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Miami Dolphins running back Lamar Miller (26) raises his hand after scoring a touchdown during the first half of an NFL football game against the Houston Texans, Sunday, Oct. 25, 2015 in Miami Gardens, Fla. The Dolphins defeated the Texans 44-26. (AP Photo/Joel Auerbach)
Miami Dolphins running back Lamar Miller (26) raises his hand after scoring a touchdown during the first half of an NFL football game against the Houston Texans, Sunday, Oct. 25, 2015 in Miami Gardens, Fla. The Dolphins defeated the Texans 44-26. (AP Photo/Joel Auerbach)Joel Auerbach/Associated Press

Fantasy Football Week 8: Top 100 Players' Updated Trade Value and Advice

Timothy RappOct 29, 2015

By this point you probably know.

You probably know if your team has the playoffs written all over it or your season in already headed for the garbage bin. Even if you have a solid record, maybe you've seen your total points hovering at the bottom of the league and your depth become basically nonexistent due to injuries. Or you are 3-4, sure, but you have the most points in the league and have just been unlucky to this point.

So you probably know. But maybe, just maybe, your team is in that murky place. You know, that murky place where you have a lot of depth, but all at one position, or your team has had a ton of injuries that you've survived and everyone is healthy now. 

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For those teams, one trade can be the difference between making the playoffs and a year of mockery from your league mates. Let's make sure you don't get ripped off in any deals using my handy trade value chart below.

Trade Values

1Devonta Freeman, ATLRB11
2Le'Veon Bell, PITRB11
3Matt Forte, CHIRB11
4Mark Ingram, NORB11
5Todd Gurley, STLRB11
6Adrian Peterson, MINRB11
7Marshawn Lynch, SEARB11
8Rob Gronkowski, NETE10
9Aaron Rodgers, GBQB10
10Tom Brady, NEQB10
11Julio Jones, ATLWR9
12DeAndre Hopkins, HOUWR9
13Odell Beckham Jr., NYGWR9
14Brandon Marshall, NYJWR9
15Antonio Brown, PITWR9
16Alshon Jeffery, CHIWR9
17Allen Robinson, JACWR9
18Larry Fitzgerald, ARIWR9
19Keenan Allen, SDWR9
20Andy Dalton, CINQB8
21Doug Martin, TBRB8
22Lamar Miller, MIARB8
23Giovani Bernard, CINRB8
24Chris Ivory, NYJRB8
25A.J. Green, CINWR8
26Emmanuel Sanders, DENWR8
27Randall Cobb, GBWR8
28Julian Edelman, NEWR8
29James Jones, GBWR8
30LeSean McCoy, BUFRB7
31DeMarco Murray, PHIRB7
32Justin Forsett, BALRB7
33Cam Newton, CARQB7
34Andrew Luck, INDQB7
35Tyler Eifert, CINTE7
36Greg Olsen, CARTE7
37Jimmy Graham, SEATE7
38Jeremy Hill, CINRB7
39Philip Rivers, SDQB6
40Travis Benjamin, CLEWR6
41Demaryius Thomas, DENWR6
42Steve Smith Sr., BALWR6
43Chris Johnson, ARIRB6
44Latavius Murray, OAKRB6
45Gary Barnidge, CLETE6
46Travis Kelce, KCTE6
47Danny Woodhead, SDRB6
48T.J. Yeldon, JACRB6
49Frank Gore, INDRB6
50Dion Lewis, NERB6
51Calvin Johnson, DETWR5
52Amari Cooper, OAKWR5
53Jeremy Maclin, WRKC5
54Allen Hurns, JACWR5
55Mike Evans, TBWR5
56T.Y. Hilton, INDWR5
57Martavis Bryant, PITWR5
58Isaiah Crowell, CLERB5
59LeGarrette Blount, NERB5
60Carson Palmer, ARIQB4
61Matt Ryan, ATLQB4
62Russell Wilson, SEAQB4
63Carlos Hyde, SFRB4
64Eddie Lacy, GBRB4
65Sammy Watkins, BUFWR4
66Vincent Jackson, TBWR4
67John Brown, ARIWR4
68Jarvis Landry, MIAWR4
69Eric Decker, NYJWR4
70Rishard Matthews, MIAWR4
71Charles Clay, BUFTE3
72Jason Witten, DALTE3
73Joseph Randle, DALRB3
74Ben Roethlisberger, PITQB3
75Eli Manning, NYGQB3
76Jonathan Stewart, CARRB3
77Jordan Matthews, PHIWR3
78Rashad Jennings, NYGRB3
79Andre Ellington, ARIRB3
80Alfred Blue, HOURB3
81Antonio Gates, SDTE3
82Brandin Cooks, NOWR2
83DeSean Jackson, WASWR2
84Donte Moncrief, INDWR2
85Kendall Wright, TENWR2
86Terrance Williams, DALWR2
87Ronnie Hillman, DENRB2
88Matt Jones, WASRB2
89Alfred Morris, WASRB2
90Drew Brees, NOQB2
91Joe Flacco, BALQB2
92Charcandrick West, KCRB2
93Knile Davis, KCRB2
94Martellus Bennett, CHITE2
95Pierre Garcon, WASWR2
96Eric Ebron, DETTE2
97Ryan Mathews, PHIRB2
98Stefon Diggs, MINWR2
99Jordan Reed, WASTE2
100Denver BroncosD/ST2

Matt Camp's Trade Advice

Analysis

While Devonta Freeman continues to run away with the fantasy MVP award this season, a few other running backs have begun to emerge in the RB1 category.

Mark Ingram continues to produce for fantasy owners despite New Orleans' poor season. Doug Martin has been as good as any player at the position over the past three weeks. Todd Gurley is the next superstar at the position. Lamar Miller has exploded for 52 combined fantasy points over the past two weeks in the new Dan Campbell regime. 

Yes, injuries to Jamaal Charles and Arian Foster hurt the position. But running back is suddenly developing some consistency and depth, something it has lacked for the past 1.5 seasons. 

So let's say you lost one of those players and you need to add depth. You notice one of the guys in your league has a glut of running backs and you decide to go after a player like Miller or Chris Ivory. What are you going to have to give up to land one of them?

  • Andy Dalton
  • Emmanuel Sanders
  • Demaryius Thomas and Eric Ebron
  • Amari Cooper and Charles Clay
  • Matt Ryan and Jarvis Landry

While the usual suspects are strong at quarterback—Aaron Rodgers, Tom Brady, Cam Newton, etc.—a group of new contenders has emerged in the QB1 ranks, led by Carson Palmer, Andy Dalton and Blake Bortles. 

Of the three, Dalton's production seems the most sustainable. He's more talented than Bortles and less injury-prone than Palmer, and has the most dangerous set of weapons in the passing game led by A.J. Green, Tyler Eifert and Giovani Bernard out of the backfield. 

He's the real deal, and his trade value should remain sustainable.

Speaking of Bortles, however, there are likely some questions about just how sustainable the production of Allen Robinson and Allen Hurns will continue to be in the second half of the season. So long as Bortles remains healthy and the Jacksonville Jaguars continue to throw the ball with regularity, both should continue to get targets.

Of the two, however, it's Robinson's production that seems to be sustainable. While he only has three more receptions than Hurns, he has 20 more targets, and his 71 targets on the year are sixth among all wide receivers. 

The one concern for Robinson is that, to this point, 39.5 percent of his fantasy production has come from his six touchdown receptions. Let's compare that to the other players in the top five at the position this year:

1Julio Jones, ATL5873059010628.3
2DeAndre Hopkins, HOU58776510210628.3
3Larry Fitzgerald, ARI466226599239.1
4Allen Robinson, JAX345866719139.5
5Keenan Allen, SD626903848122.2

Because touchdown production can be so fickle, the best way to measure a wide receiver's sustainable production is by looking at both his usage and how much fantasy production he gets from receiving yards. Players like Julio Jones and DeAndre Hopkins are in the sweet spot, while Keenan Allen's reception, yardage and target totals are a huge indicator that he's a major part of San Diego's offense and won't need touchdowns to remain in the WR1 conversation.

Robinson's targets negate the fact that he's getting a high percentage of fantasy points from touchdowns. He's Bortles' favorite target and is a dangerous weapon in the red zone, so his touchdown totals don't seem like an outlier. You should consider Robinson the real deal and value him very highly in any trade going forward.

Also, Larry Fitzgerald's numbers suggest his fantasy value might not be sustainable. While his target numbers aren't terrible, they aren't as high as you might expect from fantasy's No. 3 receiver. And the fact that he's failed to catch just 13 of those targets is a little ridiculous. 

Fitzgerald has a new role playing out of the slot for the Cardinals, and he's known for his excellent hands. Plus, the Cardinals have a bevy of weapons and Palmer is free to spread the ball around, so some of the irregularities in Fitzgerald's production aren't shocking. But he's a player worth monitoring, as his production could take a slight dip going forward, even if he only drops into the high-end WR2 range.

But back to the Jags.

Hurns' production is less stable than that of Robinson. Yes, the 38.9 percent of his fantasy production from touchdowns is actually less than Robinson's mark, but he has 20 less targets. And while Robinson has five games with 70 or more receiving yards, Hurns is at just three games hitting that mark.

I think both players have a lot of value going forward, and you shouldn't hesitate to start them or try to land one in a trade. But if you are picking between the two, I would absolutely recommend going after Robinson.

All fantasy stats and points-against totals via ESPN standard leagues.

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