Super Bowl Odds 2026, Prop Picks, Spread Projections for Seahawks vs. Patriots

Eleven years after they faced off in Super Bowl XLIX, the Seattle Seahawks and New England Patriots are set to meet on the NFL's biggest stage once again in Super Bowl LX. 

On February 8, at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, California, the Patriots have a chance to kickstart a new, post–Tom Brady championship era with MVP candidate Drake Maye under center. The Seahawks, meanwhile, have a chance to shock the league as a team that opened the season at +6000 odds to make the Super Bowl, led there by a quarterback in Sam Darnold that multiple other NFL teams have cast off. 

Will Maye make the difference by using his legs? Will Seattle's vaunted run defense be able to contain Maye as well as New England's two-headed monster in the backfield of Rhamondre Stevenson and rookie TreVeyon Henderson? Will the Patriots be able to prevent Seattle star wideout Jaxon Smith-Njigba from making an explosive play that could change the course of the game?

To determine the answers to those questions, let's take a look at some of the latest player props ahead of the game.

Spread Projections 

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A little more than one week out from the Big Game, the Seahawks (-4.5) are favored by a little more than a field goal. Seattle had initially opened as a 3.5-point favorite. 

The Seahawks were second in the league in scoring offense this season, averaging 29.2 points per game. New England came in at eighth, with 27.2. But when you look at how these two teams stack up, this spread is one to bet the over on. 

Though both teams finished the regular season 14–3, Seattle had to grapple with the fourth-hardest schedule in the league, while New England's was rated as the easiest. 

The Patriots playing at their best still need to hope for some mistakes on Seattle's part to build any kind of comfortable lead in this game. If they were hoping those mistakes might come from Sam Darnold, he's instead playing the best football of his career, with four touchdowns and zero interceptions in Seattle's two playoff games. 

Perhaps Maye's mobility will be the difference-maker for New England. Let's begin our prop picks there.

Drake Maye Anytime TD 

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Maye has already used his legs to find the end zone once this postseason, and he did it four times during the regular season as well. That goes along with 450 rushing yards on 103 attempts in the regular season and 141 yards on 24 carries during the playoffs. 

If the Patriots find themselves within a couple yards of the end zone with the play breaking down, the 6'4", 225-pound signal-caller is a safe bet to muscle the ball past the goal line. Or it could be on a designed run, like Maye had against the Denver Broncos in the AFC Championship Game.

The +300 odds make this an even more attractive bet.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Over 93.5 Receiving Yards

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Is -130 an enormous payout for taking the over on this prop? No, but it could be easy money. 

Let's look at the stats. Jaxon Smith-Njigba has totaled more than 93.5 receiving yards in 11 of 17 games this season. In 19 games this season, he is averaging 103.4 yards per game. 

Seattle's defense has been good against the pass this season, but not impenetrable; the Seahawks have allowed opponents 199.5 passing yards per game on average, which ranks 11th in the league. 

Then there's Smith-Njigba's explosive play potential; he could get a third of those 93.5 yards on one play. In fact, his explosive play per route rate of 9.1 percent, which includes the postseason, led all wide receivers (100-plus routes) this season.

Rhamondre Stevenson 4+ Receptions 

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Seattle's run defense may have been one of the best units in the league this season, but there is one area it can be exploited. The Seahawks allowed the second-most catches to running backs, with 98. Running backs averaged 6.6 yards per catch on those receptions. 

Rhamondre Stevenson had 32 receptions over the regular season, an average of 1.9 per game. In New England's three playoff games, however, Stevenson bumped that up to 2.3, with seven catches in three games. That average is also brought down by the bad-weather AFC Championship Game, in which Stevenson had no receptions, something that only happened one other time this season. He had four or more catches in three games this season, including once in the playoffs (vs. Houston).

At +138, this bet is just enticing enough to take. 

Consensus odds from Action Network