Week 10 NFL Picks: Tips, Odds and Over/Under Predictions for Sunday

The Buffalo Bills and New York Jets battled Thursday night in a close, sometimes-sloppy, defensive-minded game. With the way these teams are built with the coaches on each sideline, that is what was predicted.

A lot of Week 10's games could go the same way. They won't all be low-scoring battles, but the teams built on offense should feature their offense and vice versa. While we won't always know the winners until the last few minutes, the flow of the game could be predictable.

This results in a few obvious over/under bets for you to make this weekend. Here is a look at full predictions for the NFL slate and a breakdown of the top picks for totals.

Away	Predicted Score	Home	ATS Pick	O/U
Jacksonville Jaguars	24-27	Baltimore Ravens	JAX +5.5	Over 47.5
New Orleans Saints	27-28	Washington Redskins	WAS +1	Over 50
Chicago Bears	10-21	St. Louis Rams	STL -7	Under 42.5
Miami Dolphins	20-23	Philadelphia Eagles	MIA +6.5	Under 49
Carolina Panthers	24-13	Tennessee Titans	CAR -5.5	Under 44
Detroit Lions	17-35	Green Bay Packers	GB -11.5	Over 48.5
Cleveland Browns	23-21	Pittsburgh Steelers	CLE +4.5	Over 41.5
Dallas Cowboys	14-20	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	TB -1.5	Under 43.5
Minnesota Vikings	24-30	Oakland Raiders	OAK -3	Over 44
New England Patriots	34-28	New York Giants	NYG +7.5	Over 54.5
Kansas City Chiefs	13-27	Denver Broncos	DEN -6	Under 41.5
Arizona Cardinals	20-24	Seattle Seahawks	SEA -3	Under 45
Houston Texans	17-31	Cincinnati Bengals	CIN -10.5	Over 47

Note: All spread info courtesy of Odds Shark.

Top Over/Under Picks

Jacksonville Jaguars at Baltimore Ravens (Over 47.5)

Sam Greenwood/Getty Images

There might not be a line high enough to overcome this matchup.

The Jacksonville Jaguars enter the game ranked 30th in the NFL in points allowed per game behind a pass defense that's given up some big plays this year and doesn't force many turnovers.

While the Baltimore Ravens have been slightly better overall, ranked 25th in points allowed, the pass defense has been even worse. With 284 yards allowed per game, the unit is the fourth-worst in football, and only two teams have allowed a higher opponent passer rating than Baltimore's 106.9.

Even after a bye, that pass defense is going to have its hands full with the Jaguars and their young receivers. Cornerback Jimmy Smith described the challenge, per the official Baltimore Ravens website:

"

The Allens – now that I’ve done some research on them – they seem legit. They look like pretty legit receivers. [Allen Robinson, No.] 15 goes up, gets the ball – a huge catch radius. [Allen Hurns, No.] 88 is just very, very good, to me. I think he has a lot of YAC yards – run after catch. But together, they’re a good duo, and I expect the first-rounder [Blake Bortles] to come in and do something against us, as well.

"

Although Steve Smith Sr. won't be available to match these receivers for Baltimore, Joe Flacco and Justin Forsett should be able to move the ball well enough to get their points. However, the defense will struggle to contain the surprisingly efficient passing attack from Jacksonville.

This could end up being a back-and-forth battle that looks more like a Big 12 game than one in the NFL.

Chicago Bears at St. Louis Rams (Under 42.5)

Jeff Curry-USA TODAY Sports

The Chicago Bears did get back in the win column Monday with a victory over the San Diego Chargers, but it's hard to predict that being a turning point for the season. The Chargers were already struggling defensively coming into the game and had to play the second half without cornerbacks Patrick Robinson and Jason Verrett.

Jim Trotter of ESPN provided the real question after the game:

It will be a big change for rookie running back Jeremy Langford (or even Matt Forte if he is healthy) to face the St. Louis Rams defensive line, one of the best in the league. Cornerbacks Janoris Jenkins and Trumaine Johnson have also been excellent in coverage this season and could be able to at least slow down Alshon Jeffery in the passing game.

While the Rams can move the ball behind running back Todd Gurley, he and Tavon Austin have been the only real playmakers on the offense. The team has scored only four touchdowns over the past two weeks, with two of them being plays of 60 yards or more.

Those types of big plays are tough to rely on and can't exactly be a baseline of an offense. The Rams will score enough to win, but it will still remain a quiet day on the scoreboard.

Miami Dolphins at Philadelphia Eagles (Under 49)

Kevin Hoffman-USA TODAY Sports

When you think about the Philadelphia Eagles under Chip Kelly, you usually think about offense and the fast-paced attack. However, it is the defense that is carrying the team to this point.

The Eagles entered the week tied for the most takeaways in the NFL, and it's helped the squad rank in the top 10 in points allowed per game. Defensive tackle Fletcher Cox has been a big part of the team's success, earning an impressive comparison from Ben Fennell of NFL Network:

This could help limit Lamar Miller and force Ryan Tannehill to make more plays, which he couldn't do in recent losses to the New England Patriots and Buffalo Bills. The Dolphins scored a combined 24 points in those games.

The Eagles offense has looked better in recent weeks, but Sam Bradford is still too inconsistent to trust. The former No. 1 draft pick has a quarterback rating of 79.5 for the season to rank 28th of 32 qualified players. He has more games with a rating below 70 (three) than over 90 (two). 

Both quarterbacks entered the year with high expectations, especially in the fantasy community, but neither one has lived up to the hype. With both sides likely to produce plenty of mistakes, this could be a lower-scoring battle than projected.

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