Samuel Chi's Mock College Football Playoff Standings (Week 5)

Several top-ranked teams had close calls this past weekend, but every one of them managed to survive with the exception of LSU. Nevertheless, there was still a bit of a shakeup at the top of the new mock College Football Playoff standings from last week.

With most of the early season cupcake fest out of the way, the playoff picture will begin to take shape in earnest with conference games, which essentially serve as elimination games in the coming weeks as pretenders are weeded out.

There are only 25 unbeaten teams in FBS (out of 128) through the first four weeks of the season, including two independents (Notre Dame and BYU) and just two from the non-power-five conferences (Cincinnati and Marshall). The race for not just the four playoff spots, but also for the New Year's Six bowl berths should be extremely fascinating and closely contested.

The Rankings

Rank	Team	AP Poll	Computer	SoS	CFP Score
1	Oklahoma	4	3.40	40	.8888
2	Auburn	5	3.90	19	.8769
3	Alabama	3	4.56	74	.8527
4	Florida State	1	9.52	22	.8302
5	Oregon	2	7.33	72	.8153
6	Texas A&M	6	7.66	97	.7462
7	Ole Miss	10	11.29	53	.6310
8	UCLA	11	13.52	18	.6006
9	Notre Dame	8	13.76	102	.5740
10	Baylor	7	15.97	160	.5403
11	Mississippi St.	14	11.76	115	.5263
12	South Carolina	13	19.83	7	.4970
13	Georgia	12	23.09	17	.4437
14	LSU	17	17.16	54	.4435
15	BYU	20	15.74	48	.4269
16	Michigan State	9	26.00	104	.3601

(See methodology of standings) 

The Playoff Teams

1. Oklahoma

The Sooners used a big second half to finally overcome a pesky West Virginia team that also gave Alabama fits in the season opener. With the Big 12 being the only power-five conference without a championship game, OU must now navigate a treacherous schedule realizing that one loss might be enough to knock it out of the playoff race.

2. Auburn

The Tigers managed to escape Manhattan thanks to three K-State turnovers and three missed field goals. And now comes the hard part. After next week's game against Louisiana Tech, Auburn will play six consecutive ranked opponents. This could be the most difficult stretch of games in college football history.

3. Alabama

The Tide labored somewhat before finally pulling away from Florida to win their SEC opener. But unlike Auburn, Alabama's schedule is much more user-friendly and manageable. The Tide once again avoid all the SEC East heavyweights, and even their games against SEC West foes are conveniently spaced out. Alabama will be tested this way, though: Four of its next five games are on the road.

4. Florida State

The selection committee breathed a sigh of relief after Florida State survived Clemson in overtime. Why? Because had FSU lost without Jameis Winston and then gone on to win the rest of their games, the committee would have to weigh such a mitigating circumstance. But now that the 'Noles have won, the rest of their schedule shouldn't pose much of a challenge.

First Four Out

5. Oregon

With Florida State struggling, Oregon had a chance to seize the top ranking in the polls. Instead, the Ducks unexpectedly had trouble against Washington State, and Cougars QB Connor Halliday gashed them with 436 passing yards. Things won't get any easier from here, as the Pac-12 leads all conferences with seven unbeaten teams, including Oregon's next three opponents.

6. Texas A&M

If the Pac-12 is the toughest conference, then the SEC West is the toughest division, with five teams still unbeaten. Texas A&M had an easy go of it early in the season after a resounding opening win at South Carolina. Now the Aggies will be tested by four consecutive division foes in as many weeks.

7. Ole Miss

Whereas their in-state rivals grabbed the headlines with an upset win over LSU in Death Valley, Ole Miss is still the highest-ranked team in Mississippi. Of the five unbeaten SEC West teams, the Rebels are the least tested so far, but they don't figure to be exposed quite yet with a game against Memphis this week.

8. UCLA

Memphis, of course, gave UCLA fits at the Rose Bowl, losing by seven on a late touchdown. The Bruins have looked relatively unimpressive so far, also barely squeaking by Virginia and Texas. Yet thanks to lofty expectations from the preseason, they're still ranked highly in the polls. This Thursday's Pac-12 opener against Arizona State will reveal whether they're overrated.

Other Fun Facts

Don Petersen/Associated Press

* East Carolina made a quantum leap in the polls, thanks to back-to-back wins over ACC opponents, including Saturday's 70-41 thrashing of North Carolina. The Pirates have the look of a New Year's Six bowl contender, especially with their high-octane offense. Look for the Nov. 13 matchup at Cincinnati to potentially decide not only the American Athletic title, but also the group-of-five bowl berth.

* Does the Big Ten's rebound this week help Michigan State? After going 12-1—4-1 against the power-five conferences—the conference somewhat repaired its reputation, though it might have come a little too late. The Spartans are still only 16th in the mock standings, and with few conference foes currently ranked, it's hard to see how they can make it all the way into the top four.

* Whereas most other teams are beginning their conference schedules in earnest, independent BYU will be playing four Mountain West opponents in its next six games. With the MWC considerably weaker than in the past, it won't help improve the Cougars' prospects of either landing a playoff spot (highly improbable) or a New Year's Six bowl bid (somewhat of a long shot). 

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