
Daily Fantasy Football November 10: DFS Stock Up, Stock Down
The stock market once again helped hand out the loftiest of prizes in daily fantasy football this past weekend.
Huge risers such as Pittsburgh Steelers running back DeAngelo Williams carried fantasy owners with 41.5 points. On the other end of the spectrum, fallers such as Denver Broncos wideout Demaryius Thomas mustered just 10 points.
With another week in the books, it's time to re-evaluate the market as a whole and identify the biggest risers and those heading south. It's early in the week and plenty will change, but there's no better time to get ahead when it comes to crafting those lineups.
Let's take a look.
Stock Up: Marcus Mariota, QB, Tennessee Titans ($5,300)
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So Marcus Mariota is back.
The Tennessee Titans' rookie quarterback returned from injury in Week 9 to take on the New Orleans Saints. It was an incredible value day for owners who rolled the dice, as Mariota completed 71.8 percent of his passes with 371 yards and four touchdowns, good for 36.34 points.
The crazy part? Mariota's price hasn't changed despite the outburst.
Granted, Mariota next has to encounter the Carolina Panthers, but Aaron Rodgers just posted 36.96 points on the unit.
Owners shouldn't expect Mariota to do the same, but it is a sign the unit can surrender big games. With any luck, Mariota's outburst was a sign of things to come under the guidance of interim coach Mike Mularkey.
Stock Down: C.J. Spiller, RB, New Orleans Saints ($3,000)
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So much for New Orleans Saints running back C.J. Spiller seeing an uptick in work thanks to injuries after a few weeks of encouraging usage.
Spiller posted 10.8 or more points two weeks in a row going into Week 9 and figured to see even more chances with Khiry Robinson sidelined.
Instead, as Larry Holder of the Times-Picayune explained, the extra chances went to starter Mark Ingram:
"Mark Ingram has received the majority of the snaps all season long, but his workload jumped significantly during the Saints' 34-28 loss Sunday. Ingram played in 88 percent of the offensive snaps with 67 snaps.
This meant the workload for C.J. Spiller dipped with Spiller only playing six snaps (eight percent) in the loss.
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As a result of the unpredictable, low usage, Spiller posted just two points, not even matching his salary in value.
So instead of getting more expensive and helping owners as a punt play, Spiller continues to head in the other direction, and owners should treat him as such until proven otherwise.
Stock Up: Charles Sims, RB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers ($3,500)
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Owners have to take the good with the bad at running back, which happens to be the case with Charles Sims of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
Sims took a backseat to Doug Martin for most of the season—that is, until the Muscle Hamster, or whatever he wants to be called these days, coughed up a fumble and received a benching from Lovie Smith this past weekend.
Then Sims fumbled.
In all seriousness, though, Sims might have coughed up the rock also, but he put together a solid outing with eight carries for 78 yards and caught a pass for good measure. He's now caught two or more passes in every game except this past weekend and might have a bigger piece of the committee pie than expected thanks to his potent play.
Next up is a date with the Dallas Cowboys, so Sims looks like a quality punt option in a fluid situation.
Stock Down: Antonio Brown, Pittsburgh Steelers ($8,800)
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What's that? Pittsburgh Steelers wideout Antonio Brown's stock is on the rise?
Look, there are two ways to view this. One is that Brown's epic 284 yards and 17 grabs to reach 49.6 points in Week 9 will translate to the rest of the season.
The other is to realize that past production doesn't necessarily hint at future numbers, especially with Ben Roethlisberger going down with another injury.
According to ESPN's Chris Mortensen, Big Ben won't miss significant time: "Ben Roethlisberger initial diagnosis is sprained foot with projected absence at one to two weeks, per team source."
While an important development, Brown's stock takes a nosedive until Big Ben returns. Remember, starting in Week 4, Brown hit on a streak of three games without reaching double digits while Big Ben held a clipboard and wore a boot.
It's clear Brown's production doesn't remain consistent when there is upheaval under center. For that reason, his stock's down.
Stock Up: Jordan Reed, TE, Washington ($4,600)
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It's a good sign when a player at the most unpredictable position of all is able to scrap together a quality outing despite a miserable showing by his team as a whole.
Such is the case with Jordan Reed, as Washington took a beating in Foxborough at the hands of the New England Patriots this past weekend. Despite the loss, Reed managed to reel in three grabs for 18 yards and a score, good for a salvageable 10.8 points.
While it's far from the 30.2-point outing he posted in Week 7, Reed's showing reinforces the idea he's free of owners having to worry about matchups.
Of course, if they want to, it doesn't get any sweeter than a Week 10 encounter with the leaky New Orleans Saints. Owners should expect big things as Reed's stock continues to soar.
Stock Down: Jonathan Stewart, RB, Carolina Panthers ($4,300)
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Jonathan Stewart of the Carolina Panthers might be the most interesting running back in the NFL.
Stewart sees the majority of the team's workload, but so far, he has failed to help justify the old adage that suggests opportunities equal production.
Case in point—this past weekend, Stewart carried the ball 20 times against an exploitable Green Bay Packers defense, but he tallied just 66 yards and one reception to total 7.8 points. It was the fourth time he's failed to reach double digits despite the heavy workload.
Thanks to outings of 21.6, 15.5 and 14.3 points in the games before his most recent outing, many thought Stewart's stock was on the rise and could only climb higher. Instead, it has done a complete 180, and there are much better options in the price range, such as Chris Johnson ($4,300).
Stock Up: Karlos Williams, RB, Buffalo Bills ($3,800)
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Buffalo Bills running back Karlos Williams is back from an injury with a vengeance, as evidenced by his 26 points this past weekend by way of two touchdowns on just nine carries.
Williams entered the game because lead back LeSean McCoy suffered a shoulder injury, a development perhaps leading to an MRI, according to ESPN's Adam Schefter.
The unfortunate bit of news for Shady opens up a door for Williams on a short week going into Thursday Night Football. So, too, does the door open for owners, who will need to remember that Williams has scored a minimum of 11.5 points in every game he's suited up for this year.
Since he might see a chance at being the every-down back after such consistent production this season, Williams touts the highest-soaring stock of all.
Enter the DraftKings $1.25M Play-Action Contest this weekend. Use Promo Code BLEACHER REPORT when you sign up.
Pricing information and scoring data obtained from DraftKings. All advanced metrics courtesy of Pro Football Focus unless otherwise specified.
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