 |
| 9 | 4 | Ezekiel Elliott | RB | Dallas Cowboys | 9 |
| 10 | 5 | Lamar Miller | RB | Houston Texans | 9 |
| 11 | 6 | Le'Veon Bell | RB | Pittsburgh Steelers | 9 |
| 12 | 5 | DeAndre Hopkins | WR | Houston Texans | 9 |
| 13 | 6 | Allen Robinson | WR | Jacksonville Jaguars | 9 |
| 14 | 7 | Doug Martin | RB | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 8 |
| 15 | 8 | Mark Ingram | RB | New Orleans Saints | 8 |
| 16 | 9 | LeSean McCoy | RB | Buffalo Bills | 8 |
| 17 | 10 | C.J. Anderson | RB | Denver Broncos | 8 |
| 18 | 11 | Carlos Hyde | RB | San Francisco 49ers | 8 |
| 19 | 1 | Cam Newton | QB | Carolina Panthers | 8 |
| 20 | 2 | Aaron Rodgers | QB | Green Bay Packers | 8 |
| 21 | 7 | Jordy Nelson | WR | Green Bay Packers | 7 |
| 22 | 8 | Brandon Marshall | WR | New York Jets | 7 |
| 23 | 9 | Dez Bryant | WR | Dallas Cowboys | 7 |
| 24 | 2 | Jordan Reed | TE | Washington | 7 |
| 25 | 10 | Alshon Jeffery | WR | Chicago Bears | 7 |
| 26 | 11 | Mike Evans | WR | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 7 |
| 27 | 12 | Brandin Cooks | WR | New Orleans Saints | 7 |
| 28 | 13 | Kelvin Benjamin | WR | Carolina Panthers | 7 |
| 29 | 12 | Matt Forte | RB | New York Jets | 6 |
| 30 | 13 | Jamaal Charles | RB | Kansas City Chiefs | 6 |
| 31 | 14 | Eddie Lacy | RB | Green Bay Packers | 6 |
| 32 | 3 | Andrew Luck | QB | Indianapolis Colts | 6 |
| 33 | 4 | Russell Wilson | QB | Seattle Seahawks | 6 |
| 34 | 5 | Drew Brees | QB | New Orleans Saints | 5 |
| 35 | 3 | Greg Olsen | TE | Carolina Panthers | 6 |
| 36 | 15 | Devonta Freeman | RB | Atlanta Falcons | 6 |
| 37 | 16 | Jonathan Stewart | RB | Carolina Panthers | 6 |
| 38 | 17 | Latavius Murray | RB | Oakland Raiders | 6 |
| 39 | 18 | DeMarco Murray | RB | Tennessee Titans | 6 |
| 40 | 19 | Ryan Mathews | RB | Philadelphia Eagles | 6 |
| 41 | 14 | Amari Cooper | WR | Oakland Raiders | 6 |
| 42 | 15 | Demaryius Thomas | WR | Denver Broncos | 6 |
| 43 | 16 | Doug Baldwin | WR | Seattle Seahawks | 6 |
| 44 | 17 | Sammy Watkins | WR | Buffalo Bills | 6 |
| 45 | 18 | Eric Decker | WR | New York Jets | 5 |
| 46 | 19 | Julian Edelman | WR | New England Patriots | 5 |
| 47 | 20 | Jordan Matthews | WR | Philadelphia Eagles | 5 |
| 48 | 20 | Thomas Rawls | RB | Seattle Seahawks | 5 |
| 50 | 6 | Ben Roethlisberger | QB | Pittsburgh Steelers | 5 |
| 51 | 21 | T.Y. Hilton | WR | Indianapolis Colts | 5 |
| 52 | 22 | Randall Cobb | WR | Green Bay Packers | 5 |
| 53 | 23 | Jeremy Maclin | WR | Kansas City Chiefs | 5 |
| 54 | 24 | Jarvis Landry | WR | Miami Dolphins | 5 |
| 55 | 25 | DeSean Jackson | WR | Washington | 5 |
| 4 | Travis Kelce | TE | Kansas City Chiefs | 5 | |
| 56 | 21 | Jeremy Hill | RB | Cincinnati Bengals | 4 |
| 57 | 22 | Jeremy Langford | RB | Chicago Bears | 4 |
| 58 | 23 | Ameer Abdullah | RB | Detroit Lions | 4 |
| 59 | 24 | Rashad Jennings | RB | New York Giants | 4 |
| 60 | 26 | Larry Fitzgerald | WR | Arizona Cardinals | 4 |
| 61 | 27 | Allen Hurns | WR | Jacksonville Jaguars | 4 |
| 62 | 28 | Michael Crabtree | WR | Oakland Raiders | 4 |
| 63 | 29 | Josh Gordon | WR | Cleveland Browns | 4 |
| 64 | 30 | Emmanuel Sanders | WR | Denver Broncos | 4 |
| 65 | 5 | Delanie Walker | TE | Tennessee Titans | 4 |
| 66 | 6 | Julius Thomas | TE | Jackonsville Jaguars | 4 |
| 67 | 25 | Matt Jones | RB | Washington | 4 |
| 68 | 26 | Melvin Gordon | RB | San Diego Chargers | 4 |
| 69 | 27 | Danny Woodhead | RB | San Diego Chargers | 4 |
| 70 | 28 | Frank Gore | RB | Indianapolis Colts | 4 |
| 71 | 7 | Carson Palmer | QB | Arizona Cardinals | 4 |
| 72 | 8 | Tom Brady | QB | New England Patriots | 4 |
| 73 | 31 | Golden Tate | WR | Detroit Lions | 3 |
| 74 | 32 | Marvin Jones | WR | Detroit Lions | 3 |
| 75 | 33 | Donte Moncrief | WR | Indianapolis Colts | 3 |
| 76 | 34 | Tavon Austin | WR | St. Louis Rams | 3 |
| 77 | 29 | T.J. Yeldon | RB | Jacksonville Jaguars | 3 |
| 78 | 30 | LeGarrette Blount | RB | New England Patriots | 3 |
| 79 | 31 | Arian Foster | RB | Miami Dolphins | 3 |
| 80 | 7 | Dwayne Allen | TE | Indianapolis Colts | 3 |
| 81 | 8 | Eric Ebron | TE | Detroit Lions | 3 |
| 82 | 35 | Michael Floyd | WR | Arizona Cardinals | 3 |
| 83 | 36 | John Brown | WR | Arizona Cardinals | 3 |
| 84 | 37 | Sterling Shepard | WR | New York Giants | 3 |
| 85 | 38 | Torrey Smith | WR | San Francisco 49ers | 3 |
| 86 | 39 | Mike Wallace | WR | Baltimore Ravens | 3 |
| 87 | 9 | Eli Manning | QB | New York Giants | 2 |
| 88 | 10 | Derek Carr | QB | Oakland Raiders | 2 |
| 89 | 9 | Tyler Eifert | TE | Cincinnati Bengals | 2 |
| 90 | 10 | Zach Ertz | TE | Philadelphia Eagles | 2 |
| 91 | 32 | Theo Riddick | RB | Detroit Lions | 2 |
| 92 | 33 | Giovani Bernard | RB | Cincinnati Bengals | 2 |
| 93 | 34 | DeAngelo Williams | RB | Pittsburgh Steelers | 2 |
| 94 | 35 | Isaiah Crowell | RB | Cleveland Browns | 2 |
| 95 | 11 | Blake Bortles | QB | Jacksonville Jaguars | 2 |
| 96 | 40 | Stefon Diggs | WR | Minnesota Vikings | 2 |
| 97 | 36 | Tevin Coleman | RB | Atlanta Falcons | 2 |
| 98 | 37 | Christine Michael | RB | Seattle Seahawks | 2 |
| 99 | 11 | Gary Barnidge | TE | Cleveland Browns | 2 |
| 100 | 12 | Jimmy Graham | TE | Seattle Seahawks | 2 |
To give you an idea of how I formatted the list after Week 1, I essentially used my preseason rankings and then examined the first slate of games to see if they confirmed or denied any suspicions I had about players coming into the season.
For example, I wasn't high on Devonta Freeman coming into the year because I knew the Atlanta Falcons thought highly of Tevin Coleman, and I suspected they might end up in a platoon, which would dramatically alter Freeman's fantasy output.
Before Week 1, offensive coordinator Kyle Shanahan didn't exactly endorse Freeman as the starter, per Vaughn McClure of ESPN.com:
"Go with the guy who's hot; keep them both fresh. I don't worry about that stuff too much. I love both those backs. There's really no difference to me which one is in the game, so it's a good problem to have. Whoever's rolling with it, you stick with him. When they need a break, the other guy comes in. You try to keep them both fresh to see how it pans out at the end of the game.
"
Here's how it panned out in Week 1:
| Tevin Coleman | 8 | 22 | 5 | 95 | 6 | 0 | 11 |
| Devonta Freeman | 11 | 20 | 4 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
Yes, the Falcons ended up throwing the ball quite a bit. But Coleman was the bigger threat in the passing game and saw a lot of action, which suggests he's going to be a major factor in the offense. For that reason, I don't see Freeman as an RB1 this year, and he doesn't have huge trade value. I'm not saying you should ditch him for nothing, but don't expect him to have the enormous value he had a year ago.
I'm also shaky on the Seattle Seahawks' Thomas Rawls. Yes, he was on a limited snap count in Week 1, but Christine Michael was excellent in the preseason and seems primed to get a lot of looks this year.
Was Michael great Sunday? No, not exactly. He rushed 15 times for 66 yards and caught two passes for five yards, a mediocre return. Of course, on Rawls' 12 carries, he managed just 32 yards, though he did have three receptions for another 26 yards.
Here's the point: Rawls isn't Marshawn Lynch, who was the workhorse for years. Rawls was excellent last year, but that doesn't mean Michael won't eat into his carries this year. Don't overvalue Rawls.
Matt Camp of Bleacher Report broke down some of the concerning backfield platoons that fantasy owners should be wary of this season, including Atlanta and Seattle:
OK, that should give you a bit of an idea of how I'm valuing players this year. Let's break down a few potential trades.
Let's say someone in your league is panicking about Todd Gurley's lackluster 17-carry, 47-yard performance on Monday Night Football against the San Francisco 49ers. What are some trades that would be balanced for the Rams' young superstar?
- DeAndre Hopkins and Eli Manning
- Cam Newton and Tavon Austin
- Alshon Jeffery and Julius Thomas
- Andrew Luck and Demaryius Thomas
Now, let's be clear. Those deals are the absolute most you should give up for Gurley. If an owner is desperate to ditch him after Week 1, you can probably get him for much, much less.
Here's a hint, though: don't be that guy. Even if the Rams offense ran about as smoothly as a man attempting to eat soup with a fork, and even if Case Keenum at times looked like he was playing an entirely different sport, Gurley will produce. Maybe his numbers will take a slight hit, but he's talented enough to survive a poor offense.
He's that good.
Frankly, a lot of players struggled in Week 1 but will have better days ahead. Adrian Peterson. Doug Martin. Dez Bryant. Brandon Marshall. If you were looking to deal for one of the aforementioned wideouts, what would be fair value, according to the chart?
- Travis Kelce and Derek Carr
- Jeremy Hill and Dwayne Allen
- Ben Roethlisberger and Tyler Eifert (who, like Zach Ertz, is ranked lower because of injury issues)
- Carson Palmer and T.J. Yeldon
Again, you might be able to get Bryant or Marshall for even less from a nervous owner. A lot of fantasy owners have short-term memories. The present will always outweigh a body of work. While you shouldn't shake up your team just yet, don't be afraid to take advantage of an owner who hit the panic button way too early.
You can follow Timothy Rapp on Twitter.

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