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Updated 2026 NBA Title Odds After Day 1 of Free Agency as Nuggets, Hawks Climb

Andrew PetersJun 30, 2025

The first day of NBA free agency is here, and with it came a handful of notable signings around the league.

While there weren't exactly any blockbuster signings, some teams made a move or two that helped their odds of winning the 2026 NBA title.

After Day 1 of free agency, here's a look at the updated odds to win next year's championship, via FanDuel Sportsbook:

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  • Oklahoma City Thunder (+250)
  • Denver Nuggets (+800)
  • New York Knicks (+900)
  • Houston Rockets (+900)
  • Cleveland Cavaliers (+950)
  • Orlando Magic (+1100)
  • Los Angeles Clippers (+1500)
  • Los Angeles Lakers (+1600)
  • Minnesota Timberwolves (+1700)
  • Golden State Warriors (+2700)
  • Atlanta Hawks (+3100)
  • Boston Celtics (+3100)
  • Philadelphia 76ers (+3200)
  • Dallas Mavericks (+3400)
  • Indiana Pacers (+4500)

After last week's NBA draft, the Thunder were the favorite to win it all, so there's no change there after the first day of free agency.

The most notable riser is the Denver Nuggets, who went from having +1600 odds last week to +800 odds on Monday. That shift in odds can be credited to a trade that sent Michael Porter Jr. and a 2032 first-rounder to the Brooklyn Nets in return for Cam Johnson. Denver also signed free agent swingman Bruce Brown Jr., who was a member of the Nuggets' 2023 NBA title squad.

The Atlanta Hawks also saw their title odds improve greatly on Monday.

The Hawks, who were 33-1 to win the Eastern Conference last week, now have +950 odds to win the conference, giving them the fourth-best odds, and +3100 odds to win the title.

Atlanta has been busy this offseason, trading for Boston Celtics big man Kristaps Porziņģis ahead of the draft and signing Nickeil Alexander-Walker and Luke Kennard on Monday.

Whether the addition of those two will be enough to help the Hawks get back to the postseason remains to be seen, but their odds of postseason success have increased tremendously.

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