NBA Finals 2025 Pacers vs. Thunder Game 5 Odds, Prop Bets, Bracket Predictions
The 2025 NBA Finals is now a best-of-three.
The Oklahoma City Thunder evened the score at two wins apiece with their come-from-behind 111-104 Game 4 win over the Indiana Pacers on Friday. Just like that, the Thunder have reclaimed home-court advantage with the series set to shift back to Oklahoma for Monday's Game 5.
Before this heavyweight bout reconvenes, let's look at the upcoming bout through the eyes of the wagering world with the latest odds and a few of our favorite prop bets.
Game 5 Odds
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Spread: Oklahoma City (-9.5)
Over/Under: 223
Money Line: Oklahoma City (-430; bet $430 to win $100); Indiana (+340; bet $100 to win $340)
Pascal Siakam: Over 22.5 Points + Assists
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For all of the talking (and rapping) about Tyrese Haliburton, Pascal Siakam could be the Pacers' key to this series. He might be the biggest matchup problem for the Pacers: too big for the Thunder's wings and too quick for Oklahoma City's bigs.
Since Siakam fills a support roleโhe's the Robin to Haliburton's Batmanโthe touches aren't always as plentiful, but he clearly makes the most of them. In fact, Siakam put himself in historic company with his overstuffed stat sheet Friday night.
Siakam, a former champion and MVP of the Eastern Conference finals, has predictably impressed on this stage. He's had exactly 25 combined points and assists in each of his last two outings.
With Indiana up against the ropes and (hopefully for its sake) understanding that it can't let off the gas like it did down the stretch in Game 4, the Pacers should be fully focused on setting and maintaining the tempo in Game 5. That opens the door for plenty of productive stat lines on this roster, particularly from its often underappreciated second star.
Chet Holmgren: Over 8.5 Rebounds
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During the regular season, Thunder 7-footer Chet Holmgren snagged an even eight rebounds a night. During the playoffs, he's up to 8.7 per outing.
What might be most interesting about those averages is that he compiled them while logging fewer than 30 minutes per contest. In the last two games, though, he has tallied a combined 72 minutes, which Oklahoma City has won by 15 points. He is tied with Siakam for the best plus/minus over this two-game stretch.
If Holmgren keeps seeing this kind of floor timeโand the Thunder have no obvious reason to reverse courseโhe's going to eat on the glass. He logged 30-plus minutes in 11 games during the regular season and had double-digit boards in all but three of them. And in the two games this series where he's seen 30-plus minutes, he's corralled a whopping 25 boards.
His scoring and efficiency have been inconsistent against the Pacers, but he retains value for his size, length, interior activity and ability to space the floor from the 4 and 5 spots. The Thunder should want him on the floor as much as possible, which makes this prop look awfully inviting.
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