Randall Cobb's Fantasy Trade Value, Updated Outlook Heading into Week 8
October 25, 2014
Green Bay Packers wide receiver Randall Cobb is a touchdown-scoring machine. His coaches know it, his quarterback knows it and his fantasy owners know it. His eight receiving touchdowns this season leads all NFL wide receivers and have provided massive fantasy points.
Although, quarterback Aaron Rodgers put it simply, via Rob Demovsky of ESPN.com:
Cobb has the unique ability to remain relevant each week in the fantasy realm due to his nose for the end zone. That's been wildly apparent several times this season, as he's only eclipsed 58 receiving yards twice but scored at least one touchdown in all but one game.
While many fantasy players are boom-or-bust prospects every week, Cobb is the epitome of efficiency. Take a look at his numbers from every game so far this season:
Randall Cobb's Stats in 2014 | |||||
Week | Rec | Targets | Yds | TD | Fantasy Pts |
1 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 1 | 11 |
2 | 5 | 6 | 39 | 2 | 15 |
3 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 0 | 2 |
4 | 7 | 9 | 113 | 2 | 23 |
5 | 3 | 4 | 34 | 1 | 9 |
6 | 5 | 6 | 58 | 1 | 11 |
7 | 6 | 7 | 121 | 1 | 18 |
ESPN.com |
Considering how good Rodgers has looked this season—he's thrown 18 touchdown passes against just one interception—fantasy owners should expect Cobb's efficiency to continue. After all, some of the receiver's numbers have actually begun to increase during Rodgers' recent surge, via the Packers' official Twitter account:
Making matters even better for the receiver's expected output, the Packers have a very favorable schedule for the remainder of the season. With upcoming games against the New Orleans Saints, Chicago Bears and Philadelphia Eagles, expect to see Cobb continuing to thrive for the foreseeable future.
While Cobb's fantasy value is very high right now after coming off a huge game against the Carolina Panthers, his impending contest against the Saints will send his stock through the roof. Not only is New Orleans ranked 28th in the league against the pass, it is even worse from a fantasy perspective.
Through six games this season, the Saints are allowing an average of 27.0 fantasy points to opposing wide receivers—the second-most in the league, via ESPN.com. Even a Detroit Lions receiving corps without Calvin Johnson racked up 34 fantasy points against New Orleans in Week 7.
Pete Damilatis of Pro Football Focus tweeted another pro-Cobb statistic:
Expect Rodgers and Co. to torch the Saints secondary this week, with Cobb being a huge beneficiary.
Most fantasy owners will realize Cobb's performance so far this season is no fluke. He's a fantastic red-zone option on a pass-happy team with a quarterback who is playing lights-out football right now. What's not to like about that scenario?
Cobb should be treated like a WR1 in standard fantasy formats—his value dips slightly in PPR leagues due to a lack of receptions. Fantasy owners expecting to trade the receiver should expect significant value in return.
While Cobb is certainly a great sell-high candidate right now, he's also a great weapon to keep in your fantasy starting lineup for the remainder of the season.