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NFL Lines Week 17: Favorites Guaranteed to Cover Spread

R. Cory SmithJun 5, 2018

With several NFL teams already securing their places in the playoffs, Week 17 usually might not be seen as a big betting weekend. But with 13 of 16 games having playoff implications of some kind, there are sure to be several teams giving it everything in their finales.

Whether it's for seeding purposes or simply for trying to get into the postseason, there are several favorites who have been given lines that are five points or higher. With some of those favorites playing on the road, the lines seem somewhat difficult to cover.

Before the playoffs begin and the days of the leaders in divisions playing teams in the cellar end, here are the favorites this weekend that will cover the spread in the final weekend of the regular season.

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Carolina PanthersAtlanta FalconsCAR -6.5CAR
Green Bay PackersChicago BearsPKCHI
Houston TexansTennessee TitansTEN -7HOU
Cleveland BrownsPittsburgh SteelersPIT -7PIT
Washington RedskinsNew York GiantsNYG -3.5NYG
Baltimore RavensCincinnati BengalsCIN -5.5BAL
Jacksonville JaguarsIndianapolis ColtsIND -11.5IND
Philadelphia EaglesDallas CowboysPHI -6.5DAL
New York JetsMiami DolphinsMIA -6.5NYJ
Detroit LionsMinnesota VikingsMIN -3.5MIN
Buffalo BillsNew England PatriotsNE -9.5NE
Tampa Bay BuccaneersNew Orleans SaintsNO -12.5NO
Denver BroncosOakland RaidersDEN -12.5OAK
San Francisco 49ersArizona CardinalsSF -3ARI
Kansas City ChiefsSan Diego ChargersSD -10SD
St. Louis RamsSeattle SeahawksSEA -10SEA

Carolina Panthers (-6.5 at Atlanta Falcons)

The Carolina Panthers and Atlanta Falcons have seemingly switched roles this season.

After the Panthers posted three straight losing seasons, they are now on track to finish at least six games above .500. For the Falcons, five straight winning seasons came to an abrupt end in 2013, and they are destined to finish, at the least, six games below .500.

But even with a 6.5-point spread swinging in the Falcons' favor, the Panthers have one of the most dominant defenses in the NFL and an offense that scores 23 points per game on average. Steve Smith is listed as highly doubtful due to a knee injury, though, so the line is closer than it would likely be with the Panthers' second-leading receiver in the game.

Despite the Falcons covering the spread in four of their last five games, they are still essentially the same team that was crushed by Carolina back on Nov. 3. The Panthers put up 34 points against the Falcons and cruised to an easy win at 34-10, covering the nine-point spread.

The line may have narrowed due to the fact that the Panthers are playing on the road or that they are playing without Smith. But with the NFC South division crown on the line, don't expect the Panthers to ease off the gas pedal against their division rival in this one.

Prediction: Panthers 31, Falcons 20

Philadelphia Eagles (-6.5 at Dallas Cowboys)

The Philadelphia Eagles possess the best offense in the NFC in total yards, rushing yards and points per game. The Dallas Cowboys defense ranks last in the NFC in yards allowed, 14th in rushing yards and 12th in points per game.

As if this game didn't already appear lopsided, the Cowboys might be without franchise quarterback Tony Romo, according to Adam Schefter of ESPN:

Despite the report, Cowboys head coach Jason Garrett still has Romo listed as day-to-day, according to Dave Spadaro of PhiladelphiaEagles.com:

Regardless of the report, the Cowboys defense alone is enough reason to believe that the Eagles will roll in this game and clinch the NFC East division crown.

The Eagles have covered in five of the seven games since Nick Foles officially became the starter against the Oakland Raiders in Week 9. With both a favorable matchup on offense and the potential of Kyle Orton starting for the Cowboys, the Eagles are in prime position to pull off a huge win in Jerry World, or AT&T Stadium.

Prediction: Eagles 42, Cowboys 27

New Orleans Saints (-12.5 vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers)

The New Orleans Saints' spread against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers is tied only with the Denver Broncos spread over the Raiders, and deservedly so. After getting romped by the St. Louis Rams and narrowly edged by the Panthers, the Saints are an angry team returning home with their playoff lives on the line.

Drew Brees knows exactly what his team needs to do, and he didn't seem to be holding any punches in a press conference held on Wednesday that was posted on the Saints' official website. When asked about playoff scenarios, Brees responded:

"

Listen, we can be a two seed, a five seed, a six seed or out of the playoffs. There’s so many things that can happen, but none of the good stuff happens unless we win this weekend.

"

At home, the Saints are 7-0 and have won each game by an average of 17.4 points per game, with the only narrow margin of victory coming against the San Francisco 49ers back in Week 11. That contest against the 49ers was also the only time the Saints didn't cover the spread at home this season, pushing the three-point spread in their favor.

With Brees behind center and a stout passing defense against a rookie quarterback, New Orleans will easily roll to a huge win to secure a spot in the playoffs.

Prediction: Saints 38, Buccaneers 21

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