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Early Hot Seat Check for Every NFL Head Coach

Brad GagnonSep 10, 2025

It doesn't take much these days. It's an age of short attention spans and patience levels, and you see that with the way NFL teams operate in this parity-drenched sport. 

That's why several head coaches were already on the hot seat entering 2025, and many more seats are already heating up after Week 1.

Here's an updated rundown for all 32.

Ice Cold

1 of 6
Giants Commanders Football
Dan Quinn

Andy Reid, Kansas City Chiefs: Never say never, because Bill Belichick's seat was once a block of ice and even he wore out his welcome in New England. That said, Reid is as close to immune as it gets following a six-year run of dominance that includes five Super Bowl appearances.

Nick Sirianni, Philadelphia Eagles: He just won the Super Bowl, and he's been to two in four years. He also has the fifth-highest qualified regular-season winning percentage in NFL history. 

Sean Payton, Denver Broncos: The Broncos made tremendous progress with a playoff berth in Payton's second season, and he and Bo Nix appear to be onto something special.

Jim Harbaugh, Los Angeles Chargers: One of the most successful and respected coaches of this era, Harbaugh got the Bolts to the playoffs in his first season and is off to a splendid start in 2025. 

Dan Quinn, Washington Commanders: He led the rising Commanders to the NFC Championship in Year 1 and has a win out of the gate in Year 2. It's peachy for DQ in D.C.

Cool

2 of 6
Vikings Bears Football
Kevin O'Connell

Kyle Shanahan, San Francisco 49ers: Shanahan had the Niners in the Super Bowl just two years ago, and four years prior with a different core. He's earned plenty of space, and last year was an injury-marred disaster. He's quite safe. 

Kevin O'Connell, Minnesota Vikings: Fresh off signing an extension based on a tremendous 2024 campaign, O'Connell has bought himself tons of time with a Coach of the Year award as he takes on the J.J. McCarthy project. 

Sean McVay, Los Angeles Rams: The Rams don't have the talent they used to possess, but McVay has squeezed double-digit wins out of them in consecutive playoff campaigns and they're 1-0 in 2025. He's safe if he wants to stick around, but long-term uncertainty with the roster could always change that. 

Sean McDermott, Buffalo Bills: The Bills are a perennial contender and that shouldn't change anytime soon, but another January letdown short of the Super Bowl could lead to a sudden change. 

John Harbaugh, Baltimore Ravens: The second-longest-tenured head coach in the NFL signed a three-year extension in the offseason. He appears extremely safe, but the Ravens suffered another disappointing playoff failure in January followed by a meltdown in Week 1. 

Dan Campbell, Detroit Lions: He's 27-7 the last two years, but the Lions still have just two playoff wins in the Campbell era and are off to a 0-1 start. Another disappointing end result could put him in an interesting spot come January. 

Matt LaFleur, Green Bay Packers: The Packers continue to be competitive and look like a legit contender at the moment. However, that could blow up in a tough division. If it does and LaFleur fails to register a playoff win for the fourth time in five years, he could be in trouble. 

1st-Year Cool

3 of 6
Vikings Bears Football
Ben Johnson

Pete Carroll, Las Vegas Raiders: Carroll's Super Bowl resume surely buys him multiple years in Las Vegas, especially because expectations can't possibly be sky-high just yet. This team is still completing a rebuild, but it's 1-0 so no complaints so far. 

Kellen Moore, New Orleans Saints: Nobody expects the Saints to deliver much in 2025, and Moore deserves plenty of time to work with a pair of young, low-expectation quarterbacks.  

Ben Johnson, Chicago Bears: He's off to a bit of a rough start, but the hype surrounding Johnson prior to landing this gig should be enough to prevent him from going one-and-done unless things really blow up in 2025. 

Brian Schottenheimer, Dallas Cowboys: The Joneses have actually been quite patient with head coaches dating back to the end of the Dave Campo era. Jerry might be losing patience, but he'll almost certainly still give Schottenheimer at least two years. 

Mike Vrabel, New England Patriots: They went one-and-done with Jerod Mayo and are off to a rough start, so this is already far from freezing. 

Aaron Glenn, New York Jets: The Jets are more likely to go one-and-done because they've had some short leashes in the past and there is plenty of talent on this roster. Glenn seems fairly safe, but one awful season could cost him his job. 

Liam Coen, Jacksonville Jaguars: Same here, as Coen is expected to get plenty of out of talented offense while helping the Jags compete immediately. The good news is he's off to a 1-0 start following a strong offensive outing in Week 1. 

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Room Temperature

4 of 6
Cardinals Saints Football
Jonathan Gannon

Jonathan Gannon, Arizona Cardinals: Gannon likely can't survive a third consecutive losing season in Arizona, not with that offensive talent. But the Cards have a good shot at starting 2-0 when they host Carolina on Sunday. No reason to panic here yet.

Mike Tomlin, Pittsburgh Steelers: Tomlin hasn't posted a losing record in his entire 18-year run with the Steelers, and Pittsburgh is very patient with head coaches. He's also off to a 1-0 start with Aaron Rodgers and Co. in 2025. That said, a ninth consecutive year without a playoff win could cause a parting of the ways in the offseason. 

Mike Macdonald, Seattle Seahawks: The Seahawks won double-digit games in Macdonald's inaugural season. That said, a significant step backward in Year 2 could be costly. They also struggled out of the gate with a dud home loss to the division-rival 49ers. 

Todd Bowles, Tampa Bay Buccaneers: The Bucs have been quasi-contenders throughout Bowles' three-year tenure, but the ceiling is kind of obvious. He could also be in trouble without clear progress in 2025. 

Warm

5 of 6
Texans Rams Football
DeMeco Ryans

Raheem Morris, Atlanta Falcons: Morris did double Atlanta's win total in 2024, and he could get some leeway based on the fact that he's working with a rookie quarterback and a defense in transition. But any sort of backward step could cost him his job considering the offensive talent on that roster. 

DeMeco Ryans, Houston Texans: Hard to believe considering how much he and the Texans had going for them about 18 months ago, but 2024 was a mess and 2025 is off to a horrendous start. I can see them making a dramatic change if this continues. 

Zac Taylor, Cincinnati Bengals: Can Taylor really survive a third consecutive letdown season? Considering the talent within that offense, probably not. At least the notoriously bad starters are 1-0 following a dicey win in Cleveland to kick off 2025.

Shane Steichen, Indianapolis Colts: Can he afford three consecutive .500-ish or worse campaigns? He and Daniel Jones are off to a good start anyway, but this remains a seat that rides on Indy taking a big step forward this year.

Brian Callahan, Tennessee Titans: A new general manager needs to see progress with Callahan and Cam Ward, or this team may go in a new direction. I don't think the HC can afford consecutive double-digit-loss campaigns unless Ward shines.

Burning Hot

6 of 6
Jaguars Dolphins Football

Dave Canales, Carolina Panthers: A loser of 12 games in a bad division in his debut season, Canales was hammered by the Jaguars in Week 1 this year. This looks like it'll be another long season for Carolina, and we're not sure impatient Panthers owner David Tepper will tolerate that. 

Mike McDaniel, Miami Dolphins: McDaniel was all the rage when the Dolphins were competitive and exciting in 2022 and 2023, but that has worn off almost entirely and this now looks like a rebuilding team. Do they really want to stick it out with him? 

Kevin Stefanski, Cleveland Browns: The team looks destined for another garbage season, which would mark four losing campaigns in a five-year span for the 2023 Coach of the Year. The Browns could move on soon after they fall out of contention yet again. 

Brian Daboll, New York Giants: Plenty were surprised the Giants brought Daboll back for another shot in 2025, and now it's becoming apparent they'll likely scrap the Russell Wilson experiment at some point before testing out Jaxson Dart with an eye toward 2026. I'm not sure it would make sense to include Daboll in that. 

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