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Latest College Football Odds and Picks Factoring in New Weather Forecasts for Week 5 Schedule

Joe Tansey
Oct 1, 2026

A handful of the biggest brands in college football hit the road for potentially tricky matchups in Week 5.

The Alabama Crimson Tide and Ohio State Buckeyes each have Top 20 matchups on the road within their conference against opponents with a ton to prove on the national stage.

Seven of the top 10 teams in the AP Top 25 will play on the road in Week 5.

Alabama's trip to face the Mississippi State Bulldogs is fascinating because of the quarterback battle.

Ohio State's visit to Iowa City to play the Iowa Hawkeyes kicks off a stretch of four games against ranked foes in the next five.

All of the forecasts for Week 5's college football slate can be found here on The Weather Channel.

Week 5 Schedule, Odds and Weather

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COLLEGE FOOTBALL: SEP 26 Central Michigan at Miami

Saturday, October 3

No. 3 Notre Dame (-21.5) at North Carolina

Schedule: Noon ET, ESPN

Forecast: Mostly Cloudy, High of 79ยฐF

Prediction: Notre Dame 37, North Carolina 13

No. 7 Alabama (-5.5) at No. 16 Mississippi State

Schedule: Noon ET, ABC

Forecast: Chance of Showers, High of 86ยฐF

Prediction: Alabama 34, Mississippi State 27

UCF at No. 20 Houston (-12.5)

Schedule: Noon ET, ESPN2

Forecast: Chance of Showers, High of 86ยฐF

Prediction: Houston 31, UCF 10

Boston College at No. 21 SMU (-20.5)

Schedule: Noon ET, CW

Forecast: Mostly Cloudy, High of 78ยฐF

Prediction: SMU 37, Boston College 13

Vanderbilt at No. 2 Georgia (-24.5)

Schedule: 12:45 p.m. ET, SEC Network

Forecast: Chance of Showers, High of 85ยฐF

Prediction: Georgia 37, Vanderbilt 7

No. 5 Ohio State (-14.5) at No. 14 Iowa

Schedule: 3:30 p.m. ET, CBS

Forecast: Sunny, High of 66ยฐF

Prediction: Ohio State 27, Iowa 17

No. 8 Florida (-4.5) at No. 25 Missouri

Schedule: 3:30 p.m. ET, ABC

Forecast: Sunny, High of 71ยฐF

Prediction: Florida 21, Missouri 17

Auburn at No. 17 Tennessee (-6.5)

Schedule: 3:30 p.m. ET, ESPN

Forecast: Mostly Cloudy, High of 81ยฐF

Prediction: Tennessee 27, Auburn 17

No. 24 Kentucky at South Carolina (-2.5)

Schedule: 4:15 p.m. ET, SEC Network

Forecast: Chance of Showers, High of 87ยฐF

Prediction: South Carolina 26, Kentucky 23

No. 10 BYU (-6.5) at TCU

Schedule: 7 p.m. ET, ESPN

Forecast: Cloudy, High of 77ยฐF

Prediction: BYU 38, TCU 31

No. 4 Miami (-16.5) at Clemson

Schedule: 7:30 p.m. ET, ABC

Forecast: Mostly Cloudy, High of 84ยฐF

Prediction: Miami 31, Clemson 10

No. 12 Texas Tech (-11.5) at Colorado

Schedule: 7:30 p.m. ET, Fox

Forecast: Sunny, High of 85ยฐF

Prediction: Texas Tech 37, Colorado 17

Washington at No. 18 USC (-9.5)

Schedule: 7:30 p.m. ET, NBC

Forecast: Sunny, High of 100ยฐF

Prediction: USC 41, Washington 23

Utah State at No. 22 Boise State (-20.5)

Schedule: 7:30 p.m. ET, CBS Sports Network

Forecast: Sunny, High of 86ยฐF

Prediction: Boise State 41, Utah State 17

McNeese at No. 11 LSU (-53.5)

Schedule: 7:45 p.m. ET, SEC Network

Forecast: Showers, High of 86ยฐF

Prediction: LSU 61, McNeese 7

No. 6 Indiana (-23.5) at Rutgers

Schedule: 8 p.m. ET, BTN

Forecast: Mostly Sunny, High of 71ยฐF

Prediction: Indiana 31, Rutgers 17

No. 7 Alabama (-5.5) at No. 16 Mississippi State

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South Carolina v Alabama

You'd be hard pressed to find a better quarterback matchup than the one on display in Starkville on Saturday.

Alabama's first-year starter Keelon Russell accounted for 11 touchdowns in the first four games. The Crimson Tide eclipsed the 40-point mark in all of those contests.

Mississippi State's Kamario Taylor has taken the college football world by storm with his 14 touchdown passes and dual-threat ability.

Saturday presents Taylor and Mississippi State with a massive opportunity to announce itself as a College Football Playoff contender.

Alabama's already gone on the road and won in the SEC with Russell at the helm. The Crimson Tide used a fourth-quarter surge after a tight three quarters to beat the Kentucky Wildcats 45-17 in Week 2.

Russell likely learned a decent amount from that game about what life on the road in the SEC is like. That will be valuable to him in Starkville amid the loud clanging of the cowbells in the stands.

Alabama is the toughest defense Taylor faced in his young career. Sure, he has three wins against power-conference opponents, but none of them carried the quality of Alabama's defense.

Alabama held three of its four opponents under 20 points. Mississippi State let up 34 and 24 points in its first two SEC contests.

The quarterbacks will absolutely make some jaw-dropping plays, but the defense that gets one or two key stops will deliver the victory. Right now, the Crimson Tide have the more trustworthy unit on that side of the ball.

Prediction: Alabama (-5.5)

No. 5 Ohio State (-14.5) at No. 14 Iowa

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COLLEGE FOOTBALL: SEP 19 Kent State at Ohio State

The Ohio State Buckeyes have one of the toughest five-week stretches in the sport upcoming.

The run that includes four Top 25 opponents begins at Kinnick Stadium against an Iowa Hawkeyes team that surged up to No. 14 following its last-second road win over the Michigan Wolverines.

Iowa is still a tier below Ohio State in the Big Ten in terms of potential playoff contenders, but its got a shot at the Buckeyes at home on Saturday.

The Hawkeyes, by the way, could be a playoff team even with a loss because they don't have any other ranked opponents on their schedule.

Iowa hasn't allowed an opponent to score over 20 points yet this season. Its defensive resolve will be tested by the Jeremiah Smith-led Buckeyes offense that scored over 40 points on three occasions.

Ohio State needs a win in Iowa City to kick off a stretch that includes trips to face the Indiana Hoosiers and USC Trojans and the Oregon Ducks at home.

The winning formula could be something as simple as overwhelming Iowa with Smith, Bo Jackson and the rest of the star power inside the Ohio State offense.

Smith put up over 150 receiving yards in three of his four games and is coming off a four-touchdown performance. He's borderline unstoppable at the moment, even for an Iowa defense that is typically sound as a unit.

Iowa might not be able to slow down Smith for four quarters, but it has the potential to contain him for stretches of the game, which is why the Hawkeyes are a fascinating underdog on the spread.

The Hawkeyes are capable of keeping the game within two scores, and as long as the spread hangs a half-point over 14, it's worth biting at Iowa to cover.

Prediction: Iowa (+14.5)