Active NBA Players Most Likely to Be in the Basketball Hall of Fame One Day

Amar'e Stoudemire, Doc Rivers, Elena Delle Donne and Candace Parker are among the latest inductees into the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame. They'll have plenty of fresh company in the years to come.

The NBA is loaded with legends and future legends right now. We're here to break down which ones have the best shot at making it into the Hall of Fame one day.

Basketball Reference's Hall of Fame Probability model served as a helpful guide, but we went further than that. Among NBA players who've already been inducted into the Hall, the average career produced at least 14,560 points, 5,952 rebounds, 3,138 assists, 87 win shares, five All-Star appearances and three All-NBA nods.

Only five active players have already exceeded all of those benchmarks (LeBron James, Kevin Durant, James Harden, Nikola Jokić and Giannis Antetokounmpo). All five of those players also have an MVP (or more than one), which is more than the average Hall of Famer's 0.3 in that category.

Those five won't be the only ones who make it into the Hall eventually. The Basketball Reference model has 32 active players with at least a 5 percent chance of being inducted. We compared that entire group to those averages above.

The ones who cleared the average Hall of Famer in all seven categories are stone-cold locks to be enshrined, but even the ones who only checked a few boxes seem more likely than not to eventually get in.

Even some who didn't make the final 25 here (including Jalen Brunson, Anthony Edwards, Jaylen Brown and Devin Booker) will almost certainly do enough between now and the end of their careers to secure their spots.

Young players like Victor Wembanyama and Cooper Flagg weren't even considered because of the 400-game minimum threshold for Basketball Reference's model, but they're well on their way as long as they stay healthy, too. And a few recent retirees (Russell Westbrook and Kyle Lowry) would've made the cut here if they were still active.

But when we look strictly at the active players who'd likely be voted in if they retired tomorrow (or sometime in the near future), the following 25 are hard to deny.

Devin Booker

Christian Petersen/Getty Images

Hall of Fame Probability: 17.3%

Numbers (bold indicates more than the average Hall of Famer): 18,120 points, 2,966 rebounds, 3,908 assists, 58.0 win shares

Accolades: 5x All-Star, 2x All-NBA, 0x MVP

Devin Booker is still a few months shy of his 30th birthday, hasn't won a title and isn't on a team that looks poised to compete for one for a long time.

But his career scoring average of 24.6 points ranks 22nd all-time. Even if he averages only 20.0 points and 70 appearances per year over the next five seasons, he'll be in the top 30 all-time in total points.

That should be enough to get him into the Hall one day, even if he doesn't break through and win a title or an MVP at some point.

Klay Thompson

Thearon W. Henderson/Getty Images

Hall of Fame Probability: 73.1%

Numbers: 17,346 points, 3,184 rebounds, 2,084 assists, 57.6 win shares

Accolades: 5x All-Star, 2x All-NBA, 0x MVP

One of the absolute greatest shooters in NBA history, Klay Thompson feels far more likely to get into the Hall of Fame than Basketball Reference's model suggests.

Beyond the numbers above, he was a crucial contributor to four championship teams with the Golden State Warriors. He also ranks fourth all-time in career threes per game and already ranks fourth all-time in career total threes.

His fellow Splash Brother is a lock to be a first-ballot Hall of Famer, but Klay's contributions to the Warriors dynasty in the late 2010s should earn him a spot, too.

Donovan Mitchell

Alex Goodlett/Getty Images

Hall of Fame Probability: 58.8%

Numbers: 15,272 points, 2,640 rebounds, 2,928 assists, 60.2 win shares

Accolades: 7x All-Star, 3x All-NBA, 0x MVP

It might feel premature to declare Donovan Mitchell a future Hall of Famer, but he's already one of the most explosive scoring guards in league history. If he performs anywhere near his current or recent levels for a few more years, he'll get in.

Mitchell's career scoring average of 25.1 points per game ranks 16th all-time, and his playoff scoring average of 27.8 is seventh.

LaMarcus Aldridge, Joe Johnson, Tom Chambers and Antawn Jamison are the only four Hall-eligible players in league history to top 20,000 career points and not make it in thus far. At his current scoring rate, Mitchell will need only three more seasons to surpass that threshold, which should clinch his spot in the Hall.

Rudy Gobert

Joe Murphy/NBAE via Getty Images

Hall of Fame Probability: 31.8%

Numbers: 11,287 points, 10,572 rebounds, 1,251 assists, 124.9 win shares

Accolades: 3x All-Star, 4x All-NBA, 0x MVP

Rudy Gobert's mark from Basketball Reference's probability model trails well behind Klay and Mitchell's. That's likely a result of Gobert's meager scoring average compared to a typical Hall of Famer.

However, he's way above the average Hall of Famer in rebounds and win shares. He's also cleared the benchmark in All-NBA nods.

Gobert, Dikembe Mutombo and Ben Wallace are also the only players in league history to be named Defensive Player of the Year four times. Both Wallace and Mutombo have already been inducted into the Hall, and Wallace's career averages were even lower than Gobert's.

Jayson Tatum

David Dow/NBAE via Getty Images

Hall of Fame Probability: 59.6%

Numbers: 14,132 points, 4,453 rebounds, 2,328 assists, 67.2 win shares

Accolades: 6x All-Star, 5x All-NBA, 0x MVP

Jayson Tatum is only 28 years old. So, while he's below the average Hall of Famer in the numbers we looked at, that isn't likely to be the case for long. In fact, he's almost certainly going to clear the points benchmark this season.

Assuming that he's now fully recovered from the ruptured Achilles that he suffered during the 2025 playoffs, Tatum should still have several high-level years left. He also already won a championship in 2024 and is among the top 30 all-time in career playoff points.

Barring another catastrophic injury, Tatum should make his way into the Hall one day.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Ryan Stetz/NBAE via Getty Images

Hall of Fame Probability: 82.8%

Numbers: 13,411 points, 2,503 rebounds, 2,810 assists, 75.6 win shares

Accolades: 4x All-Star, 4x All-NBA, 2x MVP

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is even younger than Tatum, and he has a handful of accolades Tatum doesn't, including two MVPs and a Finals MVP.

This season, he's likely to pass the average Hall of Famer in both points and assists. Even the average win shares mark is within reach.

By the time his career is over, he'll almost certainly have checked every box used in this exercise. His 2025 championship with the Oklahoma City Thunder is the icing on his Hall of Fame candidacy.

Draymond Green

Noah Graham/NBAE via Getty Images

Hall of Fame Probability: 76.8%

Numbers: 8,235 points, 6,462 rebounds, 5,324 assists, 66.3 win shares

Accolades: 4x All-Star, 2x All-NBA, 0x MVP

Arguably the second-most important player in the Golden State Warriors' dynasty, Draymond Green is one of the best defenders of his era and one of the best playmaking big men of all time.

His impact goes well beyond the raw numbers he put up. During his career, Golden State has been plus-8.1 points per 100 possessions with Green on the floor and minus-0.1 when he's off.

While Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson helped usher in the NBA's three-point revolution, lineups with Green at center popularized small-ball. Teams around the league had to reinvent themselves to counter Golden State's "Death Lineup," which should earn Green a spot in the Hall.

Joel Embiid

Tim Nwachukwu/Getty Images

Hall of Fame Probability: 66.2%

Numbers: 13,544 points, 5,280 rebounds, 1,808 assists, 69.0 win shares

Accolades: 7x All-Star, 5x All-NBA, 1x MVP

Despite missing roughly half the games he could've played in his NBA career, Joel Embiid should be an eventual lock for the Hall of Fame thanks to the absurd peaks he hit when healthy.

Embiid has an MVP on his resume and ranks fourth all-time in career scoring average at 27.6 points per game. He's first all-time in career points per 100 possessions.

Embiid's lack of playoff success is the major knock against him, but with LeBron James and Jaylen Brown now in Philly, he has a real chance to go on a deep playoff run for the first time in his career. Even if the Sixers fall short yet again, the gold medal that Embiid won with Team USA in the 2024 Olympics will help his case, too.

Kevin Love

Andrew D. Bernstein/NBAE via Getty Images

Hall of Fame Probability: 67.6%

Numbers: 15,669 points, 9,712 rebounds, 2,240 assists, 96.0 win shares

Accolades: 5x All-Star, 2x All-NBA, 0x MVP

Kevin Love doesn't have the volume of accolades that others on this list do, but he's among the greatest rebounders of all time and was a key cog on the 2015-16 champion Cleveland Cavaliers.

Had he not been willing to accept a smaller role for team success in Cleveland, there's a good chance he'd have had plenty more All-Star and All-NBA nods. Over his last four seasons before the trade to the Cavs, Love averaged 23.5 points, 13.7 rebounds and 3.0 assists in Minnesota.

Being part of the first team to overcome a 3-1 series deficit in the NBA Finals—and the one who guarded Stephen Curry on the final shot in Game 7—should earn Love a spot in Springfield one day, though.

Al Horford

Adam Hagy/NBAE via Getty Images

Hall of Fame Probability: 26.5%

Numbers: 15,077 points, 9,162 rebounds, 3,745 assists, 119.4 win shares

Accolades: 5x All-Star, 1x All-NBA, 0x MVP

Al Horford's Hall of Fame case is interesting. The model doesn't love his chances, but playing into his 40s, stacking up the raw numbers he has and contributing to the Boston Celtics' most recent championship run should make him a safe bet.

For two decades, Horford has been one of the league's consummate leaders. He was among the trailblazers for the modern playmaking big man, too.

It's also worth remembering that the Hall of Fame doesn't just cover NBA exploits. The two championships that Horford won in college with the Florida Gators should help his candidacy.

Luka Dončić

Cooper Neill/Getty Images

Hall of Fame Probability: 68.3%

Numbers: 15,021 points, 4,376 rebounds, 4,230 assists, 66.6 win shares

Accolades: 6x All-Star, 6x All-NBA, 0x MVP

Luka Dončić is younger than both Jayson Tatum and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. Even though he hasn't won a championship or MVP yet, he arguably has a stronger Hall of Fame resume than both.

For one thing, he's on a trajectory that no one else in league history has been on. No one else has ever averaged at least 29 points, eight rebounds and eight assists. Dončić is already 17th all-time in career first-team All-NBA nods, too.

With LeBron James no longer in L.A., Dončić figures to keep piling up massive numbers and individual accolades in the coming years.

Karl-Anthony Towns

XNY/Star Max/GC Images

Hall of Fame Probability: 86.9%

Numbers: 16,384 points, 8,025 rebounds, 2,263 assists, 94.6 win shares

Accolades: 6x All-Star, 3x All-NBA, 0x MVP

After winning the 2026 NBA Finals with the New York Knicks, Karl-Anthony Towns' Hall of Fame resume suddenly looks a lot stronger than it did a few months ago.

Even prior to that achievement, KAT has been one of the league's most prolific double-double machines throughout his career. He's also building a real case as the best-shooting big man ever.

The Knicks were also the first team ever to win both the NBA Cup and the Larry O'Brien Trophy in the same season this past year. That has to count for something, right?

DeMar DeRozan

Nathaniel S. Butler/NBAE via Getty Images

Hall of Fame Probability: 48.3%

Numbers: 26,711 points, 5,434 rebounds, 5,185 assists, 114.1 win shares

Accolades: 6x All-Star, 3x All-NBA, 0x MVP

DeMar DeRozan doesn't get high marks in Basketball Reference's model, but his Hall of Fame case will nevertheless be undeniable by the time he retires.

He doesn't have a championship or a mountain of individual accolades, but DeRozan is already 16th all-time in career points. He has a chance to finish in the top 10 whenever he hangs up his sneakers.

Every Hall-eligible player with at least 25,000 career points has already been inducted. It's hard to imagine DeRozan being the first to break that trend.

Kyrie Irving

Bruce Yeung/NBAE via Getty Images

Hall of Fame Probability: 97.6%

Numbers: 18,433 points, 3,173 rebounds, 4,364 assists, 91.0 win shares

Accolades: 9x All-Star, 3x All-NBA, 0x MVP

Kyrie Irving is one of the most dynamic offensive players in NBA history. He has a near-ironclad Hall of Fame case despite missing over three seasons' worth of games during his career.

When available, he's been one of the most awe-inspiring ball-handlers and scorers we've ever seen. LeBron James would not have brought Cleveland its first NBA title without Kyrie's secondary offense.

Hitting what wound up being the championship-clinching shot in Game 7—and securing the first 3-1 series comeback in NBA Finals history—should go a long way toward earning Irving a spot in the Hall.

Kawhi Leonard

Vaughn Ridley/Getty Images

Hall of Fame Probability: 97.4%

Numbers: 16,546 points, 5,075 rebounds, 2,470 assists, 111.9 win shares

Accolades: 7x All-Star, 7x All-NBA, 0x MVP

Kawhi Leonard has struggled mightily with injuries throughout his career, but his lack of availability should be little more than a footnote on his Hall of Fame resume.

Leonard is a two-time Defensive Player of the Year and one of three players in league history (along with LeBron James and Kareem Abdul-Jabbar) to win Finals MVPs for more than one team. He's also made All-NBA teams in more than half the seasons in which he played at least 50 games.

Although salary-cap circumvention allegations are muddying his future, Leonard has already done more than enough to earn his spot in the Hall. His run in the 2019 playoffs with the Toronto Raptors was the stuff of legend.

Jimmy Butler

Hall of Fame Probability: 75.7%

Numbers: 16,658 points, 4,858 rebounds, 3,957 assists, 129.4 win shares

Accolades: 6x All-Star, 5x All-NBA, 0x MVP

Jimmy Butler has missed plenty of time with injuries and left multiple teams on worse-than-icy terms. But that's at least partly because of his ultra-competitive spirit, which drove him to become one of the best playoff performers of his era.

Butler led two Miami Heat teams to the NBA Finals that had no business being there. "Playoff Jimmy" has averaged 23.3 points, 6.5 rebounds, 5.1 assists and 1.8 steals over his last eight postseason appearances.

The 2014-15 Most Improved Player award and five All-Defensive nods should only help his chances of getting into the Hall of Fame one day.

Paul George

Ron Hoskins/NBAE via Getty Images

Hall of Fame Probability: 97.9%

Numbers: 19,338 points, 5,880 rebounds, 3,502 assists, 92.0 win shares

Accolades: 9x All-Star, 6x All-NBA, 0x MVP

Paul George has yet to win a championship, and he never finished higher than third in MVP voting. But his longevity, sheer volume of production and role in establishing this era of NBA basketball should eventually get him into the Hall of Fame.

George could've easily settled into being a respectable three-and-D wing, but he became one of the league's best players in both components of that equation while also developing into a high-end playmaker. He was undoubtedly among the pioneers for "three-and-D-plus" players.

Injuries have limited George in recent years, so he's now likely past his All-Star prime. But he was named the NBA's Most Improved Player in 2012-13 and has four All-Defensive nods as well, which further bolster his Hall candidacy.

Anthony Davis

Jonathan Bachman/Getty Images

Hall of Fame Probability: 99.9%

Numbers: 19,385 points, 8,637 rebounds, 2,065 assists, 120.1 win shares

Accolades: 10x All-Star, 5x All-NBA, 0x MVP

Anthony Davis entered the NBA as one of the most-hyped draft prospects ever. Though he never broke through to win a title as the alpha of his team, he lived up to the hype by becoming one of the greatest No. 2 options of all time.

In spite of significant injury woes, Davis has spent the bulk of his career as a dominant rim protector and dynamic two-level scorer. He was also integral to the Los Angeles Lakers' victory in the 2020 Finals.

Davis has never won MVP, but he finished in the top five of MVP voting twice and the top four of Defensive Player of the Year voting four times. He also led the league in blocks in three of his first six seasons, which speaks to the defensive impact he made early in his career.

Damian Lillard

Cameron Browne/NBAE via Getty Images

Hall of Fame Probability: 99.5%

Numbers: 22,598 points, 3,845 rebounds, 6,069 assists, 118.4 win shares

Accolades: 9x All-Star, 7x All-NBA, 0x MVP

Damian Lillard is the last non-MVP and non-champion on this list, but his case for the Hall of Fame is still undeniable.

Lillard was the face of the Portland Trail Blazers for over a decade and ranks 37th all-time in career points, 42nd in career assists and fifth in career threes.

Lillard's penchant for coming through late in games turned crunch time into "Dame Time." Although he has advanced to the conference finals only once in his career 37-footer to send the Oklahoma City Thunder home in 2019 was one of the best buzzer-beaters in NBA playoff history.

Nikola Jokić

Jamie Schwaberow/NBAE via Getty Images

Hall of Fame Probability: 99.9%

Numbers: 18,009 points, 8,977 rebounds, 6,080 assists, 142.9 win shares

Accolades: 8x All-Star, 8x All-NBA, 3x MVP

Nikola Jokić isn't just on his way to the Hall of Fame. If he's able to win another championship, he's on a path that could end with him being considered one of the five best players in NBA history.

He's currently first in NBA history in career box plus/minus, player efficiency rating and win shares per 48 minutes. He's also destined to pass Russell Westbrook for most career regular-season and postseason triple-doubles.

Every eligible player who won even one MVP has already made it into the Hall. Jokić already has three. And despite being only 31, Jokić trails only LeBron James, Michael Jordan, Kareem Abdul-Jabbar, Larry Bird and Magic Johnson in career MVP shares.

Giannis Antetokounmpo

Andrew D. Bernstein/NBAE via Getty Images

Hall of Fame Probability: 99.9%

Numbers: 21,531 points, 8,882 rebounds, 4,484 assists, 125.8 win shares

Accolades: 10x All-Star, 9x All-NBA, 2x MVP

Another one of the greatest playmaking big men of all time, Giannis Antetokounmpo is like some kind of (Greek) freakish combination of Kareem Abdul-Jabbar's frame, Shaquille O'Neal's physical dominance and LeBron James' athleticism.

Despite being a mediocre three-point and free-throw shooter, Giannis thrived in an era in which three-point shooting was a prerequisite to staying in the NBA for most players. He became one of the league's best players in part because his driving generated so many triples for others.

Granted, being a 6'11" freight train didn't hurt, either. And his 50-point closeout game in Game 6 of the 2021 NBA Finals—which clinched the Milwaukee Bucks' first championship in a half-century—all but guaranteed the Greek Freak his spot in the Hall one day.

Stephen Curry

Nathaniel S. Butler/NBAE via Getty Images

Hall of Fame Probability: 100.0%

Numbers: 26,528 points, 4,973 rebounds, 6,743 assists, 147.1 win shares

Accolades: 12x All-Star, 11x All-NBA, 2x MVP

Stephen Curry is unquestionably the greatest shooter in NBA history. That alone would've been enough to get him into the Hall of Fame. But that's just where his resume begins.

Curry was the face and driving force of the NBA's most recent dynasty. He's the only unanimous MVP winner in league history. And he might be the biggest game-changer ever to grace the NBA.

Curry's long-range shooting ability fundamentally changed how basketball is played at every level worldwide. If that isn't Hall of Fame-worthy, what is?

James Harden

Sean Gardner/Getty Images

Hall of Fame Probability: 100.0%

Numbers: 29,339 points, 6,809 rebounds, 8,873 assists, 182.4 win shares

Accolades: 11x All-Star, 8x All-NBA, 1x MVP

James Harden has yet to win an NBA championship, but he's done just about everything else in his prolific career.

Harden didn't change the game to the same degree as Stephen Curry, but he helped popularize heliocentric basketball and spent his prime as one of the NBA's best scorers and distributors.

Harden has three scoring titles and two assist titles under his belt and ranks among the top 12 all-time in both points and assists. That alone should be enough to earn him a spot in the Hall of Fame one day.

Kevin Durant

Andrew D. Bernstein/NBAE via Getty Images

Hall of Fame Probability: 100.0%

Numbers: 32,597 points, 8,254 rebounds, 5,280 assists, 186.1 win shares

Accolades: 16x All-Star, 12x All-NBA, 1x MVP

Kevin Durant will finish his career well shy of LeBron James' career point total, but he's arguably the best pure scorer in NBA history.

Few (if any) players could dominate all three levels as a jump shooter and driver the way Durant has. When you sprinkle in solid defense and playmaking for his position and two Finals MVPs, he's knocking on the door of the all-time top 10.

Durant already looked like a Hall of Fame lock even prior to his arrival in Golden State, but the two titles that he won with the Warriors in the late 2010s erased any doubt. He's also Team USA's all-time leading scorer and has won four Olympic gold medals, which only cements his first-ballot Hall of Fame status.

LeBron James

Ronald Martinez/Getty Images

Hall of Fame Probability: 100.0%

Numbers: 43,440 points, 12,095 rebounds, 12,016 assists, 276.8 win shares

Accolades: 22x All-Star, 21x All-NBA, 4x MVP

It should come as little surprise that among the 33 players sampled for this exercise, LeBron James was the leader in all seven categories (points, rebounds, assists, win shares, All-Star selections, All-NBA nods and MVPs).

The league's all-time leading scorer isn't just a lock to make the Hall of Fame. He's one of the only players with a reasonable case to be above Michael Jordan on the all-time ladder (along with Kareem Abdul-Jabbar).

Whenever LeBron retires, he's going to finish with a number of NBA records that will be nearly impossible to topple. He's guaranteed to be a first-ballot Hall of Famer as soon as he becomes eligible.